Posted on 03/06/2016 8:37:46 AM PST by SoConPubbie
One of two things happened in Louisiana. We know that the margins between the top three candidates in the state shifted dramatically between votes cast by absentee ballot and those cast on Saturday, the day of the election. That means that either that: 1) A candidate had a very strong get-out-the-vote effort, or 2) There was a broad shift in attitudes about the candidates.
When we looked at this Saturday night, it wasn't clear which was the case. Now, we have a better sense.
If we look at the votes in counties* for which we have data (culled from the AP's initial and final vote tallies), you can see that Ted Cruz gained strength after the absentee vote. The darker the county, the higher the vote percentage. Cruz's map gets darker. Donald Trump and Marco Rubio's get lighter -- the latter, dramatically so.
Another way of looking at it is the percentage-point shift between the final percentage in each county and the percentage from the early totals. Cruz's map is all blue, all increased. Rubio's is not.
One more way of looking at it, showing the shifts more clearly still. Anything above the line means an improvement between the final or day-of percent and the absentee totals.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
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Who WON Louisiana? That’s what matters.
So, vote fraud on absentee ballots, is that what is being hinted at ?
I think you are reading it the opposite. This is saying Cruz had a surge in those who voted live, compared to those who had voted absentee at an earlier time.
To me, the way to look at it is Trump got his votes in early so didn’t have as much work to do on election day. Just like Obama did in 2012
This is why I am in favor of all voting on voting day only.
Between early voting time and events that have occured during the debates etc. it looks like the trend is shifting in Cruz direction.
Explains everything you need to know
Or fraud in the live voting.
LA is a primary state.
Caucus State
***************
Since when?
It appears that Trump’s support held.
Let’s also note Cruz was competitive in 4 states whereas Trump was competitive in 2 states.
Yes, more conservatives vote absentee. It’s calculated that most absentee ballots will skew to the conservative.
I just hope Ted keeps surging to defeat. LOL!
Understand, but a non-winner go-into-position for any candidate by voters is a recipe for GOPe/RNC treachery on the second round vote.
What Trump and Cruz need to do is concentrate on killing off Rubio’s and Kasich’s candidacy completely before then.
Personally I think Trump just needs to keep killing off Rubio and Cruz.
Personally I think Trump just needs to keep killing off Rubio and Cruz.
I just don’t find it that surprising Cruz ran a close second. Louisiana is right next to Texas, so he is a familiar (almost local) name. If Cruz was from Oregon, he might not have gotten as many votes. Just my thinking, as I’m from the South.
I think there should be NO early voting .<it should be the Sat, Sun Mon before the first Tuesday after the First Monday....with no results known or released until the first Tuesday after the first Monday.
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