In looking at the weighting of the poll, it is D+7! 282 D, 222 R, and 264 I.
I’ve noticed they always calculate more D+ than R? It seems the pollster think there has been a tremendous swing in the democRATS column in our nation as far as voter population is concerned. Could it be they know something we don’t...our country has changed so much sometimes I don’t recognize her..just go anywhere where people gather and you’ll hear other languages. 65 million non-English speaking folk here can easily rattle our election in a heartbeat!! I believe democRATS have been the victors in this so called fight..our spineless reps helped the rats increase their voting block!! They thought by playing nice and granting amnesty was going to get them a huge voting block...egg on them...like trump said they don’t know how to win...corrupted bastards!!!
Yes they are oversampling Dems, but if they have always been oversampling Dems by those margins it means it makes an ok baseline view for trends.
This is what the USC is great for.. Because it’s sampling the same folks daily it is a far better indicator of real trending of the race... It may not give you the accurate result but it is an excellent poll to see the real trends not the invented ones by manipulating samples.
I can make any poll say anything I want by manipulating sample and questions... But if I have the same sample daily and the same questions daily I am producing a far more reliable baseline for trend analysis. Downside is I am stuck with whatever bias my original sample group may have had, but I am far better at offering real insight to what is really going on.
The best Obama did was D+6, in 2012. And when it comes to enthusiasm, Hillary ain’t no Obama.
CC
Past accuracy of the poll notwithstanding, that really seems absurdly high. That woman can't fill a high school auditorium with supporters, yet she has more enthusiasm for her than The Won did? I don't think so.