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IBD/TIPP DailyTracking Poll (T-41, C-40)
IBD/TIPP ^ | 10/21/16 | IBD Staff

Posted on 10/21/2016 4:49:13 AM PDT by tatown

The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; ibd; poll; trump
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Trump continues to hold a 1 point lead with 'the most accurate pollster' of the 2012 election.
1 posted on 10/21/2016 4:49:13 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown
I was expecting a bigger bump after the debate..😏
2 posted on 10/21/2016 4:51:23 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: tatown

With Trump holding a lead in this poll along with the LA Times, Rassmussen, and PPD polls why are so many people convinced that this race is over and that Clinton will win? Honest question.


3 posted on 10/21/2016 4:52:35 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Absurd! Everyone knows he is down by at least 25%.

/extreme sarcasm


4 posted on 10/21/2016 4:52:42 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: tatown

What they do not talk about is the undecided who are breaking 2 to 1 in favor of Trump. If true Trump gets close to 50% or slightly higher.


5 posted on 10/21/2016 4:52:50 AM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
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To: tatown

The ones that have been most accurate in 2014, 2012 and 2008 (USC, IBD, PPD, Rasmussen, etc) are all showing a basically tied race.


6 posted on 10/21/2016 4:53:17 AM PDT by erlayman (yw)
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To: tatown

Concerted effort to drive down Republican turnout IMO


7 posted on 10/21/2016 4:54:16 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: tatown
With Trump holding a lead in this poll along with the LA Times, Rassmussen, and PPD polls why are so many people convinced that this race is over and that Clinton will win? Honest question.

Louis XVI made a note in his diary 14 July 1789: Rien

The Popes of the early 16th century did not see the Reformation coming.

etc

8 posted on 10/21/2016 4:57:25 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: tatown

“so many people convinced that this race is over”

Hillary trolls.

They are here and they love the Washington Post.


9 posted on 10/21/2016 5:00:16 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: RoseofTexas

It’s a rolling multi day average... It’s not going to spike up in 1 day.


10 posted on 10/21/2016 5:01:10 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: tatown
"With Trump holding a lead in this poll along with the LA Times, Rassmussen, and PPD polls why are so many people convinced that this race is over and that Clinton will win? Honest question."

Has the Ministry of Truth ever lied?

(If voters are wrong about what they want, Soros' voting machines will fix that.)


11 posted on 10/21/2016 5:02:39 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: RoseofTexas
“I was expecting a bigger bump after the debate..”

There's so much statistical ‘noise’ in these polls around the margin of error such that it probably takes a while for reactions and changes to show up.

In thinking about the polls I was just reflecting about election night and how in all the general elections I've seen they would never make a call on who won any particular state after only 2000 statewide votes were counted. So why should we expect that polling even smaller numbers of people in these pre-election polls is accurate?

12 posted on 10/21/2016 5:03:47 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: HamiltonJay

When do you think?


13 posted on 10/21/2016 5:04:23 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: HamiltonJay

In looking at the weighting of the poll, it is D+7! 282 D, 222 R, and 264 I.


14 posted on 10/21/2016 5:05:19 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Well there is their public belief and private belief. The public belief is fake confidence to try and depress Trump voters. The private belief is that they are scared as hell. You can tell as we get closer to election day, libs get angry, nasty, and unreasonable.


15 posted on 10/21/2016 5:07:51 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: rb22982

I don’t anything will stop republican turn out this year.


16 posted on 10/21/2016 5:12:35 AM PDT by albie
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To: Blue Turtle

We have a forty year history of polling. Or more. Can ANY of us remember, ever, a poll being wrong in the OTHER direction? Even one?

Even a college dropout who failed one semester of statistics knows that THERE IS ABSOLUTULEY NO RANDOMNESS HERE. Every one of these polls is essentially the WICKED WITCH looking into her mirror trying to decide just how pretty she wants to be today.


17 posted on 10/21/2016 5:14:22 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: RoseofTexas

Depends on how many days it’s got rolling if it’s a 7 day average and the poll has been fairly stable for the past week it would take a 7 point swing in one day to manifest as a 1 point swing.

If a measurable move has happened and the poll is a rolling average, unless it was a massive shift, will take a few days to start to really manifest.


18 posted on 10/21/2016 5:15:34 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: RoseofTexas

In a 7 day rolling average poll, you won’t know the effect of a specific event until it has rolled off the average. If the poll had moved significantly today, it could have been just as easily a significant day rolling off the average as a significant day rolling on. So the best answer for figuring out if the last debate had any real impact is to wait until next Wednesday.


19 posted on 10/21/2016 5:16:10 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: tatown

They said that during the primaries.


20 posted on 10/21/2016 5:18:40 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
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