Posted on 05/26/2018 3:51:13 AM PDT by Libloather
Republicans could keep their House majority in the House in November's midterms because House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi is unpopular and many swing voters do not want her to retake the gavel as House speaker, according to pollster Frank Luntz.
The California Democrat has been a lightning rod for controversy in recent months, particularly for her infamous "crumbs" remark about the benefits of the GOP tax cuts.
**SNIP**
“If Republicans could find some way to engineer a vote over who would be Speaker of the House in January of 2019, if they could engineer that vote, I would be prepared to say right now that the Republicans would keep the majority, because there are so many people out there -- swing voters -- who do not want Pelosi as speaker that one action would make a difference,” Luntz said.
(Excerpt) Read more at insider.foxnews.com ...
The secret has finally been exposed. (Photos not required.)
It appears that the Democrats are beginning to cast about for a scapegoat.
Well if this gets overplayed she just may duck out 2-3 weeks before the election.
Somebody noted that if Paul Ryan steps down it would force a vote for speaker of the house including both GOP and DEM. Which is a good reason for Paul Ryan to step down earlier.
Duh. Dems taking the House was always fakenews.
She’s talks like a retarded person. Not much better than Sheila Jackson Lee. A liberals with any brains must gag when she speaks.
IMO, Pelosi is not going any where. She apparently brings a lot of money into the Dems and has many connections. I believe most Rats fear her and would not vote against her.
Well let’s see the enthusiasm among rank and file Democrats is at record lows (huge difference in primary turnout in Pennsylvania Ohio and Texas 100 year low) DNC has no money; Democrats have a fun to watch civil war between The Crazy Democrats and The Insane Democrats that the Crazies are winning and Democrats have no issues that appeal to voters. I’d say the man with the rat on his head is on to something when he says the Republicans “could keep House majority.”
Pelosi still brings in the big fundraising bucks. (How or why, I have no idea.) As long as she’s they money queen the Dem machine will continue to let her drool at the podium all she wants.
Could? It's a given. They will remain in control, and will probably pick up seats.
Positive thinking is a joy to behold.
Luntz is a Georgetown Cocktail party regular. He was a never-Trumper who has always been in the pocket of the D party.
I am astonished that he would say this.
All through the election, he fed questions, baited questions, and hand-selected his audiences at the bidding of his Swamp masters.
Who cares what Duntz has to say. He is the worst forecaster in the nation and said in the same interview the Repubs were down in the generic poll because the media does not get out their message.
Hey Frank, the Repubs are up six in the generic poll you idjit.
Frank always states the obvious or the wrong.
First of all, there is a large proportion of the citizenry ( mostly millenials) who don't know who is Mrs. Pelosi. Further, even if you've heard of her I don't think the threat of her becoming Speaker is enough to movitvate someone to vote R.
The fact of the matter is that relentless bashing by the press and Hollywood is having the opposite impact. Trump's numbers remain high. A few weeks ago Reuters put a virtual asterisk on a poll because Trump's approval went up a lot. Other polls since then have followed suit. And if that wasn't surprising to the uneducated, Jimmy Kimmel seemed to have realized the schtick isn't working.
It's hard to pinpoint the cause, but a lot of this happened right around the time of Parkland. My guess is the anti-gun narrative clashed very hard with the facts. Throw the Hogg et al faces of the opposition into the mix, and counter it all with a good economy, and that's how we got here.
Luntz needs to recalibrate his models OR give Trump some credit.
It’s interesting how Nancy & Ryan always brag about how much money they bring to the party. It’s as if it is their only job. They seem to have no understanding of their job description.
While Pelosi is unpopular, do not bet that simply running a campaign tying Dems to Pelosi will keep the house.
In this same interview Lutz also openly admitted the motivation gap the Dems have this fall.
If the Dems show up with presidential Year turnouts, the Pelosi bogeyman will not be enough to hold the house.
This fact and message was exactly what the GOP used heavily in PA 18 and it failed miserably. That sort of messaging and red meat for the R base may be great for a deep red state or district, but it’s not going to get you motivation and turnout of the non traditional and crossover voters that put Trump in the White House.
The GOP needs to figure out it needs these voters to win, particularly in places like the upper Midwest. But given they don’t seem to want to accept that reality, and haven’t bothered even trying to talk to those voters, let alone give them a reason to care or show up this fall, they are very likely to lose a lot of purple and pink districts. I would expect 10+ house seats to be lost in the upper Midwest alone.
The numbers don’t lie folks. The one thing that almost certainly would turn the election on a dime and ensure GOP not only holding but gaining seats in the house would be if the left openly ran on impeachment. That would instantaneously nationalize the election for everyone and motivate those non traditional MAGA voters to show up out of sheer outrage and anger at the democrats for trying to remove their duly elected president.
However short of that, I don’t see the GOP currently able to hold the house, without those non traditional MAGA voters motivated, engaged and excited, the Dems will overwhelm many districts in the midterms with their turnout, and I don’t see the GOP even understanding, let alone trying to get those folks motivated and engaged.
Pelosi as boogeyman may motivate your base, but it won’t get those other voters and without them... you lose a lot of purple and pink districts.
At present I see the R’s gaining 6+ in the senate and losing the house.
Does anyone still take Luntz seriously? A year after the election, he mystified that anyone would support Trump.
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