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Why Republicans Could Have A Pro-Gay Marriage Presidential Candidate In 2016 ZOT!
The Daily Caller ^ | 2014-10-14 | Alex Lundry

Posted on 10/21/2014 8:11:17 AM PDT by e-gadfly

The Supreme Court’s recent decision not to take up challenges to state amendments banning same-sex marriage has had two significant effects – it has expanded marriage to 30 states and reignited the political conversation around marriage equality in the 2014 midterms. Since 2011, I have worked with Project Right Side to help Republican leaders navigate a radically changing electorate on the freedom to marry. While public acceptance of marriage equality has steadily increased, this moment may ultimately be looked upon as the point where Republican opposition to marriage equality began to fall in earnest.

According to a recent poll of Republicans I conducted on behalf of Project Right Side, for every Republican that said they have become more opposed to same-sex marriage over the last five years, two have become more supportive of it. In fact, in just the last three years alone, there has been an eleven point increase in Republican support for marriage rights for same-sex couples; and a seven point drop in those opposed to legal recognition.

More congressional Republicans support marriage equality, eight in total, than ever before. And this year alone, there are ten Republican candidates, five challengers, and five incumbents that support the freedom to marry.

Monica Wehby, the Republican Senate candidate in Oregon, is prominently running an ad featuring the endorsement of a gay man saying “she’ll fight for every Oregon family, including mine.” At 51 years old, Wehby stands on the Republican fault line for marriage support. Republican opposition to marriage equality is heavily concentrated among those older than 50 whereas a majority (52 percent) of Republicans under 50 support same sex marriage. Among even younger Republican voters, those under 30, support for marriage equality stands at 61 percent.

The Republican nominee in the Massachusetts race for Governor, Charlie Baker, describes being gay as “no big deal” in an ad featuring his gay, married brother. Baker’s experience is emblematic of the key driver of growing support for marriage equality: knowing a gay person. According to a recent Marist poll, Americans who personally know someone who is gay are two times more likely to support marriage equality. And CBS polling shows that Americans are much more likely to know a gay person now (69 percent) than they were in 1993 (19 percent).

Clearly, the electoral math around the marriage issue is changing dramatically; while it formerly energized conservative opponents it is now doing more to motivate Democratic supporters. Using data from a Project Right Side Election Night survey of battleground states in 2012, I’ve estimated that support for marriage equality netted Obama nearly 250,000 votes on Election Day in battleground states (he won those states by 504,422 votes). Without those votes Obama’s winning margin would have been razor thin.

What’s encouraging is that these polling trends are leading many Republicans to rightly take action in advance of 2016. The Nevada Republican Party proactively removed language from their party platform on gay marriage. A recent Project Right Side poll that surveyed Nevada Republicans tested this change and found that a strong majority (61 percent) supported the party’s removal of opposition to same-sex marriage from their platform; only 32 percent oppose it.

So what does this all mean for the forthcoming presidential campaign cycle? Karl Rove speculated that it’s not beyond the realm of possibility that the Republican Party will witness in 2016 a presidential candidate who supports same-sex marriage. One marriage supporter, Senator Rob Portman from Ohio, has even expressed interest in exploring a bid, and evidence exists that his stance would not be a hindrance in key presidential primary states.

In surveys I’ve conducted among early state Republicans, there is a real willingness to embrace the freedom to marry. Among New Hampshire and Nevada Republicans there is actually plurality support for marriage rights. And while Iowa and South Carolina are not yet net supporters of the freedom to marry, my research shows that there is still robust support for LGBT friendly messaging and policies: 51 percent of Iowa Republicans agree that “the government should stay out of the private lives of adults, including gays and lesbians,” while 74 percent of South Carolina Republicans strongly agree that “we should all follow the Golden Rule and treat others as we would like to be treated, including gays and lesbians.”

While a good deal of work remains to be done among Republicans, the last few years have seen enormous progress. The freedom to marry movement stands at an historic moment in time and it’s clear that Republican officials in Washington and candidates on the campaign trail are poised to play a major role in gaining greater acceptance for same-sex marriage.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; gaymarriage; gays; gaytroll; homosexualagenda; marriagequality; queers; repoublicans; sniff; trollindrag; ursulathevk; zot
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To: Little Bill

Yep, I’ve seen that myself, on some forums made up of obsessed losers.

FR has an impressive history; I will always wish I had found it sooner, but I just have to content myself with digging up old threads to read, LOL.


141 posted on 10/21/2014 1:36:34 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: Little Bill; Darksheare

Interestingly enough, this thread is currently being monitored by some similar types.


142 posted on 10/21/2014 1:40:19 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: CatherineofAragon; Little Bill; Darksheare

Of course it is. Anti-FReepers are obsessed with FR.


143 posted on 10/21/2014 1:45:06 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Hildy
Please, let’s move on, it’s a losing battle.

NEVER.

144 posted on 10/21/2014 1:52:32 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: CatherineofAragon
There are more important things than elections.

There are still a few of us that agree with you.

145 posted on 10/21/2014 1:55:02 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: DJ MacWoW

They eat, sleep, and breathe FR, apparently. Sad little washouts...I guess when you have no life, no job, no relationship to fill your time, fixating on the internet is something to do.


146 posted on 10/21/2014 1:55:47 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: who knows what evil?
"There are still a few of us that agree with you."

Yes...and I know you're one of them.

147 posted on 10/21/2014 1:56:47 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: CatherineofAragon

It is. I’m trying to post on the FReepathon and start dinner. How do they find time to obsess over an activist forum? lol


148 posted on 10/21/2014 2:06:16 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: DJ MacWoW

1) No lives

2) Mental illness

I’m going for a walk. ;)


149 posted on 10/21/2014 2:27:12 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: CatherineofAragon
Enjoy your walk!

I'm looking forward to dinner. :-)

150 posted on 10/21/2014 2:33:27 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Old Sarge
sounds more like e-GAYfly...
151 posted on 10/21/2014 2:46:43 PM PDT by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -vvv- NO Pity for the LAZY - 86-44)
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To: e-gadfly
It's not a matter of the next nominee endorsing gay marriage. It's more about it not being an issue. And indeed, with so many other issues to worry about, it probably will be downplayed.

The attitude will be: if you want to keep your same-sex marriage ban, you can keep your same-sex marriage ban; if you want to keep your same-sex marriage, you can keep your same-sex marriage.

If that sounds weak-kneed or mealy-mouthed or like a prelude to deception and betrayal, so be it. It probably is, but it's also what will probably happen.

P.S. "The Daily Caller" was supposed to be a conservative site, wasn't it? When they talk about this as "marriage equality" it's a sign of the changes going on.

152 posted on 10/21/2014 2:53:16 PM PDT by x
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To: DJ MacWoW

Thank you, DJ. It was so nice. This is my favorite time of year.

Bon appetit!


153 posted on 10/21/2014 3:22:18 PM PDT by CatherineofAragon ((Support Christian white males---the architects of the jewel known as Western Civilization.))
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To: DiogenesLamp
This is all connected together. The same power that shoved this down our throats is going to keep shoving things down our throats until we are dead.

You are right on!

If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves. - Winston Churchill

There is no moving on when you surrender to tyranny, it must be opposed and stopped or we will become slaves to the tyrants. Right and wrong liberty vs. slavery are not “issues” that can be decided they just are. It's part of life and whatever the odds or opinion polls say; we must stand for what is right.

We shall not flag or fail. We shall go on to the end. We shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and the oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our island, whatever the cost may be. We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender.- Winston Churchill.

154 posted on 10/21/2014 4:08:29 PM PDT by Idaho_Cowboy (Ride for the Brand. Joshua 24:15)
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To: e-gadfly; campaignPete R-CT; BillyBoy

Same troll.


155 posted on 10/21/2014 4:16:24 PM PDT by Impy (Voting democrat out of spite? Then you are America's enemy, like every other rat voter.)
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To: Impy

I love the smell of freshly zotted liberal vermin.

Now if we could only convince the mods to zot the shameless Allison Grimes and Greg Orman cheerleaders here.


156 posted on 10/21/2014 4:21:49 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Thanks to RINOs, Illinois has definitely become a "red state" -- we are run by Communists!)
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To: DJ MacWoW; CatherineofAragon; Little Bill

Doesn’t surprise me any.
Wouldn’t put it past egadfly to BE an anti-freeper, giggling with his buddies on another site about how clever he isn’t.


157 posted on 10/21/2014 5:03:10 PM PDT by Darksheare (People who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: Hildy

“I am not advocating for gay marriage or a abortion, “

When you give up the fight and concede defeat, you are.
To not fight it is to aid and abet it.


158 posted on 10/21/2014 5:11:25 PM PDT by Darksheare (People who support liberal "Republicans" summarily support every action by same.)
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To: e-gadfly

If they do, he or she will not get my vote.


159 posted on 10/21/2014 5:13:59 PM PDT by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Still bitterly clinging to rational thought despite it's unfashionability)
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To: Ohioan

160 posted on 10/23/2014 3:47:41 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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