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TIME TO DROP OUT? Ted Cruz Needs 87% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination
GP ^ | 03/17/16 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 03/17/2016 6:14:55 AM PDT by Enlightened1

After Super Tuesday 2.0 Donald Trump is on track to secure the Republican nomination.

trump cruz 2

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) would need 87% of remaining primary voters to win the nomination.
It might be time for Ted Cruz to drop out and endorse Donald J. Trump?

The New York Times reported:

Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.

Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome.

If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

 

 

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; badmath; cruz; delegates; exposingted; nomination; stupid; unenlightened; unworthyoffr; win
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To: armydawg505
Republicans in all parts of our country have spoken.

Not all.. 21 states haven't made their statement yet. Once he passes 1,237, it's time to coalesce behind him.

121 posted on 03/17/2016 6:57:55 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: ScottinVA

Why are you caviling? It’s too far out to take such polls seriously, and you KNOW it if you’ve spent any time on FR or watched enough TV to hear them quoted.


122 posted on 03/17/2016 6:57:58 AM PDT by papertyger (-/\/\/\-)
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To: nascarnation

Well Trump has moved on the general it seems. He will not debate them anymore and both Cruz and Kasich desperately need him to, just so they can at least appear to be his equal, but he won’t give it to them or the GOPE. Both Cruz and Kasich will begin looking small and petty as they continue to pile on Trump when he is pointing his knives towards Hillary.


123 posted on 03/17/2016 6:59:16 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (Only they can beat Hillary, but for some reason they can't beat him)
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To: Ancesthntr

Lol.. Thanks for that! Math is not the Canadians friend.


124 posted on 03/17/2016 6:59:33 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: JerseyDvl
Then why be such an MSM parrot?.. You sound like whiny liberals who are obviously wrong and transparently hypocritical. Just the Canadian way?

That's cute. The whininess comes from those who cry that the opponent still competes until the game is over. The hypocrisy all yours, trumpette. If you're so confident in Trump, why are YOU whining? Kick back.. have a beer.. relax and throw confetti once he passes 1,237.

125 posted on 03/17/2016 7:00:07 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: papertyger
Why are you caviling? It’s too far out to take such polls seriously, and you KNOW it if you’ve spent any time on FR or watched enough TV to hear them quoted.

You failed to answer my question... Let's try again, shall we? If polls are such pabulum, why does Trump refer to them so often?

126 posted on 03/17/2016 7:01:24 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Enlightened1

No republican should take campaign advise from the New York Times. Mr. Cruz included.


127 posted on 03/17/2016 7:01:31 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: lacrew

“That’s the game now - deny Trump 1237 and ‘fix’ the situation at the convention.....and of course lose to HRC.”

Cruz needs to ask himself whether he wants to have a situation like this arise, which will absolutely kill any chance of the Constitution ever being interpreted properly. It won’t just be for the 25 years or so that Hillary’s Justices live, because of the judicial principle of stare decisis - wherein prior settled law is generally not over-ruled. Is THIS the legacy that Cruz wants to leave?

I ask that question because it is virtually impossible for him to get to 1,237 at this point. He (like everyone else) had it all planned out, and would have won much of the South...but for Trump’s entry into the race and his great success. So if Cruz simply cannot win, shouldn’t the same standard that he wants to apply to others (like Rubio and Kasich) also apply to him?


128 posted on 03/17/2016 7:01:34 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: Mechanicos

“...Soros backed Cruz will...”

When Trump supporters say crap like that it assures his fellow candidates supporters will NEVER vote for Trump.

Soros has never backed Cruz, and you know it.


129 posted on 03/17/2016 7:01:35 AM PDT by Beagle8U
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To: JerseyDvl
Thanks for that! Math is not the Canadians friend.

And respect for the electoral process isn't the trumpette's friend.

130 posted on 03/17/2016 7:02:06 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Enlightened1

I think both Kasich and Cruz needs to drop out at this juncture so we can focus on the general election and going after Hillary.

But Kasich looks like he drank the establishment koolaid and is full of his well-known stubborn streak and he feels “upped one” by an outsider (Trump) and still thinks he is the CEO of budget cuts within the Republican Party. Cuts are great, but the guy has let his stubbornish get the better of him, anyway he is a phony pro-amnesty hack and that is the number one issue that the establishment wants, amnesty and open borders and cheap labor.

I think if Kasich carries on, he will actually ruin his future, as well as taking votes that might go to Cruz.

As far as Cruz, he will not get the nomination. I don’t want this guy as V.P. no way, not after blaming Trump for the far left disruptions and their decades old riots et all. That was beyond the pale, I will never forgive Cruz for that and he is off my list and in fact he may have put his own Senate seat in jeopardy. He has let his snakes get the better of him. However, for the sake of unity against Hillary, he should now drop out, and I wouldn’t mind seeing him get some cabinet position in the Trump administration such as post master general, I don’t know, something, but not V.P..


131 posted on 03/17/2016 7:03:42 AM PDT by ShivaFan
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To: Ancesthntr

Anybody who thinks Trumps Supreme Court selections would be any better than Hillary’s is living in Fantasyland.


132 posted on 03/17/2016 7:03:55 AM PDT by Republican Landslide (People do not like being threatened. They resent being threatened.)
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To: Beagle8U

Soros Backs the GOPe which is Backing Cruz in the Stop Trump campaign - So yes hes Backing Cruz as a tool to stop Trump.


133 posted on 03/17/2016 7:04:27 AM PDT by Mechanicos
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To: Ancesthntr

Sounds like Trump has it locked up, so it’s probably time to stop demanding that Cruz give up.

You can’t have it both ways.


134 posted on 03/17/2016 7:04:29 AM PDT by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: ScottinVA

And you’re being willfully obtuse. Are you really so vapid as to think this strengthens your argument?

Trump does NOT refer to polls measuring events in NOVEMBER.


135 posted on 03/17/2016 7:04:39 AM PDT by papertyger (-/\/\/\-)
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To: ScottinVA

I will. We will get to 1237.


136 posted on 03/17/2016 7:04:46 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: ShivaFan
I think both Kasich and Cruz needs to drop out at this juncture so we can focus on the general election and going after Hillary.

I agree about Kasich.. he's one all of one state and is mathematically eliminated. Cruz, OTOH, is still in contention. As for Trump, he can concentrate on Hillary all we wants right now.

137 posted on 03/17/2016 7:05:25 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Sybeck1
How is a Cruz a guaranteed winner? H

Nobody is a guaranteed winner, but Cruz can finally have a chance if Kasich drops out. As a Cruz supporter, I'm eager and hopeful to see this happen... but nothing is guaranteed. Trump clearly seems to have a ceiling around 49%. He hasn't topped 49.3% yet, and his best numbers are all in liberal states where Hillary will kill him. Once Kasich is out of the way, we can see if Trump DOES have that Ceiling. If he does, then we need Cruz to win before the Convention, so he can beat Hillary, and he is up 8 in the polls over her. If Trump DOESN'T have that ceiling, then he will win easily before July, because of his lead and all of the winner-take-all states, and maybe he can improve on his polls against Hillary (currently polling even, but he frequently pulls in fewer votes than he polls... case in point, he has lost 10 states instead of the 2 he was supposed to lose (MN, TX).

138 posted on 03/17/2016 7:05:48 AM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: JerseyDvl
I will. We will get to 1237.

Perhaps so. Until then... relax... breathe...

139 posted on 03/17/2016 7:06:12 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Republican Landslide

The rules are the rules. What you write is spot on. The rules require a first round ballot winner to have 1237 delegate votes. The rules say that if there is no one attaining 1237, there will be a second ballot; then a third, if necessary, and so on, until one person achieves a total of 1237 on any ballot.

The “chosen one” is selected by the delegates - not the percentage/plurality of primary voters. Once bound delegates may change their selection after the first ballot.

The will of the majority of primary voters is irrelevant. The rules require a majority of delegates. It is a campaign within a campaign.

As an afterthought, I cringe when I hear Hannity and others encourage others to give up before the “game” is over. The “game” has rules. I never allowed my children to quit before the game was over. It builds bad life habits. I was taught that I shouldn’t ever be a quitter, even though the loss may be huge. If a person engages in a game, he/she should play it to the best of their ability, within the rules. Then, there is no dishonor.

I remember a winning college basketball coach being asked why he ran up he score. He said he thought it was wrong to shave points - if there was an issue with his team trying to succeed within the rules, the opponent should get better skills/players. After all, the rules are the rules. If Trump achieves 1237 (on a first or subsequent ballot) he is the victor under the rules. Frankly, his lobbying for victory if he achieves less than 1237 is repugnant to me. I suppose he doesn’t want the rules to apply to his majesty.

Gwjack


140 posted on 03/17/2016 7:07:01 AM PDT by gwjack (May God give America His richest blessings.)
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