"WTF?!"
Posted on 09/15/2016 3:56:31 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
With the presidential election less than eight weeks away, the race is too close to call in Virginia, according to a poll released Thursday.
Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton held a 3-percentage-point lead over Republican Donald Trump among likely voters, but the spread is within the margin of error, according to a telephone survey commissioned by the University of Mary Washington’s Center for Leadership and Media Studies.
Clinton’s lead was wider – 5 percentage points – when the pollsters included the results of all registered voters surveyed, not just those who indicate they’re likely to vote Nov. 8.
Voters remain unhappy with both major party candidates. Sixty percent have unfavorable views of both and most don’t consider either to be honest and trustworthy, the survey found.
Among likely voters, Clinton was favored by 40 percent, Trump by 37 percent and Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson 8 percent, with all other candidates together getting 4 percent. Nine percent of those polled were undecided or wouldn’t say.
The landline and cellphone survey of 685 likely voters, conducted Sept. 6-12, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points for results involving likely voters. The margin drops to 3.9 percentage points when calculating the results with all 852 registered voters who were contacted.
The Mary Washington poll contrasts with the conclusions of two independent websites that aggregate the results of several polls.
RealClearPolitics.com and FiveThirtyEight.com, which do not include the new poll, say Clinton is leading in Virginia. For example, FiveThirtyEight projected that Clinton leads Trump 44 percent to 38 percent among likely voters.
The new Virginia poll also reported that likely voters gave Clinton higher marks than Trump for leadership qualities and the “right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president.”
Although the Census Bureau reported Tuesday that average household incomes rose 5.2 percent nationally in 2015 – the largest one-year increase since at least the 1960s – most of those polled apparently weren’t feeling it. The same Census data showed that Virginia’s median income dropped almost 8 percent. It went from $66,231 in 2014 to $61,486 last year when adjusted for inflation.
Those surveyed were almost evenly split between those who felt the economy was worse than a year ago, better than last year or about the same.
Trump will win VA.
Hillary was supposed to have it in the bag with her pick of running mate Tim Kaine.
Looks like he isn’t much help.
Her running mate may well be a Virginia negative.
I wonder if McAufflie is a net negative for Cankles in Old Dominion. Too many connections with HRC in the past and a scoundrel in general all by himself.
I wonder what order they asked the leading questions?
“Did you know household income went up 5% this year?”
“Will you vote for Hillary to keep household incomes up next year, or for the racist and bigoted trump who will cut welfare and lower Social Security to our elderly next year?”
God bless..you are so right.
TTTT! Trump wants to win Virginia. They have an active ground game going. Now if we can just eliminate the voter fraud, which is appalling in the deep blue areas of the Commonwealth like the corrupt City of Alexandria.
Bobby Scott will be nominated to replace Kaine- which will fire up the anti-’white’ electorate to turn out for Hillary.
But at least Hillary might have to spend some ad money in NOVA.
I still think McAwful will find a way to deliver VA with fraud but this is encouraging
It all depends on turn out of blue collar western & central Virginians.
Methinks likeley voting felons were excluded from that poll ...
How long before Hillary has another meltdown?????
Who wants a sick old woman in the White House, governing this country full of IVs and catheters? Replaced by Abedin the Moslem Brotherhood operative for REAL.
Government workers spreading out like a stain from DC
My work takes Me all over the Virginia Country side. I see hundreds of Trump signs on lawns and in fields. I am YET to see one Hillary sign.
The left HATES Hillary.
Just wait, and you’ll see.
After she loses, just how much they hate her. She will be drummed out of the party after losing to Trump. It’s going to be glorious to watch.
Trump’s child care policy statement was a brilliant move and I believe it will make a huge difference in metropolitan areas across the country like Northern Virginia. He completely co-opted this very important issue for women.
My guess these Northeast States Will Go Trump:
Maine (3 of 4 EC votes)
NH (4)
RI (4)
NY (29)
NJ (14)
Alas - I think PA (20) Will Go Crooked
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