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Trump Moves up, HItlary Moves down in Dornsife Yet Again
USC/Dornsife | October 18, 2016 | vette6387

Posted on 10/18/2016 12:09:52 AM PDT by vette6387

Donald Trump continues to pull away from Hillary. If the slope of the two curves maintains, things will be back to where they were a couple of weeks ago by this weekend.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; polls; trump; trumpbump

1 posted on 10/18/2016 12:09:53 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: vette6387

Linky: http://cesrusc.org/election/


2 posted on 10/18/2016 12:10:35 AM PDT by vette6387
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To: vette6387

That’s good news but I personally have been adding 10 points for Trump to any media driven poll due to their bias and because they have been caught polling far more dems than repubs. It may not be that much in some and more than that in other depending on the outlet.


3 posted on 10/18/2016 12:34:56 AM PDT by Boomer (Is it time for a new "Freedom Party" to emerge to replace the GOPe and the radical dems?)
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To: Boomer
They are also sherry picking from populations that benefit iLLary, like getting more women, college education, etc. There is not telling where else are they doing cooking their numbers to get the poll favorably to her.
4 posted on 10/18/2016 12:40:41 AM PDT by vinny29
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To: Boomer

depends which poll

NBC correction factor of 9-15 necessary
Fox etc require a correction factor of 5-7

plus of course one needs to account for the ‘monster vote’ factor which is anyone’s guess these days.

I’ve been predicting Trump will win some surprising NE states. NJ (14), VT (4), RI (3), NY (29), PA (20), MI (19), and Wis (10) are all strong possibilities.


5 posted on 10/18/2016 1:08:44 AM PDT by vooch
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To: vooch
depends which poll

Ha...Hillary in the toilet.

Momentum Rules.

6 posted on 10/18/2016 1:39:00 AM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
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To: vette6387

That’s not fair! The methodology of this poll locks them into using the same people so they can’t skew it to the narrative. Conservatives should not be allowed to see this poll.


7 posted on 10/18/2016 3:06:19 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: vinny29
They are also sherry picking

Sherry, rather than cherry, picking is probably appropriate in this case. Anyone working to get Hillary elected knows that the challenge is to get voters to overlook her considerable unlikeability, criminality, corruption, and overall bad judgment--and the only way they can actually think that getting her into office is a good idea is if they are under the effects of some mind-altering substance. And sherry, consumed in sufficient quantities, does affect the mind.

8 posted on 10/18/2016 3:07:32 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: exDemMom
overlook her considerable unlikeability, criminality, corruption, and overall bad judgment

They just want her in the office so that they can wreck supreme court, issue executive orders, continue to open the border, tax everyone and everything, enrich their personal nest eggs

hILLary just wants to be President, Bill promised it to her and Obama ruined it. He came along and the dems said to themselves, No to hILLary, and hold nose for Obama

9 posted on 10/18/2016 3:41:56 AM PDT by Dustoff45 (We are down to the Super Bowl of politics - Winner take all)
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To: exDemMom

How do they pick those for polling? I have never been called for any of these polls.


10 posted on 10/18/2016 4:14:10 AM PDT by Morpheus2009
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To: Morpheus2009

I don’t know. I’ve never been called for a political poll, but I’ve been called for other polls.

The Nielson TV rating company somehow selected me once, and I found that my TV viewing habits completely changed during the week I was collecting data for them. Friends asked me to watch shows on their behalf so the ratings would go up...


11 posted on 10/18/2016 4:22:03 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: vinny29

I think the “college educated” line is total BS.

I learned critical thinking in college and as a result, I’m voting for Trump.

I also know that’s anecdotal evidence and unreliable.

However, I also know (based on this forum) that the probability that I’m the only one isn’t low.

So, there!


12 posted on 10/18/2016 4:40:46 AM PDT by delete306
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To: Morpheus2009

“...How do they pick those for polling?...”

I read a link or heard on an interview recently (forget which), that the pollsters know exactly which zip codes to call within to support the results they want and this would not surprise me at all, although I can’t personally verify the statement.


13 posted on 10/18/2016 4:44:51 AM PDT by stonehouse01
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To: exDemMom

LOL...:)


14 posted on 10/18/2016 5:18:47 AM PDT by vinny29
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To: vette6387

Never mind. She’s already won and she’s moving her stuff into the WH.


15 posted on 10/18/2016 6:23:53 AM PDT by surrey
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