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Newsday/News 12 poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Lead On LI (Trump Beats Hillary in Long Island)
Newsday ^
| February 25
Posted on 02/28/2016 6:20:25 AM PST by Helicondelta
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To: Helicondelta
When we travel to NYC, which is fairly often, EVERYONE we talk to is for Trump. Enthusiastically for Trump.
21
posted on
02/28/2016 6:51:30 AM PST
by
Jane Long
(Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
To: jneesy
if trump could somehow snatch ny or cali away from the dems that would be game set matchIf he snatches NY, it's over. Hillary will be conceding before the polls in California even close. That's a pretty tall order but forcing Hillary to spend money campaigning in New York? YUUUGE!!!
22
posted on
02/28/2016 6:52:16 AM PST
by
Drew68
To: tflabo
Turnout in the DeBlasio election was 17%.
23
posted on
02/28/2016 6:52:38 AM PST
by
Jim Noble
(Diseases desperate grown, are by desperate appliance relieved, or not at all)
To: Helicondelta
New York State last voted for a Republican candidate in 1984. Goerge HW Bush won without it, as did George W. Bush (twice).
While it would be great to win NY, it is not necessary to win it to get to the White House.
24
posted on
02/28/2016 6:53:55 AM PST
by
Cowboy Bob
(With Trump & Cruz, America can't lose!)
To: tflabo
If Trump can win his home state the last thing it will be is easy but it looks to be in play. Thats a small miracle in itself.Simply making New York competitive is a monumental accomplishment.
25
posted on
02/28/2016 6:53:59 AM PST
by
Drew68
To: Jim Noble
Yes turnout vote will be a yuuge wildcard factor. OblahMao got the minorities to turn out but Hellary maybe not so much. If Trump can cut big into the black and hispanic votes he will need to win there. What a nice prize if he wins NY but if he takes MA. and NJ what a nice cosolation prize those states will be.
26
posted on
02/28/2016 7:07:10 AM PST
by
tflabo
(res about them)
To: Jim Noble
Trump will win NY, NJ, MA easily.I agree!
27
posted on
02/28/2016 7:19:38 AM PST
by
fedupjohn
(America...Designed by Geniuses...Now inhabited by Idiots..Palin 2016...)
To: Helicondelta
In '12, Obama won NY by 26 points and he won LI by about 4.5 points.
So if a Trump 3% on LI lead represents a 7.5% shift, I don't think it will be a big enough shift to carry the state.
To: Helicondelta
I just wish someone would ask her what did she do for upstate NYers?
29
posted on
02/28/2016 7:32:56 AM PST
by
FES0844
To: FreeReign
So if a Trump 3% on LI lead represents a 7.5% shift, I don't think it will be a big enough shift to carry the state.
A 7.5% swing nationwide means Welcome President Trump!
30
posted on
02/28/2016 7:38:11 AM PST
by
o2bfree
(DNC = RNC :-)
To: dp0622
To win NY State, Trump doesn’t have to win NYC. All he has to do is move the needle from NYC voting 98% D to something like 80% D. There are enough blue collar crossover votes in NYC to do that easily.
31
posted on
02/28/2016 7:39:40 AM PST
by
AustinBill
(consequence is what makes our choices real)
To: tflabo
I still live there and the Reps. aren’t much better,but we’re down to he’s our thief!
To: dp0622
Trump could actually make Hillary have to defend the mid-atlantic and New England states. If Trump can get 2 to 3 of those states, say Maine, NJ and New Hampshire for example, that reduces the Dems electoral head start they have had in the last 2 elections.
To: o2bfree
To: AustinBill
while I don’t share your enthusiasm, I think she will have to waste time and money in NY.
but who knows, you could be right.
35
posted on
02/28/2016 8:54:01 AM PST
by
dp0622
To: major-pelham
I wanna believe, but how does LI= NY state win? How does that offset 8 m in NYC?
36
posted on
02/28/2016 9:06:18 AM PST
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
To: LS
The LI population is close to 6 million, so a net Trump advantage there is very significant in the overall race for NY state.
37
posted on
02/28/2016 9:08:04 AM PST
by
AustinBill
(consequence is what makes our choices real)
To: AustinBill
38
posted on
02/28/2016 9:08:42 AM PST
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
To: LS
Upstate NY is strongly Republican outside of D strongholds like Ithaca. The problem is that the Red upstate areas are swamped by the "Blue hole" of NYC in most elections. It's an interesting dynamic.
Make no mistake, NY's 29 electoral votes will most definitely be in play if Trump is the nominee. Anyone else and NY will remain a very safe Blue state.
39
posted on
02/28/2016 9:13:21 AM PST
by
AustinBill
(consequence is what makes our choices real)
To: AustinBill
With a REASONABLENESS GOP turnout, can LI and upstate offset NYC?
40
posted on
02/28/2016 1:36:13 PM PST
by
LS
("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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