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100% Reporting in MO: Trump 40.7%, Cruz 40.5%
Decision Desk HQ ^ | 2016-03-16 | Decision Desk HQ

Posted on 03/15/2016 10:03:59 PM PDT by old-ager

Title says it all. Will there be a recount?


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Missouri; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; election2016; missouri; newyork; trump; trumpcruzmo2016
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To: napscoordinator

“...McCain will bash trump until the primary day non stop.”

McCain has his own electoral problems. If he’s smart, he’ll keep a low profile.


81 posted on 03/15/2016 11:49:17 PM PDT by map
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To: chit*chat

Lost my cup of water on that one, I like it


82 posted on 03/16/2016 12:07:00 AM PDT by easternsky
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To: old-ager

Trump: I’ll take the win even if its by 1 vote


83 posted on 03/16/2016 12:10:22 AM PDT by 4rcane
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To: dragnet2

Though the delegates will be split between Cruz & Trump.


84 posted on 03/16/2016 12:26:44 AM PDT by Republican1795.
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To: chit*chat

I like it!


85 posted on 03/16/2016 12:46:25 AM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2016)
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To: Teacher317

You are correct—Trump underperforms the polls.

He will continue to do so right until we walks into the Oval Office as the next President. :-)


86 posted on 03/16/2016 12:50:08 AM PDT by cgbg (Epistemology is not a spectator sport.)
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To: true believer forever

The link in post 25 very good. At that page, click ‘presidential preference poll’, hit Submit. Shows final tally 382,000 something for Trump, 380,000 something for Cruz.


87 posted on 03/16/2016 1:58:14 AM PDT by Ciexyz ("You know who gets hurt? The people who worked hard, lived frugally, and saved their money." - Trump)
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To: Lower55

Yeah, but his lifetime number of days of not being a dual citizen is growing....just think, in May of 2016, it will be 2 whole years!


88 posted on 03/16/2016 2:05:36 AM PDT by jennings2004 ("What difference, at this point, does it make!"! Senator Cruz: Canadian from birth to May, 2014!)
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To: hillarys cankles

I give Mr. Trump credit for standing strong through all the pummeling he’s been receiving and for demonstrating Presidential-style leadership through this grueling campaign. I’ll give Mr. Cruz credit for having a substantial block of supporters in an extensive spread across the country. Let’s overlook our differences and disappointments over past events and disagreements and come together in unity. Trump for President, Cruz for VP.


89 posted on 03/16/2016 2:08:16 AM PDT by Ciexyz ("You know who gets hurt? The people who worked hard, lived frugally, and saved their money." - Trump)
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To: Teacher317

“He was supposed to only lose TX and MN”

Where did you get that? I pay close attention. No one has ever said that he would win every race, just most of them.


90 posted on 03/16/2016 3:52:57 AM PDT by odawg
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To: Pajamajan

Cruz got beat by 1MILLION votes in OH and FL alone. Rubes/Kasich or not, Cruz cannot compete in a broad swath of states.


91 posted on 03/16/2016 3:56:23 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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MO is winner-take-most:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MO-R


92 posted on 03/16/2016 5:04:38 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: napscoordinator

Last polls had Trump ahead, he’s got the endorsement of Jan Brewer and Joe Arpio. I’m hoping he can pull off a win in AZ, it’s 58 WINNER TAKE ALL delegates. Utah is 40 delegates, but is proportional, so if he keeps it close in UT, he could pretty much split the delegates, maintaining his overall lead against Cruz.


93 posted on 03/16/2016 5:17:57 AM PDT by euram
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To: Teacher317
Was supposed to be a 7-point Trump win... ends in a virtual tie... his leads always disappear on election day. He was expected to win in NC by 12.3, and won by 3.5... He was within 3.4 in OH, and lost by 11.2... three of tonight's five states he under-performs expectations as he has been doing since FEB 1.
    It seems to me you are blaming Cruz for overperforming his polls and still not winning. That is unfair; Cruz is doing exceptionally well getting out his vote; he just doesn't have broad appeal; there is only so much milk in the cow.
  1. Missouri: there was only one poll on RCP Missouri GOP list and it had Trump at 36; he got 40.5.
  2. North Carolina: RCP has 3 polls with 41.3 average for Trump; he got 40.2
  3. Ohio: RCP had 5 polls with a 35.4 average; Trump got 35.7

94 posted on 03/16/2016 5:26:40 AM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: Teacher317

I appreciate your posts, and I share your frustration. I appreciate anyone doing thoughtful analysis, whether they support Cruz, Trump, or anyone else. The ad hominem attacks are getting really old.


95 posted on 03/16/2016 5:50:02 AM PDT by txjeep
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To: hillarys cankles

“After the absolute pummeling trumps been taking from dems AND repubs is it really surprising that his lead has been shrinking. Bending but not breaking. I actually find it unbelievable. I don’t think any other candidate could withstand what trumps been dealing with.”

If that were the case, it would be reflected in the polls prior to the voting. In Trump’s case, he just underperforms relative to his competition. I suspect you have a lot of folks who decide to vote Cruz (usually) in the voting booth who were previously undecided or were going to vote for Rubio or Kasich.


96 posted on 03/16/2016 5:56:07 AM PDT by txjeep
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To: Teacher317

zzzzzzzzzz


97 posted on 03/16/2016 6:32:47 AM PDT by taketheredpill
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To: Pinkbell

Why do all othef sources, incl the state itself, say 100%. In any case, I do not believe absentees have been counted.


98 posted on 03/16/2016 6:35:09 AM PDT by taketheredpill
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To: taketheredpill

Excellent substantive retort. Trump falls short, by significant numbers, more than half of the time... and the other half, basically meets expectations. You cheer the polls showing him ahead, and then deny the polls immediately after someone shows that he doesn’t get those numbers... and you reply with empty stupidity and dismissals. You simply show yourself to have nothing intelligent to contribute. Well done.


99 posted on 03/16/2016 12:27:57 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: wardaddy; Teacher317

“The GOP had seen record primary turnout mostly for Trump anyhow but also for Cruz which makes losing that much harder for Cruz folks who know without Trump around they’d be at 600 delegates”

Without Trump drawing the heavy fire from the GOPe it would have all been aimed at Cruz. And I don’t think his campaign could have survived it alone. Cruz fans are dreaming if they think this would have been easier for them without Trump in the contest.


100 posted on 03/16/2016 5:33:33 PM PDT by Pelham (more than election. Revolution)
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