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Frank Luntz: Bloomberg could 'could turn this election upside down' (Trump 37 HRC 33 Bloomie 29)
Business Insider ^ | Jan. 28, 2016, 3:06 PM | Allan Smith

Posted on 01/29/2016 9:36:34 PM PST by drewh

Veteran GOP pollster Frank Luntz says there is much more than a political lane available for former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) to join the presidential race as an independent candidate.

Luntz's reasoning came from a nationwide poll of 900 likely voters conducted by his firm, Luntz Global Partners.

The survey found that 29% of Americans would support Bloomberg in a theoretical three-way race between the former mayor, GOP front-runner Donald Trump, and Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton. Trump would receive 37% of the vote, while Clinton would emerge with 33%.

In a three-way race with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Clinton, Bloomberg would receive 28% of the vote. Clinton, meanwhile, would come out on top with 37% while Cruz would take 34%.

Bloomberg would pick up more than 40% of independent voters in the poll — no matter if Rubio, Trump, or Cruz is the Republican in the race. Among Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Clinton, none would garner more than 35% of the independent vote when Bloomberg is inserted into the race.

The numbers painted a significantly better potential picture for Bloomberg than a recent Morning Consult survey. The survey also put Trump's support at 37% and Clinton's at 36% in such a scenario, but found that a Bloomberg entry would hurt Clinton more than Trump.

Rumblings about a potential Bloomberg bid have grown louder after The New York Times reported on Saturday that billionaire former mayor asked those close to come up with a campaign plan for an independent presidential bid. The 73-year-old Bloomberg has reportedly said that he'd be willing to spend $1 billion of his fortune to run for the White House, according to The Times. He will reportedly make his decision by early March.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bloomberg; clinton; trump
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To: drewh
If Luntz were accurate that would mean that Bloomberg would be a Dem stalking horse for Trump and a certainty the Trump would be elected.

They're making spin up so fast these days that they don't even think it through.

41 posted on 01/29/2016 10:42:32 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: drewh

They have tried everything else.

Luntz should be checked for indecency. This probably arouses him.


42 posted on 01/29/2016 10:45:32 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Free Republic Caucus: vote daily / watch for the thread / Starts 01/20 midnight to midnight EST)
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To: exit82
3 out of 10 people vote for Bloomberg? Most people outside of NYC don't even know who he is.

That was my first thought, but then I figured most of them are just choosing they don't know because they don't like the other choices.

43 posted on 01/29/2016 10:50:02 PM PST by Darth Reardon (During the Great Depression, World War I was referred to as the Great War)
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To: drewh

Absurd. The hyper-entitled Bloomberg would be a snoozefest when- and wherever he’d speak. Ben Carson would look unbearably exciting next to Bloomberg.


44 posted on 01/29/2016 10:56:35 PM PST by supremedoctrine
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To: exit82

“Most people outside of NYC don’t even know who he is.”

Yeah, I was going to say, where did he poll, the Upper East Side of Manhattan?


45 posted on 01/29/2016 10:59:41 PM PST by vette6387
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To: umgud

“I wonder what his stance is on gun control?”

And 32 ounce sodas? The political ads write themselves!


46 posted on 01/29/2016 11:02:30 PM PST by vette6387
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To: drewh

Who in their right minds would believe that Bloomberg could get 10 per cent more than Ross Perot’s 19?


47 posted on 01/29/2016 11:12:27 PM PST by map
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To: drewh

I don’t believe that 62% of Americans would vote for gun confiscation.


48 posted on 01/30/2016 12:03:09 AM PST by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man St anding.)
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To: BridgeOutAhead

No, I think Bloomberg would win. He’ll run as an independent but he has things that can appeal to both Dems and Republicans if they don’t like their own candidates.

He was competent as mayor in some ways, but he’s a real nanny stater and believes in a very intrusive government, although without going quite as far as Bernie the Socialist, who will probably be the Dem candidate.


49 posted on 01/30/2016 12:16:14 AM PST by livius
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To: drewh

Maintain my two cent opinion since 2012 that Hillary will NOT be the Rat candidate.


50 posted on 01/30/2016 12:26:25 AM PST by Rockpile (GOP legislators-----caviar eating surrender monkeys.)
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To: drewh

Had this exact debate with a lib friend yesterday. He said Bloomberg is a Republican. I said, “sure. here in NYC which is a liberal to the rest of the country.”


51 posted on 01/30/2016 1:20:30 AM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: FerociousRabbit

Their public faces are very different but i’d agree they are very much alike. Of course i have the advantage of living here in NYC.


52 posted on 01/30/2016 1:24:13 AM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: Zhang Fei

He is a control freak for sure. Perfectly sums him up. I will say however being mayor of a megalopolis like NYC or LA is probably great training to deal with the administrative side of being President. As much as any possible spot including governor. I despise him for his pettiness.


53 posted on 01/30/2016 1:28:27 AM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: VideoDoctor

Yes he would but who’s making what up? He stated the conditions in which he would run. I can tell you from living here in NYC Bloomberg has no idea he’s seen as a liberal (for the most part, not fiscally.) Thats why he would enter the race. He thinks he takes more votes from Trump, not Hillary. He couldn’t be more wrong.


54 posted on 01/30/2016 1:32:10 AM PST by wiggen (#JeSuisCharlie)
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To: pepsionice

California and (for instance) North Dakota each get the same number of votes if a presidential election goes to the House. It’s not done proportionally.

Bloomberg has zero chance. He’s a big time gun grabber and that eliminates him from 40% of the population immediately.


55 posted on 01/30/2016 1:57:51 AM PST by sunrise_sunset
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To: GunRunner

Hillary is a Colossus!


56 posted on 01/30/2016 2:19:11 AM PST by urbanpovertylawcenter (the law and poverty collide in an urban setting and sparks fly)
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To: drewh

I hope the old queen runs!


57 posted on 01/30/2016 3:55:55 AM PST by patq
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To: umgud
I wonder what his stance is on gun control?

He might be for it < /sarc>

58 posted on 01/30/2016 4:03:15 AM PST by dartuser
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To: drewh

Bloomberg bought New York City with a lot of money. His act won’t play in a national election.


59 posted on 01/30/2016 4:34:51 AM PST by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: sunrise_sunset
Bloomberg has zero chance. He’s a big time gun grabber and that eliminates him from 40% of the population immediately.

And that includes liberals. I know many liberals who are pro-gun.

That, BTW, is why gun legislation stalls. There are as many of them (as pro-gunners) as there are of us (as pro-gunners).

60 posted on 01/30/2016 4:38:04 AM PST by Lazamataz (I'm an Islamophobe??? Well, good. When it comes to Islam, there's plenty to Phobe about.)
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