http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
Posted on 09/21/2016 5:58:08 AM PDT by Mariner
The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton's popular vote.
The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It's the closest in recent weeks.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
The first debate will be very decisive. He needs to crush her.
That’s going to be a tall order. The moderators will be in full Candy Crowley mode.
Holy crap! Nate get a grip.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
And Hillary will have an earpiece.
Exactly. Like Alabama at home versus Northeast Alaska State.
(No, there isn’t a Northeast Alaska State, but you get the picture - I hope) :)
Roll Tide
(No I am not an Alabama grad, but couldn’t mention Alabama without a Roll Tide) :)
He and all the other pundits are missing it when it comes to those Rust Belt states. That’s where the “monster” vote will occur.
I’m seeing 42.9 and 256.9 EV on his site... Perhaps it didn’t update yet? The article has the updated info?
I consider MA, CT and NY to all be possible for Trump. Not safe for Hillary.
Nebraska 2 a tossup? NV a tossup? NC a tossup? CO NOT a tossup? He’s still painfully biased towards the sickly one
NOTE TO DONALD:
Be sure to check ILLARY for an earpiece. She’ll be wearing that new hairstyle where her hair covers her ears - so he is going to have to do the Jimmy Kimmel thing on her.
or carry a jammer in your pocket and disrupt the mad mama-jammer.
We know that you read her to get campaign strategies!
FL a tossup??? LOLOL. Trump has FL in the bag.
The handshake is a good opportunity
Wait for the naysayers to come in and post that those states are impossible for Trump to win - as is California!
The bar is low for both Clinton and Trump in the debate. Normally it would be high for Clinton, except for her recent setbacks.
Trump is not known for being a strong debater, although he did well enough in the primaries, and doesn’t have the depth of knowledge (mostly BS) that Clinton has, although he is a quick study. He just needs to remain focussed, statesmanlike and not take bait that she throws out to him which would reinforce her meme that he is temperamentally unfit.
Clinton is not well. Whether it’s truly pneumonia and/or something else, she clearly is struggling. She needs to reassure the public that she has a strong enough constitution to handle the job. If she remains standing and seems to keep her wits about her, she’ll get kudos and the DBM will laud her for her courage and fortitude.
Likability is a huge factor. As long as Trump makes his points with a smile and doesn’t get angry and flustered, he’ll come across well. He also appears to be speaking off the cuff from the heart and not scripted. He connects with people and doesn’t sound like your typical mealy mouthed pandering politician.
Clinton has never smiled in her life, although she is known to occasionally cackle irrationally. Pretty weird, really. She can be particularly strident and annoying. She also filibusters with memorized and scripted answers which make her sound like just another pandering politician.
So basically, Trump has to be statesmanlike in demeanor (people will remember that, not necessarily what he says) and Clinton needs to remain standing until the end. If they both achieve that, it will probably be called a draw which will accrue to Trump’s advantage.
"I knew it!"
She should be checked for an earpiece... the same way athletes and horses have their urine checked. Just to keep it fair, haha.
“I consider MA, CT and NY to all be possible for Trump. Not safe for Hillary.”
All will be closer than 2012. However, there simply aren’t enough right-thinking people in those districts. CT is the best chance of the 3, but, remember, The Marxist won CT by 57-41 in 2012, and a very awful Dem governor still won reelection by a safe margin a few years ago. CT, overrun with bad demographics, is sadly in the hopeless category.
While Trump is making great strides he needs to be aware that the biggest prize in this election is Pa. He can win there even with the fraud. Why else would Hillary go to high schools in Phila. and Temple U.? Why did Michelle O., Biden and Obama himself go to Phila.? They all plan to go there again. They know it is slipping. Pa. is electorial vote rich and will swing the entire elction. Any others are gravy.
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