Posted on 12/07/2015 9:54:00 AM PST by Isara
Sen. Ted Cruz has surged past Donald Trump in Iowa with less than two months to go before the nation's first nominating contest, giving Cruz his first lead in any early voting state during the campaign.
A Monmouth University poll said Cruz has 24 percent support among likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa, a 14-point jump for the Texas senator since October.
Trump won 19 percent in the poll, giving Cruz a 5 percent lead that's outside the margin of error.
Much of Cruz's support stems from evangelical Iowans who back the conservative senator 30 percent to Trump's 18 percent. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson previously led the GOP field in support among this coveted demographic, but now earns just 15 percent support among evangelicals, putting him behind Cruz, Trump, and Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla. (16 percent).
Cruz also carries a substantial lead among voters affiliated with the Tea Party. The freshman senator earns 36 percent support compared to Trump (20 percent), Carson (17 percent) and Rubio (11 percent).
Cruz's rise can also be attributed, in part, to his recent endorsement from Iowa Rep. Steve King. Roughly 20 percent of Republicans in the Hawkeye State said King's support makes them more inclined to back Cruz come Feb. 1, including 7 percent who claim King's endorsement makes them "a lot more likely."
Rubio has met with some difficulties while trying to woo Tea Party supporters after his role in the 2013 Gang of Eight immigration bill, which proposed a 13-year pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants in the United States. While that bill damaged his reputation among the hard-line conservative movement, the Florida senator leads the GOP field among women in Iowa with 23 percent support.
That support helped keep Rubio in third place in the poll. He follows right behind Trump's 19 percent with 17 percent in the poll. Carson, who had a commanding lead in Iowa less than two months ago, has plummeted to 13 percent. At 6 percent support, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is the only other Republican contender to poll above 5 percent.
According to the poll, Rubio is the most-liked Republican candidate in Iowa, as 70 percent of voters hold a positive view of the Florida senator. Cruz and Carson each boast a net-positive favorability rating of 67-19 percent, while Trump is viewed favorably by 54 percent of voters and unfavorably by 36 percent. Bush, meanwhile, has a net-negative favorability rating of 38-45 percent.
The New-Jersey based survey of 425 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted between Dec. 3-6 and contains a margin of error plus or minus 4.8 percent.
then the same thing will happen this time around.
Did anyone on this thread read the article?
Did anyone notice all the percentages in the whole damn thing were illustrated in numerals?
Except the illuminative one. Hmmm?
See if you can find it. If you can, get back to me on what it says.
Hint: It’s a percentage. It’s hidden in the bottom third of the article. ON PURPOSE.
“The Great One,” Mark Levin. </I> = Denali
A LOT of people on this thread are NOT going to either believe or like what you've stated
However, it IS THE TRUTH. I think most of the candidates still in contention should stand by for a RAMMING by Trump.
It will take MONEY and he's got PLENTY.
Anyway check this link out.
Donald Trump On Amnesty: 'If Somebody's Been Outstanding, We Try And Work Something Out' [VIDEO]
Great chart. Thanks!
\
Enjoy it while you can Isara.
Here’s Ted’s immigration plan from 2013.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/13/us/cruz-tries-to-claim-the-middle-ground-on-immigration.html?_r=1
Enjoy the read.
The GOPE would prefer Trump over Cruz by a wide margin.
Trump is going to win every primary and every state in the general. He is going to take New York and California. This will be the largest landslide ever in any election. He will unite the party, and we will super majorities in the house and senate and the governorships. Obama will go down as the worst thing that ever happened to the Dems.
Trump is going to be in Iowa again I think tonight or maybe tomorrow. He’s not taking this lightly.
Cruz/Christie or Trump/Cruz....Maybe Cruz/Fiorina.
Fine with any of those myself
He might just be.
So Ronald Reagan was beholden also?
“Yes. Cruz is not well liked by anyone at this point”
What an inane comment.
If you believe any professional politician, you have much to learn.Har! I've been active in the TX GOP on the fundraising side for nearly two decades. Your words are wise and I've got the scars to prove my efforts were betrayed at times (Cornyn, Dewhurst).
Ted Cruz is unique in my experience. I've followed Ted's career very closely for 12 years since his days as Solicitor General of Texas, having read and listened to most of his writings and speeches to the present day.
I was glad to get involved in fundraising for Ted when he entered the 2012 TX U.S. Senate primary at only 2% in the polls. Incidentally, fundraising became much easier with the endorsement and amazing support of Gov. Sarah Palin on the campaign trail with Ted.
From his past record over decades championing conservative causes and behavior in the U.S. Senate, I trust Ted more than any person I've voted for in the past forty years. I even include Ronald Reagan in the mix, but only because I never had any personal contact with that great man. I've had the good fortune to be around Ted in a friendly group setting out of view of the media on a few occasions and he is the same honorable, Christian man that you see in public.
That's one of the problems with a Trump candidacy. He does have a certain "floor" of enthusiastic supporters. But how high of a "ceiling" does The Wall have? Trump's negatives are extraordinarily high, across the populace, and this, while he has virtually 100% name recognition.
To me, this is how you win the primary...I know the conventional wisdom is not this, but conventional DC wisdom is almost always WRONG. Remember Newt in 2012? When he was kicking butt, he was kicking liberal butt not Republican butt.
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