Hitlary's Amerika
Posted on 07/28/2016 4:36:38 PM PDT by dontreadthis
We are not, repeat NOT, going to exhaust unnecessary energy in the next 10 days to deconstruct the insufferably predictable media-agenda-polls that are looming on the near horizon.
The corporations who have a vested interest in manufacturing the Potemkin village have their collected pollsters armed with fresh paint to create the optics of a “historic” surge in polling upon the conclusion of the Democrat National Party Convention in Philadelphia.
Benjamin Franklin Half a Truth is often a Great Lie
This paint job has been planned for weeks, if not months.
You can count on a manufactured corporate-media pretense to deliver a carefully scripted narrative giving Hillary Clinton a post convention bounce around 10 to 15 points (+/- 3).
What’s coming is so intensely predictable, that if they don’t do it – we’ll actually eat a plain rice cake.
There may be a few scientific polling outcomes that are not connected to the tentacles of the media; we’ll look for those.
However, polling from: CNN/ORC (Turner), ABC (Disney), NBC (Mark Murray), Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch), Monmouth (Patrick Murray), FOX News (Daron Shaw), Reuters, CBS (David Rhodes), and PPP (Happy Liberals), are g-u–a-r-a-n-t-e-e-d to be manufactured for maximum political value. ie. Painting the Potemkin Village.
Fortunately, there’s a decent (and recent) history showing the ideological fail of their best prior efforts. Divergent outcomes including: Matt Bevin (KY), GOP Primary (FL, IN, etc), The Brexit outcome, and the Republican delegate totals etc., the list goes on.
Consequently, amid the new electoral awakening, people are looking more critically, more cynically, at the disconnect between agenda-driven media polls (corporate interests) and the factual real outcomes (people interests).
How can we be so certain the onslaught is about to take place? Good Question.
Take today, as a litmus in a predictive sense. The Pennsylvania polling from Suffolk U is bizarrely disconnected from current reality. Also today, Rasmussen says Clinton leads by 5 points amid “unaffiliated” voters. Keep in mind just last week the same Rasmussen poll had Trump leading by 20 points (44/24), with those SAME unaffiliated voters. Did unaffiliated Rasmussen voters swing 25 points in a week?… of course not. That’s silly. But that’s what they presented today. The week prior to last week it was Trump +11 (43/32) with the same voters.
Conversely, Donald J Trump did not swing 16 or 17 points in his post GOP convention bounce. Attributing such pro-Trump polling outcomes to reality is just as flawed as accepting the upcoming pro-hillary polling paint job.
Outlining the media corruption in this process is not conspiracy theory, it’s not hiding from reality, it’s not a host of other “things” or “isms” that those with vested political interests might call it. It’s just simply the natural and transparently predictable acceptance that trillions of dollars are at stake in this election, and those massively invested influences have a vested stake in a very particular and specific approach.
And we hate rice cakes.
They want Hillary elected.
Whether her speech is well received or not, they’re going to predict she’ll be the next President Of The United States.
Even if no one knows whether its true.
By Monday we will be talking people off the ledge
And, jeez, if I hear one more time, how 'historic' her nomination is, I will bang my head against the wall. Every presidential election is 'historic'. Don't they remember the 'portraits of the president' place mats at Howard Johnsons? You don't get more historic than that.
I will walk out of HoJos if they put a Hillary placemat in front of me.
Hillary could pass out tonight and MSM would still laud her speech as one for the ages.
You know its coming and whether we like it or not, we’re expected to believe there’s a massive ten to fifteen point swing in over a week.
Yeah, right.
I agree about the biased polling heading our way. Just look at the trend line in the Trump vs Hillary RCP Average. Every time Trump catches up with Hillary (like now) a bunch of pro-Hillary polls come out and she jumps ahead again.
I’m going to watch the USC poll of the same 3000 people with 1/7th of them queried daily and the results used to compute a 7 day running average of all 3000 participants.
That is a really interesting methodology and would be very difficult to skew either for or against either candidate. It may be the only really trustworthy poll we will see for the next couple of weeks.
That Suffolk poll has Toomey down 7 in PA...no way. He’s been ahead in every poll all year.
CNN breathlessly interviews everybody but the janitors in their worshipfest each day. It’s totally sickening stuff from the Twilight Zone.
It is DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK,
DARK, DARK, DARK, DARK . . . . DARKEST before the DAWN.
More Bill & Hillary, I cannot survive. - When is Hitler-y
going to “reveal” Chelsea’s two kids? Poor babies! If she
doesn’t USE them, it would be a miracle.
The report that Trump was up 17% since the RNC was just reported so they can claim that Hillary is up 25% since the DNC.
Selected Trump articles on FR, from 2:45 PM to 11:59 PM EDT, 7/28/16:
VIDEOS=> Boos Rain Down on Hillary at Start of Speech; Protesters Ejected From Convention –Kristinn Taylor
THE EVIDENCE: HILLARY'S AMERICA--THE SECRET HISTORY OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY –Dlnesh D’Souza
ISIS Warns US, UK Christian Clergy, Congregants: You’re Next –Bethany Blankley
Wow! DNC Using White Noise Machines to Drown Out Bernie Supporters –GP
DNC Protests Streaming Live –Periscope
Roe v. Wade will be overturned if Trump wins, Pence says –MSN
The new political divide [Globalists of the world, unite!] –Economist ed board
DNC Retaliates against Sanders Supporters Who Call Foul on Corruption –NYObserver
Hillary NOT 1st woman to be nominated; Victoria Woodhull was, 1872 –Twitter
What's in the WikiLeaks DNC Recordings (video)
DNC: 11 Million Illegals 'Must Have Voice in Our Party and Nation' (video)
Dinesh D'Souza on Hillary's America –Rush Limbaugh
D'Souza Releases Video Likening Hillary to Eva Peron ahead of Acceptance Speech –HollywdRpt
The union vote: Trump wants to make it Republican –CNN
Beware The Predictable Polling Onslaught [predicts faux Dem bounce] –Sundance
Kaine: Recognizing Marriage as ‘Between a Man & a Woman’ Creates ‘Hostile Place’ –CNS
“Sandwiched between two forms of dhimmitude: Koran or Agenda-driven” –Fr.Z
DNC protests fizzle in face of exhaustion, storms, Clinton reality –PhilaInqr
Full List of Hillary’s Planned Tax Hikes –ATR
Clinton Cash – Official movie premiere –Breitbart
A Democrat finally calls for defeating ISIS; gets booed [Panetta at DNC] –NYPost
Sanders supporters walk out of Convention – news suppressed by MSM (video)
JAMES O’KEEFE ASSAULTED during Undercover Op at DNC –GP
Dems warn not to underestimate Trump’s potential to win –NYPost
Terrorists Strike Every 83 Hours; Obama, Hillary Insist ‘Everything Fine’ –Breitbart
FREEP a Poll [If election were held today, I would vote for:] –Slashdot
Kremlin to U.S.: Solve your own email problems –CBS
These vendors at the DNC don't see much enthusiasm for Clinton (video)
Treaty with Russia on Mutual Legal Assistance in Criminal Matters (Trump right again) –Congress.gov
Boom! Russia Obligated to Return Hillary's Deleted Emails by Treaty –RSW
The DNC's Odd Nod to Religion in Philly's Cathedral –NatlCathRegister
U.S. Flags Disappear from City Hall...Added to DNC Stage [Philly] –DailyCaller
Missouri Poll: Trump 47 Clinton 37; Trump close to +20 lead with men –SurveyUSA
DNC Convention Live; Day of Evil 4 –harwood
Trump Hillary Fight - Judge Napolitano: Hillary Sold Arms to Qatar (video)
My model shows Trump has 87% chance of beating Clinton –Helmut Norpath
The only way to look at polls is compare the same poll by the same pollster at two different times. If the MSM fiddles with the internals, we can correct for that. Party ID has to be consistent. Gender has to be consistent, usually 53-47 Female. Race has to be consistent. The are ways the dishonest propagandists manipulate by only giving final results. They have a base of data. And unless they go dishonest with that, which NBC did last fall to boost Fiorina after a debate, they will be consistent with subgroups. It’s how they proportion the subgroups. Gravis will be the most likely to play it straight. The five networks will be most likely dishonest. Colleges will be using special sauce to oversample groups predisposed to Hillary. Now their raw data may be decent so we can fix those. Time will tell how dishonest and corrupt the MSM polls are, so be careful with those next month. Nothing to worry about if you are ready. And when the juiced polls are posted, they can be fixed to be real. Anyone who has one of those, give me a heads up and I will run it through my own sauce and we can have a true picture
One thing is true:
EVERYONE voting for Trump WILL NOT change their vote, come what may.
Hillary, on the other hand, cannot climb - she will bleed off votes to Jill Stein, or even Trump.
Trump has nowhere to go but up.
ping to article
C Edmund Wright said this guy was in la la land, and a paid shill. I've decided Sundance is just a whole lot better at predicting this election cycle than anyone else. C edmund was wrong. Heh.
C. Edmund has disappeared someplace. Was he banned?
But, the demographics have been played with throughout this entire campaign by most of the pollsters that I’ve seen.
They play with male/female numbers, they play with democrat/republican/independent, they play with age, and for all I know, they play with region and areas within regions.
You can say you have a balanced sample from “west, Midwest, northeast, south, etc.”, but if your Midwest numbers are drawn from Cleveland and Chicago, even the republican responses will be distorted.
Polling is a business. I’m guessing they make more money off of manipulation than they do off of accuracy.
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