Posted on 01/11/2016 7:11:52 AM PST by Jane Long
The Iowa Republican Caucuses may come down to a photo finish. Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are tied with 27% of the vote each.
Apart from the 27 percenters, Marco Rubio takes 3rd place with 15%, with Ben Carson behind him at 9%.
The rest of the field holds 18% of the support, with another 3% undecided. Unlike the Democratic Caucuses in Iowa, once you commit to a candidate, your vote is finalized. There is no support threshold, meaning the top candidates cannot benefit from lower tier candidates not getting enough traction.
Slightly frustrating efforts to read into how this will affect the delegate count is the fact that the voting percentages may not reflect the allocation percentages. Doing well in Iowa is important to give campaigns momentum as they move into the other 3 February voting states, and then finally into Super Tuesday, March 1st. A poor showing in Iowa, combined with either low poll numbers in New Hampshire, or another poor showing in their 2nd in the nation primary, can lead some of the lower tier candidates to drop out. As candidates drop out, their support has to go somewhere, and even just a few extra percentage points can help capture additional delegates, especially in winner-take-all states.
As it stands, the top 5 right now will probably stick it out until at least March 1st. If this is still a 7+ person race during the second week of March, I would be surprised. Registering low single digit support in the early states, and especially on Super Tuesday, basically guarantees a candidate's donors will dry up quickly.
We will release one more Iowa poll on January 31st.
Same here, I'm 77 and my wife will be 76 soon. Our brothers, sisters, and in laws are the same age. All of us are for Trump. Our friends are plus or minus 10 years of us, and all are for Trump except for as my wife has labeled, sheltered Church ladies. They will probably vote for Trump and never admit it. Again, their husbands will vote for Trump.
Our 40 something adult children, nieces and nephews are all for Trump except our one liberal niece. Her vote will be cancelled by her pro Trump Husband.
YES!!!
“Okay....”
No, not Okay1 Using “cutesy” names for people you don’t like shows a lack of respect. While I prefere Trump, I will be fine if Cruz is our candidate. But consider the fact that Cruz would be nowhere today if it weren’t for Donald Trump. Cruz is still a poiititian and there’s simply no way he would have chosen to open up the hornet’s nests that The Donald has. Furthermore, Cruz, as a Hispanic, has been for unbridled amnesty in the past, and it’s only been because of Trump’s positions, that Cruz has had to toe the line on immigration. If it ends up that Cruz gets the nominataion, he should openly thank Trump, because Trump was the one who actually made his nomination possible. W/O Trump, we would most likely be saying hello to the next GOPe $hit Sandwich, Yebbie Boosh!
Well it’s bye Ted.
Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are tied with 27% ...Marco Rubio... with 15%, Ben Carson... at 9%... The rest of the field holds 18% ... 3% undecided.
The Q-Poll is up poll where Trump is winning.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3382317/posts
Can’t post a thread, now. Can you?
Thanks.
I just want everyone to know, I'm not the author of these keyword troll keywords:
KEYWORDS: americanunionheidi; amnesty; cfrheidicruz; dumptrump; ezsleazylawyerted; heidiwearsthepants; lowtted; notaleaderted; trump4pressecretary; trumploveshillary; trumplovessubsidies; trumpwasright; whoownstedcruz
It would be nice if everyone would simmer down a little. And coming from me, THAT'S how bad it's getting.
It’s getting terrible.
Some FR’s are starting arguments on Trump threads so the thread can be pulled. That way, Trump supporters won’t be able to support their candidate on a thread.
It really sickens my spirit.
LOL!!! Those are great.
My fav is “ezsleazylawyerted”
;if they continue to pass the lead back and forth the. The establishment candidates cannot successfully target either one exclusively but must use up cash on negative ads for both.
They will eventually both get near equal numbers of delegates. The prize will be keeping all delegates out of establishment hands. Go team!
“Some FRâs are starting arguments on Trump threads so the thread can be pulled. That way, Trump supporters wonât be able to support their candidate on a thread.”
Hmmm... that sounds like behavior that is typical to liberals when they are losing an argument....
It’s kind of like the Shiites vs The Sunnis.
How does one add keywords to someone else’s thread?
Anyone can click on “Click to Add Topic” or “Click to Add Keyword” on any thread.
Also, the Admin Moderators can tell who added those if they become a problem.
So hit the abuse button and ask the keyword to be cleaned up
I have seen Mods actually post the names of who added what keyword. Cured me of being “witty” with them.
Nice deconstruction. Thanks
Ditto, ditto.
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