Posted on 11/06/2016 2:53:45 AM PST by rb22982
Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding.
The GOP and Democratic nominees had been tied for the prior four days. Libertarian Party pick Gary Johnson is at 5% while the Green Party's Jill Stein is at 2%.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
Trump has a 9 point lead among independents.
IBD = CHAMBER OF COMMERCE = CRONY SOCIALIST
Stein and Johnson are not going to get 7% of the vote.
This poll has lots of issues include D+3 weighting (probably will be D+0 election), Johnson vote (total BS, max of 2%), male gap will be greater for Trump than shown in the poll.
Polling malpractice—again.
Also of note: This poll has trump up 10 points in the Midwest. If that’s true MI, WI, PA all definitely in play.
Also of note: This poll has trump up 10 points in the Midwest. If that’s true MI, WI, PA all definitely in play.
Is tomorrow the final day of this, or are they going to put out a poll on Tuesday?
Good news.
Pray this movement accelerates.
Georgia is a tossup? Seriously?
So from R+7 to D+3
Definitely diffuclty with sampling - or is the model off?
Supposedly, although all of the polls in the South (NC, SC, GA) have AA turnout at 2012 levels, which isn’t going to happen.
Several polls showed R+6 or 7 on raw samples before they put their thumbs on the scale.
They’ve been consistently re-weighting their raw sample by D+10 since they started. No idea why.
No - the unweighted internals show an R + 3 electorate - that gets changed to D +3.
I think it’ll be more like R +2 but R +3 wouldn’t exactly come as a shock.
D +3 is way too high... R +3 looks like where the electorate is at.
If that’s really the case, say good-bye to Hillary.
I think tomorrow is last day of this.
IF we come in at R+3, Trump wins by probably 6-7% nationally.
California Chrome was leading as the pack came around turn four...
It looks like the 2014 mid-term electorate is coming out.
Trump wins big and Rs hold the House and Senate.
Better news than any one expected.
Only a year ago, a panicked GOP establishment was sure Trump would lead the party to a Goldwater-style debacle.
The idiots were dead wrong. Oh ye men of little faith!
Trump's lead among men is larger than hers with women.
Where has this talking point been?
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