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Donald Trump and Ted Cruz Are Poised to Seize the GOP Nomination
Observer ^ | 1/5/16 | Brent Budowsky

Posted on 01/05/2016 8:49:02 PM PST by VinL

If Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz join forces during the primary season, running as a potential ticket with either one taking the position at the top, the civil war that now plagues the Republican Party would almost certainly end as a rout of the GOP establishment and a sweeping victory for the anti-establishment rebellion that would choose the nominee.

The mathematics of the hostile takeover of the GOP by the anti-establishment wing of the party are so obvious that the idea of a Trump-Cruz ticket, or a Cruz-Trump ticket, must have occurred to both candidates. Messrs. Trump and Cruz, possibly joined by Dr. Ben Carson, have almost certainly discussed this possibility privately.

Behind the scenes throughout official Washington the prospect of the nomination debacle facing the GOP establishment is generating intense and panicked discussions across the upper strata of the national Republican leadership that can fairly be described as a behind-the-scenes frenzy. The magnitude of the imminent threat to the GOP establishment and the intensity of discussion among its leaders is dramatically understated in a political media that is thoroughly dominated by the hourly attacks by Mr. Trump and the reality television politics he embodies, and is thoroughly uninterested in reporting about the power mechanics of politics that will ultimately determine the nominees of the parties.

There are two mathematical dynamics that reveal the probable rout of the Republican establishment in the 2016 campaign. Consider this:

First, take a careful look at the summary of polling on Real Clear Politics about the battle for the Republican nomination. As I write these words on Tuesday morning the summary results of public opinion for the nomination contest are: Mr. Trump 35 percent and Mr. Cruz 19.5 percent. The figures total almost 55 percent of the GOP electorate. Add to this total the 8.8 percent that favors Ben Carson, who is also part of the anti-establishment rebellion, and the total percent of GOP voters who hunger to overthrow the Republican establishment and choose an anti-establishment nominee approaches 64 percent of the GOP electorate.

The Republican nominee will ultimately be determined by 50 percent plus 1 of the delegates to the Republican national convention. If I were a gambling man in one of Sheldon Adelson’s famous casinos I would place very high odds that the near 64 percent of GOP anti-establishment voters would find a way to reach 50 percent plus 1 of Republican National Convention delegates. (more)


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016election; carson; cruz; republicans; trump
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To: JoSixChip

It is what I care about. It’s my vote I’m talking about. You can follow your conscience. I’ll follow mine.


41 posted on 01/06/2016 1:12:34 AM PST by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light..... Isaiah 5:20)
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To: libbylu

Cruz would not in full view of the public go to Trump’s office and meet with him privately either, right?

http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/15/politics/donald-trump-meeting-ted-cruz/

Other than Cruz, the only politician to have met with Trump in his office, privately out of earshot of the press, is none other than Sarah Palin. Rinse Prius went there to get his worthless pledge signed.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/08/sarah-palin-donald-trump-2016-alliance-120958


42 posted on 01/06/2016 2:22:20 AM PST by mazda77
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To: VinL

Did it ever dawn on you that they may want to make this an issue so it gets aired out now rather than later? You and everyone else in the universe KNOW it will be an issue later from the Dem attack machine.

I’ll keep referring back to their private meeting at Trump’s office last July. I hardly think Cruz was going there to talk about having a new building built.

In the mean time, Trump deathcount drums on and on and on and on . . . .


43 posted on 01/06/2016 2:30:07 AM PST by mazda77
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To: VinL

-—. Trump isn t contrasting issues-—

Because he is unable to. Like a good salesman, he knows what his customers want to hear, and he uses his strengths, which are ridicule and innuendo.

-— he’s going after Cruz as he went after Carson and the others— on a personal level, e.g Cuban.-—

Has he ever done anything else?

OK, he will also Make America Great Again and there will be so much winning that we will win a lot.


44 posted on 01/06/2016 2:51:52 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: VinL

Headline is half right; “Surging Ted” will be a memory soon.


45 posted on 01/06/2016 4:15:53 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past
Trump doesn’t pass the conservative test.

Yeah - he's even more scary than an Obama being followed by a Hillary..............

Pogo had it right.

46 posted on 01/06/2016 4:20:19 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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Comment #47 Removed by Moderator

To: VinL
Wow. Such delusion. Ted continues to stagnate while Trump at 40(!!!!) in new AL poll---oh wait, he was already at 40 in GA an Reuters.

Here is reality: after Ted makes a "good effort" for his PACs, he will be Trump's veep.

48 posted on 01/06/2016 4:40:57 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

Er, yeah. He passed that with five words: “I will build that wall.”


49 posted on 01/06/2016 4:42:36 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: VinL

but then there is Betsy Boyd she is at least 85 and has been a convention delegate since Jesus wore short pants. Her Husband was the Judge and County Mayor. She regularly dined with Representative Jimmy Quillen. She is the very symbol of that which is Republican.

I doubt if she knows anything about the substance of Ted Cruz or donald Trump and fears they will be a problem to the bush boy that is the deserving candidate.

After all, he had all that money and was governor of Florida.

Betsy will vote exactly as she is told


50 posted on 01/06/2016 4:51:43 AM PST by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc;+12, 73, ....carson is the kinder gentler trump.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

That is the reason trump is succeeding

the conservative test was developed by the fringe

the fringe does not have the votes to prevail

I observe and analyze


51 posted on 01/06/2016 4:59:23 AM PST by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc;+12, 73, ....carson is the kinder gentler trump.)
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To: LS

So, your argument is that Trump is so dominant in the polls, and has such a commanding lead, that he decided whimsically to attack the eligibility of the person he’s considering for VP?


52 posted on 01/06/2016 6:07:24 AM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

Americanism overrides your definition of Conservative thought.


53 posted on 01/06/2016 6:13:38 AM PST by Souled_Out (Our hope is in the power of God working through the hearts of people.)
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To: VinL
Nope, Trump takes out #2, whether it's Fiorina, Carson, or Cruz. He's been doing it for six months.

When it's all said and done, just like the old "voodoo economics" thing with GHWBush, he will turn around, say let byegones be byegones, just politics, and name him veep. But it will always be out of a position of strength. Trump has it, Teddie doesn't.

54 posted on 01/06/2016 6:38:42 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: bert

By your observation and analysis, McCain and Romney should have won.


55 posted on 01/06/2016 6:46:26 AM PST by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light..... Isaiah 5:20)
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To: trebb

I never said he was scary. I am not going to vote for him. Welcome to America. I get to vote how ever I please.


56 posted on 01/06/2016 6:49:19 AM PST by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light..... Isaiah 5:20)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past

well, not really

Neither McCain nor Romney had the charisma of Donald Trump

The situations are different.

Cruz is a different situation all together. he does not have the wide appeal of Trump


57 posted on 01/06/2016 7:39:24 AM PST by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc;+12, 73, ....carson is the kinder gentler trump.)
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To: The Ghost of FReepers Past
I never said he was scary. I am not going to vote for him. Welcome to America. I get to vote how ever I please.

Yes you do - ignore Obama and what follows him.

Don't vote, be happy.......

58 posted on 01/07/2016 3:38:53 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: VinL
You are such a drama queen!


59 posted on 01/07/2016 3:43:09 AM PST by SamAdams76
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