Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Near tie in RCP EV count (C 272, T 266)
Real Clear Politics ^ | September 24, 2016 | RCP

Posted on 09/24/2016 4:51:10 PM PDT by ConquerWeMust

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-72 last
To: FenwickBabbitt
I don't think more of his abilities as a candidate. I just think he would have run stronger with different demographic groups in some of these states. I'm sure, for example, that he would have outperformed Trump among women (especially REPUBLICAN women) but underperformed among independents and disenchanted voters.

Keep in mind that George W. Bush won Ohio twice, too -- so a Jeb Bush win there wouldn't have been an outlandish scenario.

61 posted on 09/24/2016 6:28:46 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: oblomov
I have a theory that states automatically become "uncontested" in major elections once they start electing Independents, minor party candidates, and wacky people to statewide offices. Both political parties -- but mainly the GOP -- just assume that the electorate is collectively brain-damaged to the point where it's not worth spending time and money there.

You can add California and Minnesota to that group, too.

62 posted on 09/24/2016 6:33:01 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

If the Senate it is lost it is because the RINO’s would not join Trump not because of Trump winning the election. Jeb! Would have lost many red states, Cruz would be no where near Trump’s numbers and Rubio would have crashed and burned against Hillary. Trump may crash and burn in the debate but at least he took the fight to Hillary something neither Rubio nor Bush would have tried. They would be like Romney trying to play defense the whole time.


63 posted on 09/24/2016 6:33:50 PM PDT by georgiarat (Obama, providing incompetence since Day One!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Ravi

Someone should tell Trumps people to host a rally at the Augusta Civic Center.

95% of Mainiacs live within 75 minutes of Augusta. It would be huge.


64 posted on 09/24/2016 6:43:18 PM PDT by proudpapa (Trump 2016!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: georgiarat
Maybe so, but just follow my logic on this ...

One of the incumbent Republicans in the Senate whose seat was considered vulnerable this year was Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania. Now I know there are a lot of reasons for conservatives not to like him, but he IS the incumbent and he's a hell of a lot better than Arlen Sphincter or whatever that loser's name was.

Now it's not impossible to see a scenario unfold where Trump loses in November while Toomey wins, but I would feel much better about holding that seat if Trump wins Pennsylvania. If the end result is that both Trump and Toomey lose, then what exactly was the point of Trump running in the first place? His biggest appeal was that he'd get "Reagan Democrats" to cross the aisle and support him, and I would hope a lot of them would support the Republicans in those Rust Belt states, too.

65 posted on 09/24/2016 6:47:40 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies]

To: ConquerWeMust
There ought to be a ban on polls....at least here.

Polls are NOT news...They aren't at all. They are manipulated b.s. to try and sway the masses...

Do you in fact believe the polls???

66 posted on 09/24/2016 6:51:05 PM PDT by Osage Orange (PNA....my butt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

I understand your point but I believe we would not be ahead in the Nevada Race without Trump and Burr would be toast.


67 posted on 09/24/2016 6:51:39 PM PDT by georgiarat (Obama, providing incompetence since Day One!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 65 | View Replies]

To: georgiarat
That's a good point.

One way or another, I think the presidential election and individual Senate elections are going to have interesting combinations of winners in individual states.

68 posted on 09/24/2016 6:54:12 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Sometimes I feel like I've been tied to the whipping post.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

Voter turnout will be critical for us in close states. Many blacks and DEmocrat voters in states that don’t allow straight party voting will pass on the Senate vote.


69 posted on 09/24/2016 7:00:42 PM PDT by georgiarat (Obama, providing incompetence since Day One!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 68 | View Replies]

To: ConquerWeMust

If you look at the different EV maps put together at www.270towin.com, they all manage to elect Hillary with 272 or 273 EVs, they just disagree on which states! Some exclude Nevada, some Colorado, some New Hampshire, some Iowa. But it’s almost like none of them want to cross the line and say Hillary won’t win it.

I think we can evade having to win Michigan, Pennsylvania or Virginia if we can collect Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada and either Colorado or New Hampshire. That’s the challenge, as I see it.


70 posted on 09/24/2016 7:22:40 PM PDT by OrangeHoof ("If you cain't run yo own house, you cain't run da White House. Cain't do it." - Michelle Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pearls Before Swine

If VT votes Republican so does every state on this list and a lot of others. Chances VT goes Republican and NH doesn’t are zero.


71 posted on 09/24/2016 7:40:19 PM PDT by Impy (Never Shillery, Never Schumer, Never Pelosi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

The sad situation of D voters getting gunned down in Chicago does not change the Illinois result one way or the other
because
dead D’s still vote, and quite reliably too, in Chicago


72 posted on 09/25/2016 12:20:40 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-72 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson