Posted on 12/17/2015 7:49:50 PM PST by parksstp
Last week’s Crystal Ball repeated its refrain that Donald Trump is very unlikely to get the Republican presidential nomination. However, it issued the caveat that “[i]t would be easier to make our argument if we could explain precisely how and by whom the real estate tycoon will be dethroned.â€
Who can and will defeat Trump? The answer is obvious, but also not obvious because the question seems to beg the name of another candidate. The “who†that will defeat Trump is not another candidate but is most likely to be the Republican voters who actually turn out in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and the other contests.
(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...
Trump chumpions better wise up. After stopping for a bite at a local restaurant and over hearing a group of women dissing Trump. The intensity of their comments amazed me. I come away convinced that is one group of voters Trump is not going to get.
Get your head out of the sand for God’s sake. Trump will prevail. Get your tissues ready.
Yebito can’t even get his campaign staff! excited for him.
His post-debate party looked like a wake.
Yeah he’ll be President as soon as I’m loaded with money.
Jeb will get the votes of his family ... LOL.
I am a woman and Trump gets my vote.
You must have overheard libtards.
The big unmeasurable is how many “Non-Traditional Voters” will come out to vote for Trump, that otherwise wouldn’t be interested in voting. The same reason that Obama was able to prevail in so many previously “Safe” Hillary States.
That fight has not really started yet. and there are dynamics that will be in play when it does that are not there now. Hillary's negative charisma is likely to hurt her more and more as the general public gets exposed to her debating and talking policy. The Republicans will be less divided than they are now behind whoever their candidate is...not saying totally united, but less divided. If Trump gets the nod, I think there will be some preference cascade in his favor due to some people moving him mentally from the eccentric egotist to the actual candidate category mentally. Not everyone has figured out if they are "allowed" to vote for Trump in a social sense...
Trump’s biggest appeal is to blue collar working class Americans.
The same kind of Reagan Democrats who voted for Reagan.
What’s funny is the GOP has coveted these voters and now lashes out at the one man who can win ‘em.
Its suicidal and I’d sooner see the GOP die than see our country gone.
I’m a woman and I know 3 other woman who are voting for him.
I never said that Trump is not the favorite. I am only saying that the future is not ours to know, and it is best to be prepared for the inexpected.
Trump chumpions better wise up. After stopping for a bite at a local restaurant and over hearing a group of women dissing Trump. The intensity of their comments amazed me. I come away convinced that is one group of voters Trump is not going to get.
Liberal women won’t vote for him.
We’ll wait and see what voters decide next year.
I’m the Cruz fan of the Family and have talked him up for years to anyone who would listen.
My Apolitical Wife is 100% Trump and has not wavered.
I am seeing a person that shrugged anytime I mentioned Politics turn into someone who will set anyone straight about the importance of the upcoming Election should the subject come up.
She thinks Politicians are the Disease and Trump is the Cure, with apologies to Sylvester Stallone.
Dollars to Donuts those same Women you listened to wouldn’t give Cruz the Time of Day.
December 1979: Reagan 32%, Carter 62%
You can't poll for a caucus...it is impossible
The one thing I have noticed over and over in numerous articles is that many of Trump's supporters are not the normal caucus or primary voters. It's really good he is attracting more people, but no one can predict if these same people will show up at a caucus. We will find out soon.
Mittens came in second in the Iowa caucus...just to let you know that no one could touch him.
Crowds are not a prediction.
Romney had good-sized crowds in the days leading to the 2012 general election.
He lost.
Yes, I agree. I think you are responding to another post, not mine, but you are correct.
Santorum had a great chance in 2012, but he couldn’t overcome the losses in NH, FL, and SC. When he started winning, it was small states with few delegates and most weren’t winner-take-all. He couldn’t even get on his home state of VA ballot. I don’t think he won a single large state, did he?
So far, Trump has never won any elections in his life. And this is not the first time he is running for president. Reform Party anyone?
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