Posted on 04/13/2016 1:04:50 PM PDT by monkapotamus
Gingrich: Odds Are Better Than Even Money That Trump Will Get the Delegates Needed Before the Convention
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted Republican presidential front-runner would more likely than not get the needed 1,237 delegates required to secure the GOPs presidential nomination before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland this July...
"When Cruz is running third, this is I had not thought about this coming out of Wisconsin candidly because Kasich is doing a little better than people expected. Cruz is doing worse than people expected.
What it does is its very hard to argue you are the key alternative when you are in third place...
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
To Jennifer and Patrick- Just what exactly are precinct captains supposed to do? Shouldn’t you have known about this?
Excellent analyst...terrible candidate....
Take your Cruz goggles off for a minute (if you can),,,,
I know Newt personally, I didn’t vote for him for president...
My kids grew up calling him Uncle Newt....
His analysis is spot on......
“Narcissistic ego”, along with being natural born, is one of the two requirements for obtaining the presidency. Trump is just very NEW YORK about it. I like his lack of fake modesty and refusal to hand-wring and apologize for every little thing.
Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count the votes decide everything."
Bad guys like Reid and Pelosi, not to mention our enemies in China, Russia, and Iran.
So if he arrives at the convention with (say) 1,207 delegates, he'll need to put all his legendary deal making skill to work.
If he can do that, and get the nomination, I'll publicly apologize on FR for everything negative I've ever said about Trump's competence.
Cruz is becoming more off putting every day. He’s exactly the kind of clown that the GOP doesn’t need.
Ping to post 9.
Folks have accused him on Free Republic of "not knowing what he's doing." Oh you fools, he is such a quick study. When you do billion dollars deals, people like Cruz are total lightweights. Cruz, just like dems, overplayed his hand and revealed his dirty tricks. April is Cruz's demise, but he has neither the class or the dignity to admit this, so he'll go on believing Yeb and Reince. Oh well, he'll always have his job in the Senate. Well, ...maybe.
I think if Trump is ran out of the party at the convention and Cruz gets the nod, the GOP will be very happy. They would much rather have Hillary and be able to keep their racket going and get richer and richer as each day passes, cozying up to the globalists and lobbyst than have Trump completely reshape American politics. And they could care less if she appoints the entire US Supreme Court, as long as their jobs and way of life are secure. For them it’s Cruz all the way because they know he stands not one iota of a chance of beating her. Or they might be waiting for Cruz to get the nod then free one of the prostitutes he’s been having sex with for years. That way they get rid of him once and for all, who they all can’t stand. Anyway it shakes down unless Trump runs against her she’s the next president. He can beat her. Never think he can’t. The media wants people to think he can’t beat her. The crowds don’t lie.
Gingrich understands that the media hyping a brokered convention is jus that, a bunch of hype. Trump will win on the first ballot and we will move on to the general election. Cruz will go back to is seat in the Senate and contemplate his navel and why his naked ambition once again left him with nothing. If he had played his cards right Cruz could be in the driver’s seat for VP or Scalia’s slot on the high court. Sometimes you can be too smart for your own good.
Apparently the infamous Rule 40 requires that you win a majority of the delegates in 8 States. The way to prove this is by showing signed loyalty pledges from the delegates in 8 states. With all the “Trojan Horse” Cruz delegates, Trump might not be there yet. And some think if you are bound to the candidate on the first ballot you have to say you will support the candidate. But let's assume Trump gets there, and there is a second ballot. You have to reshow each time you have majority of delegates in 8 states. Trump would likely not be on the second ballot.
More info read these tweets and Patrick Ruffinihttps://mobile.twitter.com/LPDonovan/status/720357571941572609
Noot never balanced the budget. It's bad enough listening to Clinton's false claims that the budget was balanced. But it's even worse hearing Noot repeat it. The last year we ran a surplus was 1957.
Do you have any idea how stupid that sounds? I realize you are simply repeating what some other Trump supporter said, but if you stop to analyze it, you may come to grips with the idiocy of that theory.
They're Trump supporters. What did you expect? I gotta give them credit though. At least they knew there was a caucus on March 1, which puts them ahead of 99.9% of the remaining Trump supporters.
Unless you live on the planet Mars or you're SpongeBob SquarePants' friend Patrick who lives under a rock at the bottom of the ocean or you're the American lame stream media, we all know who would draw the larger crowds and more voters in the general election. The dynamic Trump or the dull, dreary, ex-wife screeching grandma Hillary?
Trump is the only one that can draw the voters. Hillary's having trouble even attracting demoCRAP voters to her in the primary campaign. Trump draws crowds like a rock star.
I don't believe any of the polls that say she beats him the general. I think Trump wins going away.
I hope your condition improves.
Or maybe not.
If the protestws ramp up(some violence in Pit) Trump will not get the nomination IMO.
I’ve been watching this whole thing with a certain degree of caution. The trajectory thing is what I have been watching. Sort of a clamped linear regression analysis of what the future holds. A month ago, I thought that this thing would have been over by now with Trump as the winner. Now, while Trump seems to have a slight edge in the trajectory, it has leveled off. I don’t know if he’s going to be able to close the deal between now and the California primary. He may, but it is looking less and less likely.
Trump is an accomplished guy. Not everything he’s ever done has worked. But you have to give him credit for trying various enterprises. Even the best business plans and most viable business cases, goes kaput for some ethereal reason that is neither logical or rational.
This is one of those enterprises. A good business plan, a solid business case, and it’s going kaput for a variety of reasons. Some self inflicted, and others that are competition based.
I think Trump goes into the convention with close...as you say probably 1,207. I can’t say Trump comes out the winner, but I don’t think Cruz wins on the second ballot either. They no more want Cruz than they want Trump.
I suspect that Romney is what is going to get foisted on us if Trump and Cruz cannot find a way to bury the hatchet.
Newt is astute.
He’s always a pleasure to watch. His thoughts run deep and well explored.
I would rather hear Newts opinion and reasoning than any other talking head .. syndicated or not, anchoring a desk or not.
His public problem is he’s a mouth. Diving into boring minutia and endlessly floating thoughts out there.
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