Posted on 04/15/2015 12:17:23 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
A new poll published by Public Policy Polling shows Florida Republicans Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio need to do a lot of work to become competitive in New Hampshire, the site of the first Republican Presidential Primary election next January.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is looking very strong, leading with 24 percent support. That’s 10 percentage points higher than the second-place Republican, Texas U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz. And what’s most impressive is that Walker was only at 3 percent when PPP surveyed New Hampshire voters back in January.
Rand Paul is third with 12 percent, and Jeb Bush comes in fourth with just 10 percent support. Marco Rubio and Chris Christie follow with 8 percent. Mike Huckabee and Dr. Ben Carson are at 7 percent. Rick Perry is at 4 percent.
But while Rubio would seem to have the potential to grow with the momentum generated from his announcement on Monday night declaring his candidacy for president, his Miami-area neighbor, Jeb Bush, appears to be in trouble.
Bush continues to face some early skepticism from conservative voters. His overall favorability spread is only 41/40 among New Hampshire voters, and among voters who identify themselves as “very conservative” he’s actually on negative ground at 34/45. Only six percent within that group say Bush is their first choice to be the Republican nominee.
Other losers in the poll have to be Chris Christie, whose support has dropped by 16 points now to its current eight percent standing, and PPP says he is by far and away the most unpopular candidate in the GOP field there. Only 34 percent of voters there view him favorably to 49 percent with a negative opinion. The only other potential GOP hopefuls with underwater numbers in the state are Donald Trump (40/41), George Pataki (21/28), and Lindsey Graham (20/36).
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is at 45 percent. Massachusetts U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren produces one of her best poll ratings, getting 23 percent. Vermont U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders is at 12 percent, Joe Biden at 7 percent, Martin O’Malley at 3 percent, and 1 percent each for Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb.
PPP surveyed 358 Republican primary voters and 329 Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire from April 9th to 13th.. The margins of error are +/- 5.2% for the GOP sample, and +/- 5.4% for the Democratic portion. 80 percent of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20 percent interviewed over the Internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.
Forget about the fact that his brother and father have already been president. Even if Jeb Bush was a new face, I just don't get the appeal of the guy.
I think Cruz is going to end up being far more successful than the vast majority (on either side) give him credit for. Just like Reagan back in 1980. I expect the media to try to minimize his air time because he comes off so well - He is incredibly smart, accomplished and articulate. He also has an amazing ability to turn the issues/questions back around against the liberal journalists conducting their attack interviews.
Huge money.
He’ll buy friends.
Look at Romney, who loved that guy (outside of a small cadre of Mormons)?
He had the dough, and got 11m of 19m primary votes.
If they were honest, they would admit it.
/johnny
The problem is this: When you match Jeb up with a single conservative candidate like Scott Walker, the conservative usually does pretty well as Jeb is not well liked among the Party base. However, if you have a dozen or so conservatives running in the primaries, Jeb could win the nomination like most RINOs/GOPEs do, by divide and conquer.
Which is why I talked this morning with Team Cruz about raising up to $2 million dollars. I’m no hedge fund billionaire, pretty much the opposite of that, as a matter of fact, but I’ll do it if it is humanly possible. It’s 1980 all over again, but with a much worse team than Carter/Mondale.
Who the hell is Jeb Bush? Is he a stalking horse?
Never heard of the guy.
Hope is not that governor from Florida...
That guy is an ass....
/S (like I need it)
While this is encouraging, Jeb Bush hasn’t formally announced his candidacy. Therefore, his popularity is hard to measure accurately at this stage of the game.
If Cruz were to win soviet Red Hampshire; it would be an early sign that the elite is losing its grip...
I know I will. The liberal GOP-E isn't going to vote conservative anyway.
/johnny
History shows that Movement Conservatives only win the GOP nomination when they are solidly united behind a single candidate. This has happened only twice in my life time, in 1964 and 1980. I don’t see how or why 2016 will be any different. I do think Jeb will win the GOP nomination if the RINOs and GOPEs are solidly behind him and conservatives are off and running in a dozen or so different directions which is usually the case.
Which is why I encourage everyone here and everyone they know to get behind Ted Cruz now, not later.
well, for one thing, he is a grown up. He has told us so.
Around here doesn’t matter IMHO.
You need to be telling all of the conservative candidates planning on running for president in the GOP primaries who will siphon off votes from your preferred candidate.
I live in CA. My vote won’t count. It never does. Our primary is dead last-—in June. GOP nomination will probably be decided well before then. And of course in the general election, I am one of the few sane voters left in the People’s Republic.
If Jeb can’t manage better than a week third place finish in New Hampshire, he’s done. New England is actually home field for the Bush clan.
I not sure Cruz has even been NH yet, I thought I read somewhere Walker was there, if that’s true Cruz in second is not bad, does anyone no for sure?
Yes, he’s been there.
Santorum or Perry? LOL
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