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Henninger: Romney's Secret Voting Bloc (Evangelicals will win Ohio for Mitt)
The Wall Street Journal ^ | 11/01/12 | Daniel Henninger

Posted on 10/31/2012 6:26:57 PM PDT by TonyInOhio

You've heard about Mitt Romney's problems with the women's vote, the black vote, the Hispanic vote, the union vote and the young Democrats vote. But there's one major voting group that's fallen off the map since the primaries.

The evangelical vote.

When Mitt Romney's 2012 candidacy was gaining traction in the primaries, the conventional wisdom instantly conveyed that the evangelical vote, skeptical of Mormonism, would sink him.

What if in Ohio next week the opposite is true? There and in other swing states—Wisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina, Florida—the evangelical vote is flying beneath the media's radar. It's a lot of voters not to notice. In the 2008 presidential vote, they were 30% of the vote in Ohio, 31% in Iowa and 26% in Wisconsin.

~ snip ~

Mr. Reed notes that in several opinion polls—NBC, Pew and ABC—the percentage of evangelicals claiming to support Mr. Romney has been in the mid-70s. "We estimate that in 2008 there were 350,000 evangelicals who didn't vote in Ohio," Mr. Reed says. "Obama carried the state by 260,000." If that support of 70% or more holds for Mr. Romney in Ohio, and if the share of the evangelical vote increases by a point or two, then the challenger could carry the Buckeye State.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: evangelicals; mittmentum
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks TonyInOhio.


21 posted on 10/31/2012 8:23:42 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Slyfox
The real reason why Obama won in 2008 is that too many Republicans stayed home, either because they did not like McCain or they did not like Palin.

Polling done after the election made it crystal clear that Governor Palin was the asset that pulled republicans to the voting booth, McCain was a drag on the ticket.

22 posted on 10/31/2012 8:25:36 PM PDT by ansel12 (Vote, but don't pretend.)
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To: ansel12

Obama bought the election in 2008. He ran non stop ads here in NC, 30 minute long telecasts after major sporting events, and McCain had no counter on the airwaves. Obama is trying to buy the election again. He’s still outspending Romney 2 to 1 here in NC. I just hope that’s not the case in OH. Obama seems to have an endless war chest and he’s determined to win by hook or crook


23 posted on 10/31/2012 8:28:37 PM PDT by GodBlesBush
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To: TonyInOhio

Don’t underestimate the Amish turnout.


24 posted on 10/31/2012 8:34:49 PM PDT by Despot of the Delta
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To: All
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25 posted on 10/31/2012 8:37:21 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Belteshazzar

Very very well written and correct. You articulated the beliefs much better than I could have and you were also a bit more polite than I might have been.


26 posted on 10/31/2012 8:39:13 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: Despot of the Delta
Very true. I have many Amish relatives in Middlefield (Geauga County) and while it was true many did not vote years ago, that is no longer the case. The thought of any of them voting for Obama just does not compute on any level.
27 posted on 10/31/2012 8:45:33 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: GodBlesBush

“Obama is trying to buy the election again. He’s still outspending Romney 2 to 1 here in NC. I just hope that’s not the case in OH. Obama seems to have an endless war chest and he’s determined to win by hook or crook”

Actually heading into the last week, Romney/GOP SuperPACs have $80+M to Bammy’s $45M...


28 posted on 10/31/2012 8:46:17 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (Tea Party like it's 1773! Repeal the Federal Reserve Act of 1913! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: Dave W

Remember, they came out real big for Bush in 04


29 posted on 10/31/2012 8:49:02 PM PDT by Despot of the Delta
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To: emax

“Why is Rasmussen still the only poll that shows Romney winning the election and virtually every other state and national poll showing otherwise ?”

Keep this in mind. As liberal as the Corrupt Media is, so are the polling arms of that media. They are overpolling Ds sometimes by 8 and 9 points - of course that’s going to look better for obaMAO. The ONLY narrative they have is to maintain this crock. Romney will win by 3 to 5 points. Here’s a good article by Karl Rove discussing this:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204846304578090820229096046.html?mod=WSJ_hps_sections_opinion


30 posted on 10/31/2012 8:49:58 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (Tea Party like it's 1773! Repeal the Federal Reserve Act of 1913! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: ansel12
I agree that Palin was a great asset to the ticket.

McCain would have lost by an even bigger margin without her.

31 posted on 10/31/2012 9:07:29 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: Slyfox
There was a silent but notable percentage of Republicans who voted for Obama because of the momentum of the moment, the historical aspects of having the first black president, and they thought he really would be "post-racial" and put the race issue behind us. They were fooled then, not now.

The dirty secret is that the evangelical vote is the least represented in both polls and at the polls. A lower percentage votes than other interest groups but the Heritage Foundation has been working on them for the past two years and some of them may come out this time.

32 posted on 10/31/2012 9:12:37 PM PDT by MHT
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To: Frapster

The Southern Baptists I grew up with always liked and admired the Mormons they knew.

They were much more weary of Catholics, in fact.


33 posted on 10/31/2012 9:21:13 PM PDT by eddie willers
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To: Belteshazzar; CitizenM

After reading Citizen’s post, it made me even less likely to vote for Romney. It’s all lies.

(No, I am not going to vote for Obama.)


34 posted on 10/31/2012 9:23:20 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX ( The state is the great fiction by which everybody seeks to live at the expense of everybody else. ~)
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To: TonyInOhio
The reason the Evangelicals are "off the radar" of the media and most all pollsters is that they don't know any.

As to evangelicals refusing to vote for Romney, a Mormon, that "they'd vote for the Muslim first" (which is pure crapola) wouldn't hold water, especially after a full page ad was run on behalf of Billy Graham telling believers to vote their faith.

Dr. Richard Land and other faith leaders are either endorsing or encouraging the "silent majority" to carefully consider the candidates that openly stand against all that we are taught in the scriptures, i.e. pro-life, pro-biblical marriage, and against accepting homosexuality as the norm for society.

I pray that Catholic leaders are telling their flock the same, as nothing that Obama stands for is embraced by the Holy Scriptures - and he's proud of it! He is already punishing Catholic institutions (along with Protestant institutions but only Catholic institutions seem to have garnered news stories) by forcing all the faithful to cover not only birth control but RU486 (formerly known as the abortion pill), as well as other abortifacients, which goes against the First Amendment as well as our consciences.

35 posted on 10/31/2012 9:44:09 PM PDT by zerosix (Native sunflower)
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To: Pining_4_TX; CitizenM

Well, Pining, it is a free country. You may do as you will. But I would hope that you would make better use of your vote than to not vote for Romney. Also, it might be useful for the many Mormons out there to see that Christians can distinguish one issue from another and properly deal with each.

You are not voting for Gordon B. Hinckley, the former cult leader - as you said, accurately. You are voting for either Romney or Obama, anyone else is a wasted vote, and a no vote is half a vote for Obama, the most anti-constitutional person ever to hold our highest office. Obama must be voted out ... soundly.


36 posted on 10/31/2012 9:45:59 PM PDT by Belteshazzar (We are not justified by our works but by faith - De Jacob et vita beata 2 +Ambrose of Milan)
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To: Slyfox
The real reason why Obama won in 2008 is that too many Republicans stayed home, either because they did not like McCain or they did not like Palin.

Stop repeating that lie about Palin. It was McCain that no one liked , without her more people would have stayed home.
Got to tell you I don't like Romney and think the Republicans could not have picked a worse candidate (especially after what his people did to Palin) but I will walk through glass to vote for him this year because that no good SEAL killing muslim imposter has got to go.

Also I do not expect Romney to fix this country but at least he is an American and doesn't hate this country.

This country has a deep rooted spiritual problem and nothing is going to fix it until everyone who calls themselves a Christians repents of their sins. We have the deficits we have because people in this country who have the nerve to call themselves followers of Christ think that they have a right to steal other peoples money because those other people make more than they do (COVET other peoples stuff and ask the government to steal it from others via taxes and give it to them for their make them feel good pet projects)


We get the government we deserve.
37 posted on 10/31/2012 10:26:43 PM PDT by Lera (Proverbs 29:2)
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To: Lera
Stop repeating that lie about Palin.

Please re-read what I wrote.

38 posted on 10/31/2012 10:36:57 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: emax
I am hoping that many conservatives are like me - I do not answer my phone if I don't recognize the number on caller ID. Hence, my household will never be polled.

Nonetheless, there are 4 R/R votes here, including two 18 year olds who are voting in their first Presidential election ever

39 posted on 10/31/2012 10:39:44 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Zer0 Fiddled While Tyrone Burned. Impeachment NOW! !!)
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To: emax

The evangelicals that we have spoken to are casting their vote on election day. My husband got six different voters via phone on Saturday night that were Evangelicals. (I was door knocking and missed the Ohio phone marathon) As of Saturday, there are 24 hour prayer vigils that are ongoing. The intensity of determination to vote and volunteer that has been building since the 1st of September. We worked the Reagan campaign in Ohio, this campaign seems to have more urgency than that one.


40 posted on 10/31/2012 10:40:28 PM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ( "DO OBAMA VOTERS EXIST?")
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