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Hurricane Maria caused an estimated 2,975 deaths in Puerto Rico, new study finds
CBS News ^ | 08/28/2018 | Sarah Lynch baldwin and David Begnaud

Posted on 08/28/2018 9:13:33 AM PDT by cll

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico - Hurricane Maria killed far more people in Puerto Rico than initially thought, accounting for an estimated 2,975 deaths on the island from September 2017 through February 2018, according to a new analysis. The study found that those in low-income areas, and elderly men, were at greatest risk of dying.

The independent analysis was commissioned by the governor of Puerto Rico and conducted by researchers at George Washington University's Milken Institute School of Public Health. CBS News obtained a report on the findings from Carlos Mercader, executive director of the Puerto Rico Federal Affairs Administration.

To arrive at the 2,975 figure, the study looked at historical death patterns from 2010 to 2017 to estimate how many people would have died had Hurricane Maria not hit the island. That figure was then compared to the actual number of deaths from September 2017 through February 2018 — obtained in records provided by the Puerto Rico Vital Statistics Records division of the Puerto Rico Department of Health — to determine what the report describes as the "estimate of excess mortality due to the hurricane."

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanemaria; hurricanes; maria; prepper; puertorico
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A more level-headed approach than the earlier Harvard study, which guesstimated the deaths at almost 5,000. This is a study in excess mortality after the 2017 storms, and the errors in establishing reasonable numbers due to a lack of guidelines:

"The official government estimate of 64 deaths from the hurricane is low primarily because the conventions used for causal attribution only allowed for classification of deaths attributable directly to the storm, e.g., those caused by structural collapse, flying debris, floods and drownings," the report says. "During our broader study, we found that many physicians were not oriented in the appropriate certification protocol. This translated into an inadequate indicator for monitoring mortality in the hurricane's aftermath."

The report goes on to say that "physician unawareness of appropriate death certification practices after a natural disaster and the Government of Puerto Rico's lack of communication about death certificate reporting prior to the 2017 hurricane season substantially limited the count of deaths related to Maria."

The report, which analyzed processes related to death certification, says that physicians and forensic physicians are among those in Puerto Rico who are authorized to complete death certificates, but that most physicians have no formal training in how to do so. They are therefore unaware of "appropriate death certification practices, especially in a disaster setting," the report found".

1 posted on 08/28/2018 9:13:33 AM PDT by cll
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To: rrstar96; AuH2ORepublican; livius; adorno; wtc911; Willie Green; CGVet58; Clemenza; Narcoleptic; ...
Puerto Rico Ping! Please Freepmail me if you want on or off the list.


2 posted on 08/28/2018 9:14:21 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: cll

Has anyone investigated how Puerto Rico could be so unprepared for a hurricane?


3 posted on 08/28/2018 9:16:16 AM PDT by ltc8k6
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To: ltc8k6
Has anyone investigated how Puerto Rico could be so unprepared for a hurricane?

Democrats

4 posted on 08/28/2018 9:16:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (The MSM is in the business of creating a fake version of reality for political reasons.)
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To: cll

Why is it that I suspect the number is being padded for some economic or political reason?


5 posted on 08/28/2018 9:17:29 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs)
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To: cll

So what’s the motivation in running up the score? Blame Trump? Lobby for more dough for the lazy Puerto Rican slugs?


6 posted on 08/28/2018 9:19:19 AM PDT by bkopto
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To: ClearCase_guy; ltc8k6

Imagine an EF-3 tornado the size of your state, tearing clear across the entire length and width of it for 8 hours, in addition to the storm force winds that preceded and tailed it for almost 48 hours, two weeks after being hit by another one. How do you prepare for that?


7 posted on 08/28/2018 9:23:15 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: DoughtyOne

For practical reasons: How to allocate resources and prepare for a future similar event, anywhere else in the U.S.


8 posted on 08/28/2018 9:24:26 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: bkopto

For practical reasons: How to allocate resources and prepare for a future similar event, anywhere else in the U.S.


9 posted on 08/28/2018 9:25:06 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: bkopto

They’ll keep padding until they pass the toll from 911, would be my guess.


10 posted on 08/28/2018 9:25:14 AM PDT by Ingtar
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To: ltc8k6
I thought Trump was responsible. 👹
11 posted on 08/28/2018 9:27:19 AM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: cll

No... deaths caused by the hurricane: 5

Deaths caused by the incompetent state government response to the hurricane: 2,970


12 posted on 08/28/2018 9:27:43 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings)
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To: tired&retired

Could be.


13 posted on 08/28/2018 9:29:04 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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To: cll

by having emergency workers onhand, trained electricians on hand, food and water and medicines stored in safe facilities for immediate distribution afterwards- There’s lots that could be done to prepare- They did not prepare, and expected the US to come to their aid and fix everything after they failed to do so. They live in hurricane prone area- One would think they would be prepared for disasters such as this- Yet All they did was blame the US afterwards-


14 posted on 08/28/2018 9:29:55 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: bkopto

Note also that the PR government withheld supplies after the hurricane because they didn’t care about the residents. They only wanted to make it look like President Trump wasn’t helping.


15 posted on 08/28/2018 9:31:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (The MSM is in the business of creating a fake version of reality for political reasons.)
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To: cll

Not sure that future allocations are the issue here.

I suspect monetary allocations now are the issue here.

I’ll grant you that’s a rather cynical view.


16 posted on 08/28/2018 9:34:46 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs)
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To: ClearCase_guy
Note also that the PR government withheld supplies after the hurricane because they didn’t care about the residents. They only wanted to make it look like President Trump wasn’t helping.

"Never let a crisis go to waste."

17 posted on 08/28/2018 9:35:56 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: cll

Hurricane Maria 2017

Image result for Hurricane Maria gif
18 posted on 08/28/2018 9:37:14 AM PDT by ETL (Obama-Hillary, REAL Russia collusion! Uranium-One Deal, Missile Defense, Iran Deal, Nukes: Click ETL)
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To: cll
Did the mayor provide the stats?


19 posted on 08/28/2018 9:38:15 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Consensus isn't science.)
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To: Bob434

Hey, respectfully, “they” is “we”. I live in Puerto Rico and went through the storms, and worse, their aftermath.

I prepared. My business prepared. My neighbors prepared. We fared quite well in our area and supported each other, without waiting for the government. That was the case for most if not all the people I know.

The local government collapsed for the first couple of weeks, completely, and was overwhelmed the rest of the time and almost a year later, it still is.

The federal government response was abundant. In fact, on the other side of overwhelming since they sent thousands of helpers, who took over virtually every hotel room and rental car, stalling for months the restart of our very important tourism industry.

But if the federal government help was abundant in materiel and personnel, it lacked in coordination and structure, and there was a lot of wasted time.

That’s the true story from my first-person perspective.


20 posted on 08/28/2018 9:38:39 AM PDT by cll (Serviam!)
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