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Cruz on back to Texas, Ted. You gave it your best shot!
The Green Papers 2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions ^ | March 23, 2016 | Myself/Vanity/Data Analysis

Posted on 03/23/2016 12:36:12 PM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R

THE DELEGATE RACE MATH ~ 35% of the primary election race remains.

Trump won 7,825,264 votes -—> 755 delegates.

T.Cruz won 5,737,119 votes —-> 465 delegates.

~~Countdown to 1237 delegates~~

There are 895 hard delegates remaining of which some are free/soft delegates. Some delegates have already been won by other candidates. We have 808 new delegates 'up for grabs' in the upcoming races.

Donald Trump: 755 delegates won. He must win 482 more delegates to reach 1237. That is 59% of the 808 remaining hard delegates. He may lose 397 more delegates & still win 1237.

Ted Cruz: 465 delegates won. He must win 772 more delegates to reach 1237. That is 96% of the 808 remaining hard delegates. He may lose 36 more delegates & still win 1237.

The current rules set a goal of reaching a simple majority of the delegates combined with a majority win of eight state delegations. When no candidate earns the majority of delegates, the rules change significantly.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: belongsinchat; byebyeteddy; cruz; elections; noob; noobvanity; primary; shutupnoob; trump; vanity
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To: G Larry
Cruz will win on the second ballot

So simple. Cruz (and his supporters) now clearly concede he cannot win--totally opposite of what he/they were saying two days ago when the mantra was that he was the only one (besides Trump) who could achieve the 1,237 delegate threshhold.

Simple question of moving the goalpost. We can be sure the goalpost will be moved again and again over the next 45 days as Cruz falls further and further behind.

Thanks for confirming that Cruz can no longer win legitimately, but now needs backroom shenanigans to win steal the nomination. The joke is that the Romney/Bush/Rove party has NO intention to support Cruz. Romney admitted this two days ago, when he delcared that the party would pick a (no name) republican, which he/they clearly do not consider Cruz to be.

41 posted on 03/23/2016 12:55:38 PM PDT by The Citizen Soldier ("Brussels is like living in a hellhole right now" ~Donald Trump 1-26-16)
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To: G Larry
Cruz WILL have 1237 on the second ballot

And the GOP as we know it WILL go down in flames in a spectacular display of self-destruction that has not been seen since the Whigs were in power.

42 posted on 03/23/2016 12:56:36 PM PDT by King of Florida (A little government and a little luck are necessary in life, but only a fool trusts either of them.)
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To: Kenny

Learn what a “brokered” convention is.

We’re not having one.

Cruz wins on the second ballot.


43 posted on 03/23/2016 12:57:16 PM PDT by G Larry (ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL Immigrants.)
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To: G Larry

Trump was won over a MILLION more votes than Cruz, and by the Convention that tally will be closer to Five million votes. So Yeah Larry, its STEALING.


44 posted on 03/23/2016 12:57:50 PM PDT by heights
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To: G Larry

Are there actually some Cruz supporters left? Must be the retard wing.


45 posted on 03/23/2016 12:57:53 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: G Larry

You appear to be perfectly comfortable with the idea of the party choosing our nominee, rather than the people.

That’s a totalitarian, top down form of government, you know. It completely violates the spirit of the Declaration, the Revolution, and the Constitution.


46 posted on 03/23/2016 12:58:01 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: The Citizen Soldier

The RULES require 1237 to get the nomination.

Trump won’t have 1237 on the first ballot.

Cruz WILL have 1237 on the second ballot.

Cruz is JUST WINNING under the rules.....THAT is NOT “stealing” anything.

Trump doesn’t “OWN” the nomination, so Cruz winning on the second ballot isn’t “stealing”......


47 posted on 03/23/2016 12:58:10 PM PDT by G Larry (ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS impose SLAVE WAGES on LEGAL Immigrants.)
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To: Durbin

No, it’s more like telling your nonathletic kid that mommy will fix it for him, so he gets to keep playing!

Even though your spastic child repeatedly drops the ball and cost your team points, mommy will make sure that you have a spot on the allstar team. Daddy will donate the $$$ for the coaches party or new sport’s field!

We all get a trophy.


48 posted on 03/23/2016 12:58:44 PM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: smoothsailing

You’re just jealous because tRump still fits into his Spiderman Underoos.


49 posted on 03/23/2016 12:58:58 PM PDT by beandog (Trump is a Crony Capitalist)
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To: GodGunsGuts

The only nomination Cruz has a shot at now is the Constitution Party. It’s all yours, Ted! GOD SPEED AND GOOD LUCK.


50 posted on 03/23/2016 12:59:17 PM PDT by King of Florida (A little government and a little luck are necessary in life, but only a fool trusts either of them.)
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To: G Larry

Learn what stealing because you couldn’t win with the people.

That’s what you’re having but don’t include me. I’ll never support Cruz as he’s just another establishment candidate. In case you missed it, that’s what this election was supposed to be about, stopping the establishment.

I’ll never support the establishment again and that include Cruz.


51 posted on 03/23/2016 12:59:33 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: Windflier

You are just the type of people the public are sick of...


52 posted on 03/23/2016 1:00:34 PM PDT by heights
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To: heights

Sorry....meant to send to LARRY!!!


53 posted on 03/23/2016 1:01:09 PM PDT by heights
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To: Uncle Miltie

Dear Uncle Miltie,

Too many FReepers post outdated delegate counts that are intentionally not correctly updated from news sources. Green Papers is a 16 year project with accurate counts linked to state election results.


54 posted on 03/23/2016 1:01:24 PM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Durbin
The difference is, in league play, unless there is a mercy rule the team is compelled to play to the end of regulation time. Nobody is compelling Cruz in a futile effort.

-PJ

55 posted on 03/23/2016 1:02:12 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: G Larry

No panic Larry, it’s just time ill spent when we should be gunning for Hellary.


56 posted on 03/23/2016 1:02:20 PM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: smoothsailing

“Must be the retard wing.”

I guess you consider almost 70% of the voters in Utah the “retard” wing. This is exactly why I, and other Cruz supporters, will not vote for the Donald. He has supporters like you.


57 posted on 03/23/2016 1:02:30 PM PDT by beandog (Trump is a Crony Capitalist)
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To: G Larry
Cruz will win on the second ballot and Trump will be too embarrassed to even return to “reality” TV.

And at that point, the GOP fractures uncontrollably, and Cruz goes on to lose in a landslide to Hitlery, while y'all are patting each other on the backs for making sure Trump didn't get in there. What a bunch of worthless turds. Sorry to see so many right here on FR that hate America so.

58 posted on 03/23/2016 1:02:58 PM PDT by dware (Contested convention = final nail in the GOP coffin)
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

“No, it’s more like telling your nonathletic kid that mommy will fix it for him, so he gets to keep playing!”

No, it’s more like telling your non athletic kid to never give up just because you’re losing.


59 posted on 03/23/2016 1:03:08 PM PDT by Durbin
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To: beandog

Now that’s funny!

Now that Cruz has lost, maybe we’ll see more humor around here. That will be a breath of fresh air!


60 posted on 03/23/2016 1:03:28 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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