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A Tale of Two Climate HockeySticks
American Thinker ^ | August 20, 2013 | S. Fred Singer

Posted on 08/21/2013 1:20:27 PM PDT by neverdem

The false "hockeystick" graph with which (in 2001) the UN climate panel claimed that current surface temperatures are "unprecedented" in a millennium is at odds with hundreds of scientific papers and with their own previous position.  There is nothing unusual about today's temperatures; the world was warmer in the Middle Ages.  However, the "hockeystick" graph showing a rapid increase in 20th century CO2 concentration is genuine.

The Third Assessment Report (2001) of the UN-sponsored IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) espouses a temperature history over the last thousand years that resembles a 'hockeystick' (HS).  The 'shank' is the smooth decline of temperature from 1000 to 1900AD, followed by an apparent sharp rise in the 20th century (forming the 'blade' of a hockeystick).  IPCC-AR3 promoted this rise as definitive evidence of human influence on climate; emission of carbon dioxide was supposed to cause the 20th century warming.  But this temperature history is fake; it is contradicted by much other evidence. 


Top figure from IPCC-AR1 (1990)  Bottom figure from IPCC-AR3 (2001) - does away with MWP and LIA

By "fake" I mean it is 'not real.'  Please note that I do not use the term "faked."  I prefer to believe that Dr. Michael Mann, creator of the hockeystick, simply made several scientific errors when he derived this notorious graph of global surface temperature from his analysis of 'proxy' data (tree rings, corals, lake sediments, etc) of the past millennium.  Canadian scientists Steven McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, as well as statistics expert Edward Wegman (of George Mason University in Virginia), demonstrated that Mann's data and statistical methods are both faulty; yet he has not withdrawn his HS paper -- though Nature...

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: agw; agwfraud; climatechange; envirofascism; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; greenfraud; junkscience; michaelmann; thegreelie

1 posted on 08/21/2013 1:20:27 PM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem
Doctor Michael Mann, blockhead:


2 posted on 08/21/2013 1:24:33 PM PDT by Zuben Elgenubi
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To: Zuben Elgenubi
And King Barack "Canute" Obama the Great.....

...Obama issues an Executive Order to the Sun...

....to increase it's magnetic field....

and make a good crop of sunspots before elections in 2016....

(PhysOrg.com) -- Sunspot formation is triggered by a magnetic field, which scientists say is steadily declining. They predict that by 2016 there may be no remaining sunspots, and the sun may stay spotless for several decades.

The last time the sunspots disappeared altogether was in the 17th and 18th century, and coincided with a lengthy cool period on the planet known as the Little Ice Age....and lasted 400 years.

Good luck surviving with no electricity and GE modified seeds.

Read more at: http://phys.org/news203746768.html#jCp

3 posted on 08/21/2013 1:36:26 PM PDT by spokeshave (While Zero plays silly card games like Spades - Putin plays for keeps.)
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To: neverdem

It’s not a ‘hockey stick’, it’s a HOKEY SCHTICK!...........


4 posted on 08/21/2013 1:39:20 PM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? Google your own name......Want to have fun? Google your friend's names........)
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To: neverdem
3. It is often claimed by skeptics that the human contribution to atmospheric CO2 (from fossil-fuel burning) is tiny -- less than a percent. The data clearly show that the contribution is 400 minus 280 parts per million (ppm) -- roughly 30% of the current concentration.

Informative article! We are curious about the data, assumptions, and methodology that went into the finding that 30% of the current concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is from fossil-fuel burning?

We have natural sources/sinks of CO2, volcanoes, seasonal variations, forest fires, even daily fluctuations, etc. Are these annualized numbers? It makes me wonder how the data "clearly" shows the contribution of man's burning fossil fuels?

How do the natural sources of CO2 stack up against fossil fuel burning?

5 posted on 08/21/2013 1:53:47 PM PDT by olezip (Time obliterates the fictions of opinion and confirms the decisions of nature. ~ Cicero)
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To: olezip

Might we not also be provided the amount of CO2 that is derived from “fossil fuels” and that amount that is dereived from the respirative actions of all life on earth?


6 posted on 08/21/2013 2:02:51 PM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alterations - The acronym explains the science.)
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To: Zuben Elgenubi
Michael Mann's legacy:
Hide the Decline

And follow up (after Mann sued the original satirists):
Hide The Decline II

7 posted on 08/21/2013 2:17:11 PM PDT by CedarDave (Benghazi victim's mom: "Hillary doesn't give a damn about you.")
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To: CedarDave

Micheal Mann is now suing the Wall Street Journal for calling him a fraud. Should get real interesting.


8 posted on 08/21/2013 2:34:29 PM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: colorado tanker

The East Angola crowd’s actions were proof positive that they were dealing in POLITICAL SCIENCE. When the data didn’t pan out to the results they wanted they simply changed the data. There would be no reason to CHANGE DATA except for money and the political pressure from those that stood to gain something.


9 posted on 08/21/2013 3:54:48 PM PDT by spawn44 ( MOO)
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To: neverdem

Keep in mind that Singer has been one of the leading atmospheric scientists in the world for at least forty years.


10 posted on 08/21/2013 4:24:56 PM PDT by Thud
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To: neverdem

“Scientists agree...” If they are real scientists like Singer they do not simply agree and stifle dissent, they challenge each other to move knowledge forward.


11 posted on 08/21/2013 5:08:15 PM PDT by jimfree (In November 2016 my 13 y/o granddaughter will have more quality exec experience than Barack Obama)
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To: colorado tanker
Micheal Mann is now suing the Wall Street Journal for calling him a fraud. Should get real interesting.

Standing by for discovery. Popcorn stocked!

12 posted on 08/21/2013 5:09:11 PM PDT by jimfree (In November 2016 my 13 y/o granddaughter will have more quality exec experience than Barack Obama)
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To: neverdem
"...By "fake" I mean it is 'not real.' Please note that I do not use the term "faked." I prefer to believe that Dr. Michael Mann, creator of the hockeystick, simply made several scientific errors when he derived this notorious graph of global surface temperature from his analysis of 'proxy' data (tree rings, corals, lake sediments, etc) of the past millennium..."

Good grief. "I prefer to believe" and "simply made a few scientific errors". Unbelievable. How the heck did this rubbish make it into American Thinker?

Mann and others knew damn well what they were falsifying. This just pisses me off.

13 posted on 08/21/2013 5:36:33 PM PDT by rlmorel (Silence: The New Hate Speech)
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To: Thud
After reading that article, I think the fact that he "has been one of the leading atmospheric scientists in the world for the last forty years" might be part of the problem.

I read this article, and near the end, the "...Upon reflection on these temperature and CO2 data of the last thousand years, I conclude that the evidence presented here will cause unhappiness for both extreme alarmists and extreme skeptics. Maybe that's a good thing..." statement is revealing.

Extreme skeptics aren't trying to extort trillions of dollars of money from the developed world and destroy industry in those areas in impinge on any freedoms those people might enjoy.

The Climate Alarmists are.

14 posted on 08/21/2013 5:43:21 PM PDT by rlmorel (Silence: The New Hate Speech)
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To: Thud
I should have been clearer: what I was trying to say in one part of my post is that I think the author doesn't wish to make any enemies. He may be good friends with Mann for all I know.

But Mann knew exactly what he was trying to do. It is disingenuous (since I don't think ignorance would be the primary foundation of the statement) of him to say that it was an honest mistake.

15 posted on 08/21/2013 5:47:27 PM PDT by rlmorel (Silence: The New Hate Speech)
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