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Donald Trump’s Amazingly Incredible YUGE Day In Overwhelming Statistics
The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 2-23-2016 | sundance

Posted on 02/23/2016 4:15:27 PM PST by smoothsailing

Pundits call this the “Big Mo“, meaning Big Momentum… unless, of course, they are describing it in relationship to Donald Trump. With anti-Trump media, momentum becomes an inconvenient reality to be ignored; because in the 2016 presidential election cycle MSM define winning as who comes next closest to third place…. or something.

Rasmussen Polling and Tracking shows Donald Trump taking a much larger lead than the media are willing to discuss. Trump has picked up another five points since South Carolina:

rasmussen poll

[…] The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Voters finds Trump with 36% support, giving him a 15-point lead over Senator Marco Rubio who earns 21% of the vote. Senator Ted Cruz is in third place with 17%. (Link)

In addition Reuters polling averages completely validate what we previously predicted over a year ago. In a three way race between Trump, Rubio and Cruz, candidate Donald Trump locks up 46%, Ted Cruz 25% and Marco Rubio 24%. (link)

If either Cruz or Rubio drop out, Trump will jump over 60% gaining roughly a third to a half (or more) of the eliminated opponent. So much for the “ceilings” the pundits are so happy to discuss.

This statistical reality is also supported by the Washington Post who outline the change in overall support for Donald Trump if he continues winning, and becomes the nominee.

supporting trump

(link)

Combine all of this data and what you find is in a two person race Donald Trump will command approximately 65% of the vote and the non-Trump (Cruz or Rubio) can only pull themselves to approximately 35%.

In order to shrink the field the state-by-state races are where the battle takes shape. And when you look at the state-by-state current positioning Donald Trump continues to lead in each of the contests:

Georgia Polling Released Today:

Trump 34%
Rubio 22%
Cruz 20%
Kasich 9%
Carson 8%
Undecided 7%
(link)

West Virginia Polling Released Today:

Trump 40%
Cruz 20%
Rubio 15%
Carson 10%
Kasich 6%
(link)

Arizona Polling:

Trump 34.8%
Rubio 22.7%
Cruz 14.1%
Kasich 7.1%
Undecided 21.3%
No data for Carson
(link)

Ohio Polling:

Trump 31%
Kasich 26%
Cruz 21%
Rubio 13%
Carson 5%
(link)

trump vegas

Tonight we begin in Nevada. The Nevada Caucuses begin at 5:00pm PST until 8:00pm PST. With the caucus results most likely coming out until after 11:00pm Eastern it will be a long night of checking the results.

Additionally, it appears the Republican Party of Nevada is anticipating a much larger turnout than previous caucus events.

Shenanigans ?

As will all “caucus elections”, let us hope for the best, but always be prepared for the worst….

trump lion

 



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; cnsrvtvtreehouse; election2016; nevada; newyork; nuthouse; polls; sundance; trump
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To: jazusamo

Sorry Broher, that last post wasn’t meant for you. :(


41 posted on 02/23/2016 7:06:32 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: brandon craig

Nonsense. Only a drama queen would spout such tripe.


42 posted on 02/23/2016 7:09:10 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

In other words, you have nothing to counter my points.


43 posted on 02/23/2016 7:14:12 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: brandon craig

I read the same crap about McCain and Romney. Either of which would have been better than Obama. Obama has named 2 Supreme Ct. justices and almost got/ may still get a third. Eight more years of his/Hillary’s kind of crap and the Republic is doomed.

From my perspective, I am the only person capable of being the perfect President, and it’s not likely I will get elected. So we go with the best we can.

To answer your question, Trump has identified the single greatest existential threat to the country: illegal immigration. You think Hillary will stop it?

Get your head out.


44 posted on 02/23/2016 7:15:59 PM PST by Lucas McCain (Liberalism is the willful embrace of abject stupidity.)
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To: brandon craig
Better to lose in 2016

It's never better to lose, you blithering twit.

45 posted on 02/23/2016 7:17:40 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Why is it necessary to call people twits?

You obviously don’t know history.

Was it not better to lose in 1976? If Ford had been re elected, we would never had Reagan in 1980 who turned out to be the greatest president of the modern era.


46 posted on 02/23/2016 7:22:23 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: brandon craig

You want to lose in the hope that something better might happen four years later? You’re a fool.


47 posted on 02/23/2016 7:25:40 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I knew it wasn’t, Brother, not a problem. I didn’t have to guess much who it was directed to.


48 posted on 02/23/2016 7:26:45 PM PST by jazusamo (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: jazusamo

LOL! Yeah, the nutcase is a troll.


49 posted on 02/23/2016 7:28:53 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

I’m not a fool, I’m a conservative.

To see the Republican Party nominate a liberal like Trump is detestable to me.

Risking Clinton for 4 years is a far better option.


50 posted on 02/23/2016 7:33:08 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: brandon craig

“Almost every position Trump has espoused over the years, has been leftist. Only a naive fool would think he has suddenly changed his philosophy.”

If you don’t like being called a fool then stop calling Trump supporters fools.

......................................................

Jim’s List: ...................

Trump wants to secure the borders, enforce the law, end anchor babies, end sanctuary cities, build a wall, deport them all, secure the borders, secure the nation, including sending the refugees back!

No one is better at border security, national security than Trump.

Sounds pretty damn conservative to me.

Want to talk about cutting taxes, cutting spending, cutting regulations, cutting government, cutting cronyism, cutting corruption, growing the economy, putting our people back to work, making America great again?

Trump does. And he sounds pretty damn conservative to me.

Want to defend God, family, guns, country? Want to build the greatest military ever so no one dares mess with us?

Trump does. And he sounds pretty damn conservative to me.

Want to build a coalition including conservatives, capitalists, blue collar workers, veterans, gun owners, religious people, minorities, freedom-loving Americans of every stripe?

Trump does. And he’s doing it. And that sounds pretty damn conservative to me!

Reagan Revolution meet the Trump Revolution.

No excuses for the tone. None needed.

26 posted on 11/30/2015, 9:03:59 PM by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to to God!)
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51 posted on 02/23/2016 7:45:36 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

My apologies for calling anyone a fool. But I stand by my comment about naive.

Where has Trump ever said how he would accomplish any of the points you listed below?

A true conservative like Reagan or Newt Gingrich spelled out exactly how they would accomplish their policy goals.

Why can’t you see this is as bad as the “hope and change” nonsense Obama was pushing in 2008.

All show, no substance.


52 posted on 02/23/2016 7:56:48 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: brandon craig

Start here....

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/immigration-reform

Read all of Trump’s position papers. Educate yourself.


53 posted on 02/23/2016 8:03:28 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: brandon craig
I won't stay home on Election Day. I will vote for Hillary Clinton

Well dickweed.. By election time Hillary will have either been indicted or she'll be "damaged goods" to such a degree she'll be considered UNELECTABLE.

And you will be back at your job asking if they want fries with that quarter pounder.

54 posted on 02/23/2016 8:11:27 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: VideoDoctor

Your use of the word dickweed is indicative of why I don’t have to worry about President Trump being inaugurated in 2017.

His likability with most voters is way too low to win a national election. His cult like followers are even more unlikely to convince undecided voters.

Let me be real clear, I despise the Clintons and think Hillary is a liar and crook but a vote for Trump is a vote to destroy the GOP. At present the Republican Party is the only vessel to advance conservatism.

I realize that most of you Trump supporters are low information voters and are ignorant of subjects like history, so I don’t expect you to be able to comprehend my posts in order to have an intelligent discourse therefore all you can do is insult and call people names like dickweed.


55 posted on 02/23/2016 8:28:23 PM PST by brandon craig
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To: smoothsailing

nice... very nice.


56 posted on 02/23/2016 8:31:17 PM PST by GOPJ ("Please explain why Hillary Clinton felt the need to own a private server." H.A. Goodman - Salon)
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To: brandon craig
Let me be real clear, I despise the Clintons and think Hillary is a liar and crook but a vote for Trump is a vote to destroy the GOP

The GOP has destroyed itself.

Trump is going to homogenize and pastuerize the GOP and it will, THANKFULLY, never be the same.

57 posted on 02/23/2016 10:27:05 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: brandon craig
I don’t expect you to be able to comprehend my posts in order to have an intelligent discourse therefore all you can do is insult and call people names like dickweed.

Clutch your pearls and get the smelling salts.. ALL DRAMA QUEENS need their props.

58 posted on 02/23/2016 10:29:35 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: Red Steel

Lol!


59 posted on 02/23/2016 10:39:46 PM PST by Califreak (Madeleine Albright says I'm going to hell)
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To: brandon craig

Anyone who claims the modern GOP has been the repository of conservatives is himself either the fool or part of the detestable GOPe deception and evil.


60 posted on 02/24/2016 3:03:09 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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