Posted on 01/05/2016 8:49:02 PM PST by VinL
If Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz join forces during the primary season, running as a potential ticket with either one taking the position at the top, the civil war that now plagues the Republican Party would almost certainly end as a rout of the GOP establishment and a sweeping victory for the anti-establishment rebellion that would choose the nominee.
The mathematics of the hostile takeover of the GOP by the anti-establishment wing of the party are so obvious that the idea of a Trump-Cruz ticket, or a Cruz-Trump ticket, must have occurred to both candidates. Messrs. Trump and Cruz, possibly joined by Dr. Ben Carson, have almost certainly discussed this possibility privately.
Behind the scenes throughout official Washington the prospect of the nomination debacle facing the GOP establishment is generating intense and panicked discussions across the upper strata of the national Republican leadership that can fairly be described as a behind-the-scenes frenzy. The magnitude of the imminent threat to the GOP establishment and the intensity of discussion among its leaders is dramatically understated in a political media that is thoroughly dominated by the hourly attacks by Mr. Trump and the reality television politics he embodies, and is thoroughly uninterested in reporting about the power mechanics of politics that will ultimately determine the nominees of the parties.
There are two mathematical dynamics that reveal the probable rout of the Republican establishment in the 2016 campaign. Consider this:
First, take a careful look at the summary of polling on Real Clear Politics about the battle for the Republican nomination. As I write these words on Tuesday morning the summary results of public opinion for the nomination contest are: Mr. Trump 35 percent and Mr. Cruz 19.5 percent. The figures total almost 55 percent of the GOP electorate. Add to this total the 8.8 percent that favors Ben Carson, who is also part of the anti-establishment rebellion, and the total percent of GOP voters who hunger to overthrow the Republican establishment and choose an anti-establishment nominee approaches 64 percent of the GOP electorate.
The Republican nominee will ultimately be determined by 50 percent plus 1 of the delegates to the Republican national convention. If I were a gambling man in one of Sheldon Adelsonâs famous casinos I would place very high odds that the near 64 percent of GOP anti-establishment voters would find a way to reach 50 percent plus 1 of Republican National Convention delegates. (more)
It is what I care about. It’s my vote I’m talking about. You can follow your conscience. I’ll follow mine.
Cruz would not in full view of the public go to Trump’s office and meet with him privately either, right?
http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/15/politics/donald-trump-meeting-ted-cruz/
Other than Cruz, the only politician to have met with Trump in his office, privately out of earshot of the press, is none other than Sarah Palin. Rinse Prius went there to get his worthless pledge signed.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/sarah-palin-donald-trump-2016-alliance-120958
Did it ever dawn on you that they may want to make this an issue so it gets aired out now rather than later? You and everyone else in the universe KNOW it will be an issue later from the Dem attack machine.
I’ll keep referring back to their private meeting at Trump’s office last July. I hardly think Cruz was going there to talk about having a new building built.
In the mean time, Trump deathcount drums on and on and on and on . . . .
-—. Trump isn t contrasting issues-—
Because he is unable to. Like a good salesman, he knows what his customers want to hear, and he uses his strengths, which are ridicule and innuendo.
-— heâs going after Cruz as he went after Carson and the othersâ on a personal level, e.g Cuban.-—
Has he ever done anything else?
OK, he will also Make America Great Again and there will be so much winning that we will win a lot.
Headline is half right; “Surging Ted” will be a memory soon.
Yeah - he's even more scary than an Obama being followed by a Hillary..............
Pogo had it right.
Here is reality: after Ted makes a "good effort" for his PACs, he will be Trump's veep.
Er, yeah. He passed that with five words: “I will build that wall.”
but then there is Betsy Boyd she is at least 85 and has been a convention delegate since Jesus wore short pants. Her Husband was the Judge and County Mayor. She regularly dined with Representative Jimmy Quillen. She is the very symbol of that which is Republican.
I doubt if she knows anything about the substance of Ted Cruz or donald Trump and fears they will be a problem to the bush boy that is the deserving candidate.
After all, he had all that money and was governor of Florida.
Betsy will vote exactly as she is told
That is the reason trump is succeeding
the conservative test was developed by the fringe
the fringe does not have the votes to prevail
I observe and analyze
So, your argument is that Trump is so dominant in the polls, and has such a commanding lead, that he decided whimsically to attack the eligibility of the person he’s considering for VP?
Americanism overrides your definition of Conservative thought.
When it's all said and done, just like the old "voodoo economics" thing with GHWBush, he will turn around, say let byegones be byegones, just politics, and name him veep. But it will always be out of a position of strength. Trump has it, Teddie doesn't.
By your observation and analysis, McCain and Romney should have won.
I never said he was scary. I am not going to vote for him. Welcome to America. I get to vote how ever I please.
well, not really
Neither McCain nor Romney had the charisma of Donald Trump
The situations are different.
Cruz is a different situation all together. he does not have the wide appeal of Trump
Yes you do - ignore Obama and what follows him.
Don't vote, be happy.......
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