Has the Ministry of Truth ever lied?
(If voters are wrong about what they want, Soros' voting machines will fix that.)
Posted on 10/21/2016 4:49:13 AM PDT by tatown
The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
With Trump holding a lead in this poll along with the LA Times, Rassmussen, and PPD polls why are so many people convinced that this race is over and that Clinton will win? Honest question.
Absurd! Everyone knows he is down by at least 25%.
/extreme sarcasm
What they do not talk about is the undecided who are breaking 2 to 1 in favor of Trump. If true Trump gets close to 50% or slightly higher.
The ones that have been most accurate in 2014, 2012 and 2008 (USC, IBD, PPD, Rasmussen, etc) are all showing a basically tied race.
Concerted effort to drive down Republican turnout IMO
Louis XVI made a note in his diary 14 July 1789: Rien
The Popes of the early 16th century did not see the Reformation coming.
etc
“so many people convinced that this race is over”
Hillary trolls.
They are here and they love the Washington Post.
It’s a rolling multi day average... It’s not going to spike up in 1 day.
Has the Ministry of Truth ever lied?
(If voters are wrong about what they want, Soros' voting machines will fix that.)
There's so much statistical ‘noise’ in these polls around the margin of error such that it probably takes a while for reactions and changes to show up.
In thinking about the polls I was just reflecting about election night and how in all the general elections I've seen they would never make a call on who won any particular state after only 2000 statewide votes were counted. So why should we expect that polling even smaller numbers of people in these pre-election polls is accurate?
When do you think?
In looking at the weighting of the poll, it is D+7! 282 D, 222 R, and 264 I.
Well there is their public belief and private belief. The public belief is fake confidence to try and depress Trump voters. The private belief is that they are scared as hell. You can tell as we get closer to election day, libs get angry, nasty, and unreasonable.
I don’t anything will stop republican turn out this year.
We have a forty year history of polling. Or more. Can ANY of us remember, ever, a poll being wrong in the OTHER direction? Even one?
Even a college dropout who failed one semester of statistics knows that THERE IS ABSOLUTULEY NO RANDOMNESS HERE. Every one of these polls is essentially the WICKED WITCH looking into her mirror trying to decide just how pretty she wants to be today.
Depends on how many days it’s got rolling if it’s a 7 day average and the poll has been fairly stable for the past week it would take a 7 point swing in one day to manifest as a 1 point swing.
If a measurable move has happened and the poll is a rolling average, unless it was a massive shift, will take a few days to start to really manifest.
In a 7 day rolling average poll, you won’t know the effect of a specific event until it has rolled off the average. If the poll had moved significantly today, it could have been just as easily a significant day rolling off the average as a significant day rolling on. So the best answer for figuring out if the last debate had any real impact is to wait until next Wednesday.
They said that during the primaries.
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