New WI Poll: Trump 42, Cruz 32, Kasich 23

American Research Group ^ | 04/04/2016 | American Research Group

[GIdget2004]

Likely Republican Primary Voters Apr 1-3 Cruz 32% Kasich 23% Trump 42% Other * Undecided 3%

[WENDLE]

Let me say this. It is you and the many supporters of Trump which get me out of bed each day. I have many problems but my spirit fights for a return to greatness of this, our country. Get active and get bold. Never stop. We have many hard days ahead. When,in history, has a man stepped up with his own money and boundless energy and stamina to fight for us!!? Do you think he needs this? Do you understand how easy it would be for Donald John Trump, Sr, to flip us off and`bury himself in opulent obscurity ? That would be so easy right now-— so easy but each day he gets up and flies for you — for me,to a new battlefield. I am truly reminded of the great Mel Gibson portrayal of Sir William Wallace against Longshank, the King of England. We are his army! We fight with him or we will get pulled apart with him. Only this time , we are too many. We pull them apart.

[Carry me back]

Rumors that Cruz is stepping aside after Wisconsin.

[GilGil]

Kasich sounded a lot like Trump tonight. He said Nato needed to be revamped for terrorisms and that the borders were leaking like Swiss cheese. Hmmmm! Where have I heard this?

[wardaddy]

No need to panic

Wisconsin has been Cruzs to lose 90% of polling done since Carson pulled out

I doubt anything has changed

If Cruz loses I’ll be surprised

[Mr Apple]

Rumors that Cruz is stepping aside after Wisconsin.

Good. Then Cruz will have plenty of time to go find 8 new nasty sluts.

[JerseyDvl]

Now you’re being silly. The guy is a complete narcissist and there’s no way in hell he’s dropping out.
He actually thinks he can win a floor fight as he tries to steal delegates. In it for the long haul and Lying Ted everyone’s cross to bear sorry to say.

[wardaddy]

Given Cruz leading I think 12 of the past now 16 polls in Wisconsin except the two Carson won way back....I think trump now has 4 and one of those 4 was a tie

I’m skeptical

Wisconsin was ALWAYS CRUZ’S TO LOSE

not this false narrative that Trump lost his lead in Wisconsin

That simply has not been the case

But about ARG

They are primarily a conservative polling group and have overweighed GOP respondents in last two POTUS generals which hurt them stats wise where as lib pollsters like WASHPO and ABC have been boosted by over sampling Dems like they do

ARG predictive plus or minus is .8
ABC is .7
IBD is .1.....the best
Massie is 1.7. one of the worst

ARG is in the bottom quarter of the largest firms accuracy wise but in the top half of the big 100 firms nationwide or better than average and it’s due to being GOP overweighed in general elections which won’t be the same issue in GOP primaries

And remember also the discrepancy spread we’re talking about here is much less than average margin of error

So it’s an exaggeration what you claimed

But I’m still skeptical anyway

Just on odds if Cruz has beaten Trump in 75% of the last 7 weeks polls you’d be wise to bet Cruz unless Trump won the last 4-5 in a row

[gogeo]

I figure there’s no need for me to decide now. If we have to cross that bridge we’ll put our heads together and figure the best way to poke the GOPee in the eye.

[toldyou]

Cruz 43% Trump 37% Kasich 18%

http://www.dailywire.com/news/4652/nate-silver-cruz-has-90-chance-winning-wisconsin-hank-berrien

[Unrepentant VN Vet]

for those who's heads exploded, I got this bridge I wanna sell....

Oh, I had a nice sight picture on Yash at first, but as soon as he posted something completely unlike his earlier stuff, I lost interest. (Except for the appreciation of the comedic devices.....VERY nice satire, Yash.)

Shoot, most of our resident Troll-For-Hire types would have done a COPY of that first gag line and reposted it fifteen or twenty times before they even got around to checking the spelling.

Yash, you might even try a variation of that deal next time to be more realistic. Especially if you leave in some really gross spelling or grammatical errors, just to bait the superanal spelling checkers around FR.

[sdpatriot]

>>>Suzanna Martinez, New Mexico gov.<<<<

that’s who’ve i’ve been thinking too..

or check out this long shot Native American young man:
http://opportunitylives.com/native-american-senator-and-former-democrat-explains-why-hes-now-a-republican/

[AllAmericanGirl44]

Oh dear, who let you back in??

[QuigleyDU]

I think a candidate other than Trump or Cruz is not in the cards, and Cruz better be within 100, at most 150 delegates to be viable.
==

Almost. But here’s the deal.

Better hope Cruz doesn’t get close and then endorses TRump, because Cruz was never a viable national candidate with a chance to win the general as seen in his beat down in FL and OH, plus, if he doesn’t endorse Trump he will hand the WHite House to Hillary. Trumps needs all the base.

This election is in Cruz’s hand, not as Prez, but as kingmaker. He’ll get some kind of deal.

We’ll see how “principled” our “conservative” really is, or if it’s all just about him.

[Kellis91789]

Earlier I heard Charles Payne on Fox Business refer to the ARG poll as “a much less respected poll”. All week both Fox channels have been reporting on Trump as though Wisconsin is the end of the line for him.

[Kellis91789]

Makes you wonder how much of it a concerted effort to bring down the non-Establishment candidate and how much is just trying to string out the ratings bonanza this primary season has been. If Cruz and Kasich were to drop out after tomorrow, ratings for these news channels would go in the toilet until July.

[cornfedcowboy]

How is Cruz knocked out on April 26th.

[Haiku Guy]

Placeholder. We’ll be back on this thread tonight.

[Degaston]

HRC-will-unite-the-Freepers-by-October-behind-the-GOP-nominee,-whoever-it-might-be.

[Degaston]

HRC-will-unite-the-Freepers-by-October-behind-the-GOP-nominee,-whoever-it-might-be.

[xzins]

The assault is all out yesterday. That poll really troubled them. Sundance of last refuge posted contradictions in recent polling that suggests to him that other polls are suspect. We do know that polling is a political tool and it can be bent. We’ll see today what the actual votes say.