Posted on 11/02/2016 7:28:12 PM PDT by Red Steel
University of Denver Crossley Center for Public Opinion Research Colorado Election and Issues October 2016
Sample size: 550 likely voters
Conducted by telephone and live interviews, both landline and cellphone landline 47% cellphone 52%.
Margin of Error: total sample size +-4.2 percentage points in 95 out of 100 cases.
Date in Field: October 29-31, 2016
4. If the election for president were held today with [ROTATE TOP TWO] Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? PEOPLE WHO ALREADY VOTED, ASK; If you already voted, who did you vote for in the presidential race?
Donald Trump and Mike Pence 39%; Already Voted 37%; Not Voted 42%
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine 39%; Already Voted 44%; Not Voted 33%
Gary Johnson 5%; Already Voted 4%; Not Voted 5%
Jill Stein 4%; Already Voted 3%; Not Voted 5%
...
19. Considering political parties, do you identify yourself as a: [ROTATED]
Summary Party. Dem 33% Rep 34% Ind 30%
(Excerpt) Read more at documentcloud.org ...
November 1st the CO Secretary of State reported ballots returned.
Dem: 399, 341 Rep: 371,746 Unaffiliated: 281,845 American Const.: 2,334
For a total - 1,067,685 ballots returned.
There's something like another 1.8 million CO ballots left outstanding. Out of what's left, I expect another 1.2 to 1.5 million to be returned by November 8th.
Seems like there is much more potential of Republican votes there, looking at the remainders...
Nice...
I feel good if TRUMP’s tied!!
He always overperforms in polling!
Yes the upside is very good for Trump. You’ll notice the voters who have not sent in their ballots it’s Trump 42% Hellary 33%.
I notice always someone beats me to it when I do all the typing(!), but it’s a CNN article thread.
Yes, that’s what I was referencing. If they’re tied now, he has much more of a well to draw from.
Nice.
Thanks for the post. Encouraging...
Hillary up 7% among people who have voted. Trump up 9% among likely voters who haven’t. The math is definitely in his favor. My family of 4 are solid Trump and will be walking our ballots to the collection point. Definitely not mailing. My conservative friends do not trust the mail service.
I posted this on the other CNN Colorado thread:
Looking at the poll several things jump out:
59% of respondents are college grads and a larger percentage of 18-29 than either 30-39 or 40-49 year old voters. That’s a lot of college kids and college professors, so it could have been focused in college towns. Don’t count out any tricks with Dem (CNN) pollsters.
8% of voters refused to say who they were voting for, not undecided, refused. Those are Trump voters telling pollsters to stuff it.
There are several ballot measures like more weed and more taxes that I think will bring out conservative voters more than the already stoned liberal ones.
Unfortunately, Bennet has an 8 point lead which won’t help Trump.
Bottom line: If I had to bet today, I’d go with Trump squeaking this one out.
Colorado has a lot of college graduates but that's way too high by over 20%.
If she can’t manage to have a lead in a skewed CO poll, look out.
CO 2012 => Obama 51.49%, Romney 46.13%
Are the other 22% still high on pot?
Colorado is one of the highest college degree states, but the number is 37% of the state, not 59%!
I’m betting they only polled college towns to help Hillary’s numbers.
Bennett is winning because R voters have soured on Glenn after he retracted his endorsement of Trump.
That hurt him badly.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.