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To: RoseofTexas

In a 7 day rolling average poll, you won’t know the effect of a specific event until it has rolled off the average. If the poll had moved significantly today, it could have been just as easily a significant day rolling off the average as a significant day rolling on. So the best answer for figuring out if the last debate had any real impact is to wait until next Wednesday.


19 posted on 10/21/2016 5:16:10 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: Rokke

I think the fact that all 3 tracking polls (including the 3 day Rasmussen) showed basically no movement yesterday though indicates the media’s efforts yesterday to hit Trump on his “scary” election comments failed, probably offset by a good debate performance Wed night. FWIW the tracking polls all showed movement immediately after the women comment tape came out towards Hillary and all started back towards close race/tie by mid-week.


34 posted on 10/21/2016 5:52:44 AM PDT by rb22982
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