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CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney (R 49%, 0 49% .. + 11% Dem!)
CNN ^

Posted on 11/04/2012 5:32:26 PM PST by Arthurio

Washington (CNN) – It's all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.

And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

Forty-nine percent of likely voters questioned say they support the president, with an equal amount saying they back the former Massachusetts governor.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poll; polling; polls
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The CNN poll was conducted November 2-4 by ORC International, with 1,010 adult Americans, including 918 registered voters and 693 likely voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for likely and registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
1 posted on 11/04/2012 5:32:26 PM PST by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

11+ Dem sample? Are you kidding me? They’re desperate if so.


2 posted on 11/04/2012 5:36:03 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: Arthurio

hey are starting to include registered voters to keep O’s numbers up.


3 posted on 11/04/2012 5:37:03 PM PST by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: Arthurio

+11 D....nonsense


4 posted on 11/04/2012 5:38:02 PM PST by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
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To: Arthurio

just saw this on twitter . . +11 is crazy but still need those swing states but IF it is that bad nationally, OH has to turn red along with many more to fall to Red too!

Fox was showing O in Cinci and he was being heckled. haha


5 posted on 11/04/2012 5:38:11 PM PST by Qwackertoo (Romney/Ryan 2012 The Future of Our Children and Their Children are at stake.)
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To: Qwackertoo

I feel a whole lot better now


6 posted on 11/04/2012 5:39:54 PM PST by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: Arthurio

This is truly farcical - Communist News Network has a Democratic voting advantage that is simply impossible!

And even here, O cannot crack 50%.

Its over!


7 posted on 11/04/2012 5:40:10 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Arthurio

Ignore the polls, watch the action and the rhetoric.

Obama and Romney are both playing on mostly BLUE state turf. Romney is running the sort of campaign winning camps run, optimistic, hopeful, bland. Obama is running the sort of campaign losers run, nasty, desperate and shrill.

Obama is running around joined at the hip with Bill Clinton trying desperately to fire up the traditional Democrat blue collar vote. Obama is doing nothing to reach towards the middle. Romney is out there acting Presidential and reaching out to moderate and “leans Democrat” voters.

Obama is not acting like a candidate whose internal polling is showing him winning.


8 posted on 11/04/2012 5:40:26 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; ConservativeDude; ...

This poll has set twitter afire.

Seriously D+11?

Why don’t we make it D+20 and be done with it so that I can stop even caring about the election?

What happened to journalistic credibility?


9 posted on 11/04/2012 5:41:00 PM PST by SoftwareEngineer
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To: Arthurio

How do they explain the +11% Dem, or don’t they?


10 posted on 11/04/2012 5:41:29 PM PST by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: Arthurio
They need to take a much larger sample to get the margin of error to below that of the difference between the candidates.

Otherwise it's totally useless.

11 posted on 11/04/2012 5:42:01 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: Arthurio

The Christie bump is gone. We’ll deal with him later.


12 posted on 11/04/2012 5:44:03 PM PST by AU72
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To: Arthurio

Can someone post the exact D/R/I breakdown of this poll?


13 posted on 11/04/2012 5:44:30 PM PST by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio
Gallup says the actual turnout should be more like R+3 - that's a 14 point swing from this poll which easily puts Romney in landslide territory (if R+3 is correct).

Even if the actual turnout is the same as 2008 (D+8), Romney will see a narrow victory according to this poll. No way that happens though and D+11 is just out of the park crazy.

14 posted on 11/04/2012 5:44:47 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: goldstategop

These polls are like junkies who need bigger and bigger doses to get the same high.


15 posted on 11/04/2012 5:45:47 PM PST by LS
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To: conservativepoet

What is their reasoning for sampling more dems than republicans? I’m sure there must be a method behind their madness they claim publically. I understand what their hidden agenda is for doing it but why do they claim they oversample dems (if they do admit it)?


16 posted on 11/04/2012 5:45:49 PM PST by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: Arthurio

Talk about a biased tilted poll


17 posted on 11/04/2012 5:47:08 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: conservativepoet

I don’t know enough about the details. Are there more Democrats, is that why they keep the + Dems so high?


18 posted on 11/04/2012 5:47:15 PM PST by Kenny (<p)
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To: Arthurio

Where does it give the partisan breakdown?


19 posted on 11/04/2012 5:48:30 PM PST by PghBaldy
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To: Arthurio

I think it is clear what is going on here.

CNN showed a move towards Romney but didn’t want to report it because it would destroy the current narrative of Obambi’s inevitability. So, they hid it by massively inflating their RAT numbers.

This is the single best bit of polling news we have had in a week.


20 posted on 11/04/2012 5:49:05 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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