Posted on 01/02/2016 9:24:11 PM PST by VinL
Ted Cruz has to win the Iowa caucuses.
Not because there's something magical about Iowa or its predictive powers.
No, Cruz can't afford to lose in Iowa because he's already predicted, unequivocally and without reservation, that he will win Iowa. And while Cruz is in so many ways an unconventional politician, there are certain immutable rules in politics.
One is that falling short of expectations in Iowa or New Hampshire is bad.
"He will win Iowa. We're very confident he will win Iowa," Cruz campaign co chairman Chad Sweet declared last month.
It's a bold prediction, though not outside the realm of possibility.
By mid December, Cruz had already overtaken billionaire Donald Trump in Iowa.
And to cement his lead, he embarks Monday on a six day barnstorming tour that includes stops in 28 of Iowa's 99 counties. That will bring him close to a "full Grassley", a feat he vowed last June to complete. It's named for U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley, the Iowa Republican who makes it a point to visit every county in the state each year.
Lots of these counties have more livestock than voters, and that's not just a saying. The last U.S. census counted 6,462 people in Osceola County, the least populous on Cruz’s itinerary this week, and the last U.S. Agriculture Department report showed 38,500 head of cattle.
Turnout in the big cities of Des Moines, Cedar Rapids and Davenport will overshadow even a landslide in such a tiny pocket. But from Muscatine to Spirit Lake, it warms an Iowan's heart to know that a potential president cares enough to try.
Cruz certainly has put more effort into the state than most. He has volunteers in every county. He's rented a college dorm outside Des Moines for Texas supporters to live in when...
(Excerpt) Read more at dallasnews.com ...
CEW, be honest, based on #18 are we as a country screwed? The Trump worshipping is getting out of control. They keep telling themselves that Cruz is just another Huckabee/Santorum mold and I think they actually believe it.
And this?
“A citizen can still be president in the USA. Grant it, you have to be super rich, but PAC’s that usually make presidents are soaked in money and favor exchanges and we all know it.”
Come on, brave little spooner, are you for or against gay marriage???
I think I have demonstrated that you are a liar. Cowards are liars.
Wright is right. Trump can lose Iowa and it won’t be fatal. Cruz on the other hand would be on shakey ground. NH would be another nail in his coffin.
Trump is going to turn up the heat in Iowa. Cruz footprints will be erased.
Ashamed of yourself, aren’t you??? You don’t have the guts to say what you really feel. You like to think of yourself as superior to the FR rubes, but you aren’t at all, are you spooner? What a disappointment, very weak.
A picture like that is worth 15,000 words.
You lie and you are not ashamed of yourself? What’s wrong with you?
Trump blows so much hot air, he is going to melt in his own heat.
Honest question: if the pollsters are media owned because they show Cruz leading in Iowa, what does that say about Trump’s numbers elsewhere? Or are they only “throwing” their numbers in Iowa?
I understand the Cruz supporters desperation.
Yeah, the huge crowds are why Bernie Sanders is beating Hilary Clinton in national polls.
Oh wait, Sanders is getting clobbered by Hilary, despite Hilary having far smaller crowds.
Trump will be lucky to get 27%. On the ground reports currently have him sturggling get over 20%.
Cruz will win IA by double digits. 40% is their target number with an estimated statewide turnout of 135,000 voters. Your fantasy of 200,000+ is statistically impossible.
If the Caucuses were held right now:
Cruz: 42% 56,700 (Shatters Huckabee’s Mark)
Trump: 25% 33,750 (Not good enough)
Rubio: 15% 20,250 (An Establishment always gets 15%)
Carson: 6% 8,100 (Probably the floor for him)
Bush: 4% 5,400 (meh)
Christie 3% 4,050 (has GOPe RINO Gov Backing)
Fiorina 2% 2,700
Santorum/Huckabee/Others: 3% 4,050
If Cruz wins by 17% in IA, the other polls WILL shift. You don’t get your a$$ kicked like that and Trump will be weakened when it becomes clear the massive amounts of people they were expecting to turn out didnt. And people like you will be here on this forum giving every excuse you can think of to write off the UUUGE defeat.
Are you for or against gay marriage? Easy question.
It’s not Cruz supporters posting garbage on Trump threads. You are the one posting rubbish on a Cruz thread. Guess who is desperate.
Only 28 days left for your special sauce to see if it comes true. Don’t put much money down on that if you want to keep it.
Running and scurrying, like a little ant. Are you for or against gay marriage?
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