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Can Republicans hold on to Senate majority in 2016? There’s reason for doubt.
The Washington Post ^ | November 9, 2014 | Chris Cillizza,, Aaron Blake and Sean Sullivan

Posted on 11/15/2014 11:00:16 AM PST by Clintonfatigued

Congratulations, Republicans! You won the Senate majority! Now, can you hold on to it for more than two years?

Looking at the 2016 Senate map, there’s reason for doubt. Republicans will have to defend 24 seats, compared with 10 for Democrats. And the raw numbers don’t even tell the whole story. Seven seats held by Republicans — Florida, Illinois, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — were carried by President Obama in 2008 and 2012. And there is chatter about potential Republican retirements in Arizona and Iowa. If either John McCain or Chuck Grassley decided to call it a career, each of those races would be major Democratic targets.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016elections; election; electionmap; elections; gruberizing; map
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To: Clintonfatigued

Jeeze, our Senators don’t even get a chance to warm up their chairs and they’re being called LAME DUCKS.

The HUGE PROBLEM for the Democrats is that the Republicans may just figure out that if they can win 70% to 80% of the white vote, then NOTHING ELSE MATTERS, as there still are not enough minorities to stop them.

That is EXACTLY what happened in Texas and all of the South. Republicans are now getting 75-80 of the white vote. Yes, there are a lot of blacks (Louisiana and Alabama) and a lot of Hispanics (Texas and New Mexico), but if the Whites vote as a block, it’s GAME OVER for the Democrats.

...they have to know that, but they also know that there is NOTHING THEY CAN DO, other than trying to flood the country with people that may be unfriendly to Republicans (and that is not as easy as it sounds).


21 posted on 11/15/2014 11:10:10 AM PST by BobL (Don't forget - Today's Russians learn math WITHOUT calculators.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Will Hillary even survive Gowdy’s next Benghazi hearing Dec 6?


22 posted on 11/15/2014 11:10:11 AM PST by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: Grampa Dave
they should have a blast tomorrow... on National Hank Johnson Day....


23 posted on 11/15/2014 11:11:06 AM PST by MeshugeMikey ("Never, Never, Never, Give Up," Winston Churchill)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Gopers In Trouble

1. Ayotte - lost her tea party base from 2010.
2. Johnson - lost his tea party base from 2010.
3. Kirk - Illinois, he is a RINO.
4. Toomey - PA

Dems in Trouble -

1. Harry The Body Ried - He will go up against a more formidable challenge that Sharon Angle.


24 posted on 11/15/2014 11:11:39 AM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: DPMD; GeronL
So far, only two weeks after the victory, as expected, sellouts McConnell and McCain are doing their best to guarantee a GOP loss in 2016; McConnell with his no-on-shutdown comments, and McCain with his Salon-based orgasm over Loretta Lynch. Before long, we should be seeing McCain setting up his tent and sleeping bag outside the Hillary in 2016 campaign headquarters.

There's also amnesty to consider — the GOP has signaled that it wants it and I'm wondering if the split on the [threat of] impeachment is just more of the same Kabuki theater we saw in Fast and Furious and the IRS scandals. (I suppose it could be worse, the flat-out ignore like they gave with the NSA.)

25 posted on 11/15/2014 11:12:14 AM PST by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I think Jonathan Gruber ensured the Republican win already.


26 posted on 11/15/2014 11:12:14 AM PST by struggle
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To: Clintonfatigued

Flipping 5 seats is highly unlikely, plus we have a couple we can potentially pick up. They probably will pick up 1 or 2 for sure from Blue States in a presidential election year. If our margin was more like 52-48, it would be a real concern.

WI and IL will be tough to hold. Ron Johnson may be able to hold on with a good campaign and some help from the three-time winner Walker. Plus Walker could well be on the national ticket, which would be helpful to Ron.


27 posted on 11/15/2014 11:12:40 AM PST by ilgipper
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To: jospehm20

too soon

do we really have to have perpetual campaigns


28 posted on 11/15/2014 11:13:32 AM PST by morphing libertarian
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To: GeronL

McConnell, Cochran, Perdue, Roberts, Susan Collins, Tillis, Graham, Alexander, Cornyn, etc all won with comfortable margins.

Most are RINO’s from what I have seen.


29 posted on 11/15/2014 11:17:04 AM PST by entropy12 (Dumb and Dumber to borrow money from China to protect oil flow to China from middle-east.)
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To: Vendome

Ditto x 10


30 posted on 11/15/2014 11:20:58 AM PST by entropy12 (Dumb and Dumber to borrow money from China to protect oil flow to China from middle-east.)
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To: morphing libertarian

I am sure the consultants think we do.


31 posted on 11/15/2014 11:26:20 AM PST by jospehm20
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To: mylife
They haven’t even been in session yet.

True, but the scenes shown so far in the preview don't make me want to rush to the theater to see the movie.
32 posted on 11/15/2014 11:29:23 AM PST by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Let the neurotic leftists worry about the next congress.

We need action NOW.

33 posted on 11/15/2014 11:29:25 AM PST by skeeter
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To: Clintonfatigued

“Offer him anything he wants.”

Anything? Hmmm...


34 posted on 11/15/2014 11:32:24 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (I'm with Steve McQueen: I live my life for myself and answer to nobody.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Cilliza just can’t get out of pre Nov. 4, 2014

“Carried by Obama” carries no weight anymore and two more years of his ministrations to the nation make him even more unpopular.

Maryland went for a Repub Governor and Mikulski must really be thinking over whether it’s worth it.

Patty Murray is on crumbling earth and a likely defeat.

Nothing succeeds like success, and if the next two years play out well for the American voter, despite the stink of Democrat ideas, looks like a good time for GOP incumbents.


35 posted on 11/15/2014 11:32:57 AM PST by plangent
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To: Clintonfatigued

they haven’t even taken over yet and their demiss is already being written....


36 posted on 11/15/2014 11:35:29 AM PST by cherry
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To: cherry
This is why our side is constantly paralyzed. This is why turd blossom Karl Rove figures so prominently in the party and its policies.

A damn political consultant.

The GOP needs to act on principle right now and let the results dictate their political future, instead of the other way around.

37 posted on 11/15/2014 11:38:07 AM PST by skeeter
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To: Clintonfatigued

This is craziness, they haven’t even been sworn in yet!

BE HERE NOW DUDES BE HERE NOW.


38 posted on 11/15/2014 11:46:54 AM PST by jocon307
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To: Clintonfatigued

IMHO this guy Cillizza is the journalistic equivalent of an attention whore. He deliberately writes weakly-thought-out but intellectual-sounding articles for the express purpose of tweaking conservatives with the sure knowledge that there will be never be any sort of consequence for him being right, wrong, dead right (unlikely) or dead wrong (my view)

Bunch not your panties nor briefs over this one. He’s just another in a long line of zeroes.


39 posted on 11/15/2014 11:49:16 AM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (At no time was the Obama administration aware of what the Obama administration was doing)
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To: Clintonfatigued

The raw math favors the Democrats, but many other factors do not. Insiders are telling Hillary that she is a lock on the Democrat nomination, but will likely lose in a head to head contest with the Republican nominee. It’s hard to imagine the Democrats regaining the Senate if they can’t put Hillary in the White House. But, 2016 is two years away and there are many cards yet to be played. At best, the Democrats just have a good opening hand.


40 posted on 11/15/2014 12:06:08 PM PST by centurion316
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