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Vanity: South Carolina Was Not "Tailor-Made" for Cruz - The Real Cruz Path to Victory
Vanity | 2/21/2016 | JediJones

Posted on 02/20/2016 10:25:38 PM PST by JediJones

Fox News has been spinning the false narrative that South Carolina was "tailor-made" for Ted Cruz and saying "if he can't win there, where else can he win?" This is a COMPLETELY MADE-UP FALSE NARRATIVE. It was never a favorable state for Cruz. It was a state where Santorum finished a distant third four years ago, behind more secular candidates Gingrich and Romney. While Cruz does have a real but mostly still untapped potential to appeal to secular voters, the Faux narrative that evangelicals made South Carolina a very favorable state for Cruz is JUST WRONG.

South Carolina went for the most "tough-talking" candidate last time with Gingrich and again this time with Trump. Establishment Romney came in 2nd last time just as Rubio did this time. The conservatives in this state seem to like aggression in a candidate above all else. There also appears to be a solid establishment streak in the state.

To put Trump's victory in perspective, he got a lower vote total in SC than Gingrich got and a much lower percentage. Cruz and Rubio both performed about as well as Romney and well above Santorum.

Cruz continues to have a path forward to victory because the other Southern states just don't have the same profile as South Carolina. Santorum won most of the other Southern states last time just like he won Iowa, despite getting trounced in South Carolina much worse than Cruz did. These upcoming states are therefore much more favorable ground for Cruz. If Cruz can win Santorum's states, he can perhaps gain the momentum to flip some other states Santorum lost (hopefully not wasting any more time in the Romney/Trump home field advantage northeastern states).

For now Cruz is stuck in the "social conservative" lane, a lane which NEVER included South Carolina as fertile ground. This is the lane he needs to perform well in as he works on broadening his base to include national security conservatives, economic conservatives and people who just have faith he can beat the Democrat.

Below is a list of all the states voting in March and how they would vote if they followed the basic pattern Romney and Santorum experienced. While I haven't tried to count all the delegates they will be handing out, I am seeing 13 Trump states and 16 Cruz states (plus maybe Puerto Rico for amnesty pimp Rubio). For us to see a clear winner in March, either Cruz or Trump will probably need to flip some of these states from their opponent's predicted column into theirs.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 16cruzstate; 1spammingthesidebar; 1stcanadiansenator; 2spammingthesidebar; 3spammingthesidebar; 4spammingthesidebar; cruz; cruzpathtovictory; cruzsecretarmy; cutandpastebots; election; falsenarrative; fertileground; gangof14; groundgame; jedijones; momentumtoflip; propagandadujour; rubio; sixteen; tdscoffeclutch; tedspacificpartners; trump; usualsuspect; willthemudstick
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To: DoughtyOne

Nah

Marco goes and gets the towels and the mojitos

After that when we’re checking out of the Sagamore on Collins ave he can bring our bags down


81 posted on 02/21/2016 1:38:12 AM PST by wardaddy (Boy the nasties are sure out in force here.....I hope someone is saving this...Trump Cruz that order)
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To: DoughtyOne

I’m being mean

In reality my wife and oldest boy are going to see him at one tomorrow

We’re Trump or maybe Cruz secondly folks but our boy loves politics so they are going to see Marco

I’m going to church with the rest of the kids....sleepily


82 posted on 02/21/2016 1:40:47 AM PST by wardaddy (Boy the nasties are sure out in force here.....I hope someone is saving this...Trump Cruz that order)
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To: Boardwalk

Its what women do when cognitive dissonance overcomes them.

When they are 13 they cut themselves or turn themselves out to the unemployed, tattooed motorcycle guy lurking around the schoolyard. When they are a little older they just cut the hair and ditch the look that got them where they were when the emotional avalanche came.

Meygn Kelly feels like sh** inside because of her dishonest, mercenary role for the FOXbots. This is her way of having the world see her as she sees herself, inside.

Seriously. I paid a small fortune to learn this. The good news is that this simple truth has got me laid so many times I can’t count them all.


83 posted on 02/21/2016 2:00:33 AM PST by anton
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To: anton

true dat! LOL!


84 posted on 02/21/2016 2:05:13 AM PST by Covenantor (Men are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and by fools who cannot govern. " Chesterton)
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To: Sun

“As a Ted Cruz supporter, that bothered me as soon as I heard it.”

So the GrOP-e should pick the nominee and not allow the poor evil slobs to spoil the party?


85 posted on 02/21/2016 2:13:42 AM PST by Fai Mao (Just a tropical gardiner chatting with friends)
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To: Fai Mao

If you don’t join a particular Party, you should not be allowed to vote in such Party’s primaries.

Dems should not vote in the Republican Party either.

If you don’t like either Party, start your own.


86 posted on 02/21/2016 2:20:01 AM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: arl295
Cruz should drop out and allow his supporters to unite behind Donald Trump

None of us love Cruz enough to go for that. No can do.

87 posted on 02/21/2016 2:53:11 AM PST by Theophilus (The GOPe are dealers. The Marxist Democrats are duelists.)
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To: JediJones

Dream on.
Then, in November, kick out the liberals - drive a state through their hearts - TRUMP


88 posted on 02/21/2016 3:16:40 AM PST by bill1952 (taxes don't hurt the rich, they keep YOU from becoming rich.)
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To: anton

Very interested in your take on the cognitive dissonance. Can you elaborate further?


89 posted on 02/21/2016 3:50:33 AM PST by Cats Pajamas (Any time now Hillary will be bring out the rent-a-dogs!)
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To: JediJones

South Carolina was 70%+ evangelical. It truly was tailor made for Cruz.

I understand how hard it is to lose. After all, we lost with so many others in the past. It isn’t easy.

But let’s not deny what has happened. Cruz has NOT appealed to conservatives, moderate conservatives, evangelicals, or to the military. Only to ‘strong’ conservatives.

His path to the SEC primary is seriously in doubt. And with the above record, he’s not going to get more support in the northern states.


90 posted on 02/21/2016 3:54:04 AM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: arl295
If I wanted to be a Trump supporter, I would be one already.

Trump's "conservative, pro-American" agenda is a myth, as you'll find out shortly after he's elected (if he isn't just a stalking horse to throw them election to Hillary). His agenda will be pro-Trump 24/7.

91 posted on 02/21/2016 4:50:54 AM PST by Campion (Halten Sie sich unbedingt an die Lehre!)
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To: JediJones

Tennessee will not go Cruz bank on it, not going to happen lol


92 posted on 02/21/2016 5:15:40 AM PST by MARKUSPRIME
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To: JediJones

The last polls I’ve seen show Trump with big leads in NV, and 10 of the 12 Super Tuesday states. Cruz has a 4 pt lead in TX and a small lead in AR. But, those polls were all taken before NH and SC. Trump is predicted to win NV by double digits, so all the polls in the Super Tuesday states could start seeing an even bigger shift towards Trump as people start thinking that they’d rather vote for someone who is winning than for the guys who perpetually come in 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th.


93 posted on 02/21/2016 5:23:16 AM PST by euram
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To: euram

the Trump Bump


94 posted on 02/21/2016 5:42:09 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: grey_whiskers

Priceless!!


95 posted on 02/21/2016 5:42:31 AM PST by TheStickman (If we don't elect a PRO-America president in 2016 we lose the country!)
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To: JediJones

“This is a COMPLETELY MADE-UP FALSE NARRATIVE. It was never a favorable state for Cruz.”

Obviously, since he lost. Cruz will soon find that the non of the remaining 54 states were favorable for him either.


96 posted on 02/21/2016 6:02:14 AM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
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To: TXBlair
Nope. Just means they'd rather have Rubio's demeanor in the White House than Trump's. Or they simply can't get beyond Trump's baggage/positions. They'd rather hold their noses and vote for Rubio. Or they just can't stand Trump after the vitriol of the primary process and are going to vote Anybody But Trump.

Right. They were GOPe all the while...

97 posted on 02/21/2016 8:55:52 AM PST by kiryandil ("Our Muslim-In-Chief, Barack Obama - the Quislaming in the White House")
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To: kiryandil

Keep telling yourself that.


98 posted on 02/21/2016 11:17:07 AM PST by TXBlair (We will not forget Benghazi.)
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To: TXBlair

You’re one of the 75-100 diehards on FR that won’t vote for Trump if he’s nominated. Big deal. :)


99 posted on 02/21/2016 11:27:35 AM PST by kiryandil ("Our Muslim-In-Chief, Barack Obama - the Quislaming in the White House")
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To: JediJones
is a trend that tells us something about SC as a state

Got it. Cruz disses NY (bad values) and NH (too liberal) and now SC doesn't pass muster.

At some point one would hope Cruz figures out that blaming entire states does not a strategy make.

100 posted on 02/21/2016 12:01:05 PM PST by M. Thatcher
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