Posted on 03/07/2016 1:37:31 PM PST by C19fan
PPP's newest Ohio poll finds a very close race on the Republican side- with Donald Trump slightly ahead but perhaps more reasons within the numbers to think that John Kasich will end up winning the state.
Trump leads with 38% to 35% for Kasich, 15% for Ted Cruz, and just 5% for Marco Rubio. The race is pretty fluid though, with only 69% of voters saying they're committed to their current choice, and 31% saying they might change their minds between now and next Tuesday.
If voters do change their minds- especially supporters of Cruz and Rubio who appear to have little chance of being competitive in the state- Kasich is likely to be the beneficiary. Kasich leads Trump 55/40 if voters had to choose just between the two of them. Rubio voters move to Kasich 75/16 over Trump, Cruz voters do so 69/25, and undecideds would pick him 54/11 if Kasich and Trump ended up being the two candidates they chose between. Kasich is also by far the most broadly popular of the candidates in Ohio with a 70/22 favorability rating- only Trump at 48/44 is also on positive ground among the remaining candidates. If more strategic voting happens in the next week, Kasich is likely to be the beneficiary.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
I don’t care if trump wins by one vote. Just win the dang thing. The trash going around about trump is such crap. Sick of it. If this happened to Cruz or Rubio, they’d melt.
And the GROPe estabtablsihment see Ohio as their last chance to keep delegates fro Trump. They don’t care about anything else right now but getting to the convention without a majority of either Cruz or Trump.
Then ROMNEY shall save them!!!!!
Yea, Cruz couldn’t take 10% of what trump is being hammered with.
So true. The other candidates haven’t had to put up with the mountain of crap thrown on Trump everyday.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
I know what the GOPe will be praying for.
Interesting how similar the voters and supporters of Cruz and Rubio seem to be - all running to the GOP establishment.
Polling for the primaries has been very poor.
In general, Cruz and Kasich have outperformed the polls while
Trump and Rubio have done worse (except Rubio unexpectedly won Minnesota)
Would like to see Kasich out of the race, but I don’t think Ohio is going to do it.
I can’t believe the intense negativity. Saying Cruz has momentum? He placed 3rd yesterday. God forbid trump placed third, we’d never hear the end of it.
Rubio needs to end his campaign now.
Anyone know what Trump’s effort in Ohio?
Totally agree. I’m fairly certain Trump takes Florida. I think he has a good chance in Ohio but he needs to really drive out the working class vote. They come out for him and he wins. The real story to tell of this election is how much ammo has been expended on Trump and he’s still leading.
C'mon! One week away from a primary that has filled the news for the past year and 31% still can't make up their mind?! What's up with that?!
” Saying Cruz has momentum? He placed 3rd yesterday. God forbid trump placed third, we’d never hear the end of it.”
LOL....no joke.
Who are they polling?
Ohio is an open primary meaning Democrats and Independents can vote in the Republican primary.
Ohio and its 66 delegates another 15th March primary state.
And on the 15th, it is Winner-Take-All in Florida 99 delegates and in Illinois WTA for 59 delegates.
North Carolina it’s Winner-Take-Most for 72 delegates.
Trump going to take most of this.
If Trump wins Ohio, Kasich goes away, and the field narrows.. .and the path for Cruz or anyone else gets that much more difficult...
If Kasich wins Ohio, then Kasich sticks around until at least 4/26 and the race gets that much more interesting.. not that I think Kasich can mount any serious threat to the nomination, but it means the vote remains at least a 3 way for another month.
If Rubio wins FL, same deal, he sticks around, until at least 4/26 and the field remains divided. If Cruz wins FL , Rubio is gone and Cruz definitely makes an in road on making up his deficit.
Cruz’s over performance Saturday was largely due to Rubio collapsing, and I would not bet on Rubio completely collapsing in his home state.. .Though Cruz certainly is throwing money there in hopes he will... A win for Cruz in FL would mean a significant shift in the race.
AN interesting what if if Cruz wins FL and Kasich wins OH... If that happens, I’d say the odds of a brokered convention probably go up significantly.
Attention Ohio residents: if you want to root for the home team then stick with the Buckeyes.
A misguided sense of home-state loyalty should not cause you to vote for Kasich. He has done his stint in Washington and was long ago converted to a DC Swamp Policy Wonk Creature despite his current title and residence.
Interesting...tightening up.
I have to believe that in Ohio, if Kasich has closed to within 5 percent, that Kasich’s prospects are good there.
Not that it will mean anything long term for Kasich...it will just block the Trumpster our of those delegates and make it harder for him to win hands down.
I suspect after tomorrow and after the 15th he will still be leading by a good amount of delegates, and with places like New York and others coming up, that trend will continue.
But he heeds Florida and Ohio to really solidify his position.
I agree! The incoming this guy has weathered is astounding - and he is like an energizer bunny. No slowing down that you can see (a bit testy with Bill O’Reilly who asked a dumb@ss question of him after the ‘debate’ the other night was the only time I’ve seen Trump look tired).
This is the type of leader we need.
Love Trump but he does have to tone down the attacks, stick to his beliefs on what he will do to rescue the USA and reiterate that he is not for sale, now or in the future. He can’t be bought.
I’ll tell you ... watch for Erick Trump politically at some time in the future, that guy is brilliant and articulate.
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