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Is the Kasich mini-surge over?
Hotair ^ | 10/05/2015 | Jazz Shaw

Posted on 10/05/2015 10:08:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Back when Ohio Governor John Kasich first announced his presidential bid I asked a number of questions regarding his candidacy. While understanding that he likely had a greater chance of carrying Ohio – still important – there seemed to be two big arguments against him. First, he didn’t seem to be taking up a very different lane than some of the other establishment candidates in the race who also had gubernatorial experience and fairly standard, mainstream party positions. Second, he had obvious hits on his track record, including a budget which raised taxes on tobacco and energy as well as increasing the sales tax. His move to expand Medicaid didn’t do much for his prospects, either.

Still, Kasich surprised me, raising a significant amount of cash and rising up in the polls in some early states. But if the latest news on the survey front represents any sort of a trend, the boomlet may be turning into a bustlet. (Cleveland.com)

The rise of anti-establishment candidates and Marco Rubio – and the re-emergence of Jeb Bush – have stalled Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s momentum in New Hampshire, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows.

Kasich, who a month ago sat in second place, behind real estate mogul Donald Trump, does not rank among the Republican presidential field’s top 5 this time.

Trump leads at 21 percent, followed by former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina at 16 percent, Bush at 11 percent and Rubio and Dr. Ben Carson tied at 10 percent.

Adding insult to injury, Kasich is now trailing even Chris Christie in the Granite State. It might be easy to write this off as “just one poll in just one state” but Governor Kasich has pretty much been putting all of his eggs in that basket since day one. And he admits as much.

Kasich’s earlier rise in the state was attributed in part to the money his allies at two independent expenditure groups have invested in TV ads promoting the governor. He has made New Hampshire his top priority, visiting 15 times already this year.

“We do well here, we’re moving on. We do terrible here, it’s over,” Kasich said Friday at the opening of his New Hampshire campaign headquarters, according to a report from the Boston Globe. “No confusion about that. This is very, very important to us.”

The Kasich team has reason to be focused on New Hampshire. He’s currently running at 3% nationally, with 2.5% in Iowa and 4% in South Carolina. If he had any hope of a big breakthrough when the votes start getting cast it was surely New Hampshire. I mean, those numbers are better than Bobby Jindal’s, but they’re uniformly within the margin of error compared to what Rick Perry had when he dropped.

Kasich has enough money in the bank to hang around for a while and he can absolutely stick to the theory that “it’s still early” and a lot can change between now and February. Also, as more people drop out (assuming he’s not one of them) their supporters have to go somewhere, so why not switch over to Kasich? All that is true… in theory. But that doesn’t mean that it’s likely. I’ll wager at this point that he’ll stick around for the next debate, but if he doesn’t “re-boom” after that we may not have John Kasich to kick around anymore by the time Thanksgiving rolls around.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: New Jersey; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; california; carlyfiorina; chrischristie; election2016; jazzshaw; johnkasich; newjersey; ohio
If you like Jeb Bush or even GW Bush, you will like Kasich.

Consider:

1) He all but gave up on the issue of gay marriage, pronouncing it the "law of the land"

2) He said he happily attended a gay wedding.

3) He was one of the few Republican governors who ACCEPTED Federal money to expand Obamacare in Ohio, while using the Bible to justify what he did.

Add your own grievance here....

1 posted on 10/05/2015 10:08:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

All of the less then 5% crowd should drop out now. They are just embarrassing themselves.


2 posted on 10/05/2015 10:11:11 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Kasich is indeed done. The “dad’s a mailman” story faded and he is uber liberal. His record in OH isn’t anything terrific.


3 posted on 10/05/2015 10:12:17 AM PDT by LS (Sess"Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind

Kasich calls for Syria no-fly zones, warns Russia to comply

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3344635/posts


4 posted on 10/05/2015 10:13:00 AM PDT by jimbo123
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To: jimbo123

Does Russia know that his daddy was a mailman?


5 posted on 10/05/2015 10:15:02 AM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: SeekAndFind

There was a non-negative surge at all?

I missed it.


6 posted on 10/05/2015 10:19:00 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (We must first defeat RINOs before we can even encounter a Democrat to fight)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Kasich had a hot flash, so it was a false alarm.


7 posted on 10/05/2015 10:19:22 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (We must first defeat RINOs before we can even encounter a Democrat to fight)
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To: chris37; jimbo123

RE: Does Russia know that his daddy was a mailman?

Yes, just as they know that John Kerry served in Vietnam.


8 posted on 10/05/2015 10:22:09 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Kasich surged? Who knew.


9 posted on 10/05/2015 10:23:06 AM PDT by tioga
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To: SeekAndFind

Let’s see... is this the same state that gave us John Boehnner?

I thought so. Kaysick should just join the Dems. He’d be much happier.


10 posted on 10/05/2015 10:25:15 AM PDT by Lake Living
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To: SeekAndFind
and the re-emergence of Jeb Bush

When did this happen? As of the past few days, he was in the single digits, where he belongs.

11 posted on 10/05/2015 10:26:39 AM PDT by Major Matt Mason (Those that can, do, those that can't, work in the Beltway.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Add his refusal to support Right to Work legislation in Ohio to your list.


12 posted on 10/05/2015 10:27:06 AM PDT by donozark (Herbicides improve visibility.)
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To: SeekAndFind

MSNBC Chris Matthews Approved.


13 posted on 10/05/2015 10:33:46 AM PDT by TexasCajun (#BlackViolenceMatters)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wait a minute.

You are telling me that Russia actually knows how qualified our people are, and they just don’t care!?

Well, do they know that Barack Obama is the first black President!?

Do they know that Hillary Clintoid wants to be the first female president!?

Do they know that Marco Rubio’s mommny and daddy were from Cuber!?

Do they know that Jeb Bush will whip Washington into shape just like he did in Tallahassee!?

Do they know that Chris Christie worked with Democrats in New Jersey to get things done!?

Do they know that Carly Figurina used to be a secretary!?

Do they know George Pataki, Jim Gilmore and Lindsey Graham actually exist!?

Do they know that Joe Biden thinks that everyone is a homophobe, thus making him a homophobophobic!!?

These Russians better shape the Hell up. They don’t know what they are dealing with here.


14 posted on 10/05/2015 10:35:58 AM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: chris37
Do they know that Joe Biden thinks that everyone is a homophobe, thus making him a homophobophobic!!?

If this facts inspires an irrational fear of Joe Biden, does that make one homophobophobicphobic?
15 posted on 10/05/2015 10:48:45 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: SeekAndFind

He might be able to drop out even before that other famous Ohioan John Boehner drops out of sight, never to be seen again.


16 posted on 10/05/2015 10:53:04 AM PDT by bestintxas (every time a RINO loses, a founding father gets his wings.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yes.

No surge.

Never was.

Far as I can tell.


17 posted on 10/05/2015 10:54:01 AM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: SeekAndFind

Surge? I thought he dropped out already. My mistake ... but give him time and he will correct it soon enough.


18 posted on 10/05/2015 11:16:52 AM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: Dr. Sivana

Ahhhh!

An infinite phobiaphobic loop!

Thanks a lot, Joe Biden!


19 posted on 10/05/2015 12:18:15 PM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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