The electoral map is definitely moving in Donald Trump’s direction

WaPo ^ | 4 Nov 2016 | Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake

[mandaladon]

The last week has been a tough one for Hillary Clinton. Last Friday's announcement by FBI Director James Comey that emails considered “pertinent” to the investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server had been discovered accelerated a bump in Donald Trump's poll numbers that had begun before that news hit.

National polling was the first to tighten — the WaPo-ABC Tracking Poll showed the Democratic presidential candidate up three points on Friday — but swing-state polling has followed suit. CNN, as of Friday morning, even had Clinton below 270 electoral votes for the first time in a long time.

We at The Fix aren't there just yet. But we are making three changes in our electoral-map ratings — all of which favor Trump.

The biggest move is Ohio — from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” The Buckeye State, which went for Barack Obama in each of his two races, has long been one of the friendlier swing states for Trump, thanks in large part to its older and whiter (as compared with the country as a whole) population. The last two polls in the state have shown Trump up five points, and the RealClearPolitics polling average gives the Republican nominee a 3.3-point edge. That fits more with our “lean” category than our “toss-up” one. Clinton isn't giving up on the state, however — she'll be in Cleveland on Sunday.

[mandaladon]

It must be really painful for the WaPo to report this.

[HiTech RedNeck]

CNN of all people are down on Hillary. That’s the oddest thing of all, it seems.

[mandaladon]

Clinton continues to show weaknesses in the closing days. She trails Trump by five points on the question of which candidate is more honest and trustworthy, and she no longer holds a significant lead among those who have already voted nationwide. And among those who have not voted yet, Trump supporters are more likely to say they are following the contest “very closely,” suggesting they may turn out at higher rates.----Turn out will be the key.

[central_va]

I’ve never seen a map walk.

[rainee]

Which means the fraud machine will be off the charts. Trump is smart..sue the hell out of everyone with even a hint of cheating, fraud.

[halo66]

Very odd...and it sure seems like Fox News is confident Clinton will win...My head hurts

[Fiddlstix]

MAYBE they're reporting all this "Good News For Trump" to give the voters a sense that they don't have to go to vote for Trump.
He's already got it made.

[LS]

Someone better tell FOX.

They will be the LAST ones on election night to call it for Trump.

[fhayek]

Fox isn't confident. They are calling it a squeaker.

[HiTech RedNeck]

Feint in different direction huh

[bigredkitty1]

Not unless they have access to the internals on the polling. If so, you may see them thoroughly soused on Election Night even before the returns start.

[Fiddlstix]

Considering it’s CNN....I say it is possible....

[bigredkitty1]

Make that b*tch Megyn Kelly have to utter the most beautiful words to be heard all evening: President-Elect Donald J. Trump. We can then watch her head explode.

[halo66]

Well...the Fox panel mostly had their bets at 70 - 30 Clinton. I don’t call that a squeaker...

[usafa92]

Cilizza is an assclown. Utah is not a toss-up, NC does not lean Clinton, PA and MI are right now toss-ups, NV is a leans Trump and CO is a toss-up. Nice fantasy map by Cilizza.

[VanDeKoik]

It isnt just moving, We are jerking that map towards Trump!

[TMA62]

FNC is GOP-e channel. They are Never Trumpers.

[CatOwner]

If many here are to be believed, Hillary was really never in the lead Electorally. We’ll find out in four days whether they were correct all along.

[Mercat]

Ireland will win but Krum will catch the snitch.

[Liz]

The latest projected 2016 electoral map resembles the 2014 midterm map....
......when the Democrats got slaughtered (smirk)......

2014 map is Congressional results.