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TIME TO DROP OUT? Ted Cruz Needs 87% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination
GP ^ | 03/17/16 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 03/17/2016 6:14:55 AM PDT by Enlightened1

After Super Tuesday 2.0 Donald Trump is on track to secure the Republican nomination.

trump cruz 2

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) would need 87% of remaining primary voters to win the nomination.
It might be time for Ted Cruz to drop out and endorse Donald J. Trump?

The New York Times reported:

Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.

Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome.

If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

 

 

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; badmath; cruz; delegates; exposingted; nomination; stupid; unenlightened; unworthyoffr; win
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To: Teacher317
Nobody is a guaranteed winner, but Cruz can finally have a chance if Kasich drops out.

And... nothing's been mentioned about the eventual destination of Rubio's delegates as well. This isn't over yet.

141 posted on 03/17/2016 7:07:53 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Republican Landslide

“Ted Cruz does not need to go into the convention with the majority of the delegates to win the nomination. All he has to do is keep Donald Trump from getting the majority.”


With all due respect, you’re simply not looking at this realistically. Cruz is hated by the GOPe just as much as Trump is feared by them. If this goes to a 2nd ballot, neither of them will get it. I don’t know who will, but it won’t be either of them - and then you have a LOT of very ticked off people who will likely stay home, giving the election and the future of this country to Hillary. Is that what you want?

Cruz can’t win 1,237. Let him apply the same standard to himself that he did to Rubio and Kasich - that if you cannot mathematically win the nomination, it is time to pack it in and stop dividing the Party.

He’s going to lose AZ next week - that’s 58 more delegates in Trump’s pocket, raising the bar to over 90% of the remaining delegates for Cruz to get to 1,237 - and that will never happen. Ronald Reagan could rise from the grave and endorse him, and he wouldn’t win that much. So, time to leave with his dignity and his (still very bright) political future intact.


142 posted on 03/17/2016 7:08:04 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: papertyger
You seemed to be implying there were 7 of you.

As far as the argument goes, all I've seen are unsupported assertions, repeated over and over. You're claiming to be able to predict the outcome of the election in November and trying to insult me into believing it's true and I'm not buying it.

143 posted on 03/17/2016 7:08:50 AM PDT by tacticalogic ("Oh bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: Mechanicos

“Soros Backs the GOPe which is Backing Cruz in the Stop Trump campaign...”

That is BS and you know it!


144 posted on 03/17/2016 7:08:57 AM PDT by Beagle8U
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To: Sybeck1
Both Cruz and Kasich will begin looking small and petty as they continue to pile on Trump when he is pointing his knives towards Hillary.

The day Trump starts going after Hillary is a serious way is the day the useless MFM starts going after Trump in a serious way.

They have been giving Trump a pass, because it suits their purposes to have Trump leading the Republican field. But as soon as he becomes a threat to Hillary, the avalanche of slime will begin.

If this happens soon, Trump will never get his majority of delegates.

145 posted on 03/17/2016 7:09:11 AM PDT by Republican Landslide (People do not like being threatened. They resent being threatened.)
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To: Enlightened1

Yes Cruz needs to drop out.


146 posted on 03/17/2016 7:09:35 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: for-q-clinton
Otherwise why have any primaries after Super Tuesday?

My point was, we haven't had meaningful primaries past Super Tuesday for nearly 40 years now.

I happen to agree with you that the primary process should be changed so that less than 10 states don't dictate the candidates for the rest of us.

My own opinion is that primaries should be held in a maximum of 90 days, and in two stages, if required.

Stage 1: Sixty Day Sprint. All candidates campaign in this sixty days. Primaries are held on day sixty in all 50 states. If a Democrat or Republican Candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, they become that party's Presidential Candidate. If not, we move onto Stage 2.

Stage 2: Thirty Day Sprint. Of the remaining candidates (D and/or R) the top two candidates in either party have thirty days to make their case to the American People. On day thirty, the run-off primary occurs. Since there will be a max of two candidates in either party running, the candidate who gets over 50% becomes that party's candidate.

The beautiful thing about my solution: LESS POLITICAL ADS, shortened primary season, and an elimination of any "brokered" or "contested" convention. The will of the People is expressed in the Primaries and those candidates move forward and run for President.

Neat, clean, simple.

147 posted on 03/17/2016 7:10:30 AM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: John Valentine
But Cruz has a much better chance of defeating the Democrat than Trump does.

That's your opinion...I disagree. Trump has a better chance.
148 posted on 03/17/2016 7:10:33 AM PDT by Girlene
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To: Beagle8U

Soros Backs the GOPe which is Backing Cruz in the Stop Trump campaign - So yes hes Backing Cruz as a tool to stop Trump.


149 posted on 03/17/2016 7:11:15 AM PDT by Mechanicos
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To: Teacher317

If only Kasich will drop out..ain’t going to happen


150 posted on 03/17/2016 7:13:23 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (Only they can beat Hillary, but for some reason they can't beat him)
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To: tacticalogic
As far as the argument goes, all I've seen are unsupported assertions, repeated over and over.

Hardly. The numbers are against you. You know it. I know it. But you're willing to risk a Republican revolt under the rubric of "process."

151 posted on 03/17/2016 7:14:12 AM PDT by papertyger (-/\/\/\-)
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To: Beagle8U

http://dailycaller.com/2016/03/14/soros-associate-gives-200000-to-pro-kasich-super-pac/


152 posted on 03/17/2016 7:14:27 AM PDT by Mechanicos
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To: Beagle8U

http://dailycaller.com/2016/03/14/soros-associate-gives-200000-to-pro-kasich-super-pac/


153 posted on 03/17/2016 7:14:59 AM PDT by Mechanicos
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To: Enlightened1

By his own repeated admission, he is no longer trying to win, but only trying to stop Trump. Just like his Establishment buddies and democrats.

And Rush still claims Cruz is the most hated.


154 posted on 03/17/2016 7:16:42 AM PDT by odawg
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To: ScottinVA

You keep saying that, but how does Cruz get the nomination?

He can’t. With Arizona next week, and the NE states in April, Trump will rack up another 300+ delegates. Cruz would need to win 110% of the remaining delegates. Cruz CAN NOT WIN.

The Rubio and Kasich delegates are not going to go to Cruz on the first ballot. They’re there to deny Trump an outright win. And is it goes to a second ballot, we’re getting the GOPe choice. Not Trump. Not Cruz. Establishment.

The choice is to get behind Trump and work together to beat Hillary in the fall, or play the contested convention game and get stuck with a Bush/Kasich ticket for the general.


155 posted on 03/17/2016 7:18:13 AM PDT by Velvet_Jones
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To: Republican Landslide

“Can a Trumpster discuss anything without issuing a threat?”


I like Trump, and I can. Of course, I’ll very happily vote for Cruz if he’s the nominee...but the math behind that is virtually impossible, and it will become even less likely next week after Trump wins AZ and its 58 WTA delegates.

Cruz has to decide 1) whether to exit gracefully now (or soon, maybe after AZ) and both unify the Party and give us the best chance against Hillary or, alternatively, 2) to keep fighting for no particular purpose and effectively throw the election to Hillary. He is NOT going to win on the 2nd ballot, the GOPe will never allow it...it is going to be a complete free-for-all if no one gets 1,237 on the first ballot, and I can guarantee you that the GOPe is already leaning on delegates to vote for a “consensus” candidate (Yeb! or Marco or Romney) in that case.

I like Cruz - a LOT - but he needs to choose Door #1. We MUST stop Hillary, and ANY Republican would be better than her.

See, no threats, just a rational discussion. We may disagree, but it is a civilized disagreement.


156 posted on 03/17/2016 7:18:41 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: papertyger
Hardly. The numbers are against you. You know it. I know it. But you're willing to risk a Republican revolt under the rubric of "process."

All of your "numbers" are somebody's speculation. None of them are objectively verifiable. It's all a classic PsyOps "Bandwagon" routine.

157 posted on 03/17/2016 7:19:03 AM PDT by tacticalogic ("Oh bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: Republican Landslide

Trump has already named two possible judges for Scalia’s replacement. Both very conservative. Diane Sykes and Tom Pryor.

Try to at least think of something to say that has a grain of credibility.


158 posted on 03/17/2016 7:19:16 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: tacticalogic
All of your "numbers" are somebody's speculation. None of them are objectively verifiable.

Are you kidding me? Have you NOT been watching the primaries?

159 posted on 03/17/2016 7:20:31 AM PDT by papertyger (-/\/\/\-)
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To: Mechanicos

“Soros Backs the GOPe which is Backing Cruz in the Stop Trump campaign - So yes hes Backing Cruz as a tool to stop Trump.”

‘David Duke is backing Trump...because he is a tool to stop Cruz.’
See how stupid it sounds.

Soros has business deals with Trump, so is Trump backed by soros?


160 posted on 03/17/2016 7:20:44 AM PDT by Beagle8U
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