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1 posted on 10/31/2012 3:12:36 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

I don’t believe women could be that stupid.


2 posted on 10/31/2012 3:15:53 PM PDT by RightWingMama
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To: Arthurio

If you dig through the results, respondents were 42D/37R/18I.

They oversampled Democrats by 5 points and undersampled Independents, most of whom will break for Romney. No matter how you cut it, the only way Obama stands a chance is by using outdated turnout numbers, and barring a miracle, he isn’t going to get that.

Obama is toast...to milquetoast (Mitt).


3 posted on 10/31/2012 3:18:19 PM PDT by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: Arthurio

“Fox News poll: Race for the White House a dead heat”

No it’s not.

All of these polling outfits just MAGICALLY getting an even split over and over again is pure bullsh!t. This is done almost every election just to keep people tuning in to see what will happen next. More views = more $$$$.

Outside of 2000, these races swing for one or the other convincingly, and either person running KNOWS what the real story is by now.


4 posted on 10/31/2012 3:18:39 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Arthurio

Why is everyone so convinced that ALL the polls—aside from a handful at Rasmussen and Gallup—are woefully inaccurate? What if they’re not fibbing and it turns out to be true?


7 posted on 10/31/2012 3:21:37 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State)
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To: Arthurio

Which is precisely why New Jerseys home boy didn’t need to go into his I adore Obama mode.


23 posted on 10/31/2012 3:37:22 PM PDT by Toespi
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To: Arthurio
Among the subgroup of most interested voters, those who are “extremely” interested in the election, Romney leads Obama by 53-42 percent

Nuff said.

47 posted on 10/31/2012 3:51:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Arthurio

Hey Freepers,
When was the last time we were told that an election was TOO CLOSE TO CALL????

THE WISCONSIN RECALL. And we all know how that turned out!


59 posted on 10/31/2012 4:00:50 PM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: Arthurio

There’s only one poll that matters and it’s just about to be taken.......a few good Freepers helping GOTV can ensure this is the drubbing this awful President deserves.


61 posted on 10/31/2012 4:02:05 PM PDT by UKrepublican
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To: Arthurio
In 2008, I was convinced Obama would win and would reach 300+ EVs. I got ripped to shreds for believing and stating that here. And even then, Obama far surpassed what I expected.

In 2012, I have no idea. I would wager that neither candidate will reach 300 EVs, and I have to chuckle at those here who have been stating for the past few weeks that this will be a landslide victory for Romney.

Last week, I was sensing Romney 52-47. Now, Romney 51-48. Not liking the direction this is going.

65 posted on 10/31/2012 4:05:32 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Arthurio

Intrade has Obama at 68.0% and Romney at 32.1% right now.

Republicans taking the White House, the Senate, and the House has been rated at about 19% the last few days.

I think there are some Intraders that are going to be rather surprised by next Wednesday.


66 posted on 10/31/2012 4:06:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Pres__ent Resident NBC NRD N3pmCs HCR / no birth C / no req docs / no 3pm calls / he can read)
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To: Arthurio

I will vote for anyone who gives me federal money when the weather gets bad. /s


75 posted on 10/31/2012 4:19:04 PM PDT by Chuckster (The longer I live the less I care about what you think.)
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To: Arthurio
My prediction in 2008: Starting over or not...

Look what starts to happen around 2010, if Obama was elected.


76 posted on 10/31/2012 4:20:05 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Pres__ent Resident NBC NRD N3pmCs HCR / no birth C / no req docs / no 3pm calls / he can read)
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To: Arthurio

Krauthamer in effect said the poll was crap. His parting words were more flowery, but that is what he meant


82 posted on 10/31/2012 4:28:54 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: Arthurio

Don’t know who does the FOXNEWS polling, but they have been screwed up for months.


94 posted on 10/31/2012 5:44:55 PM PDT by Ikemeister
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To: Arthurio

According the the economist it is looking fairly awful for Romney as well.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2012/10/us-election-2012

I fear that Hurricane Sandy may have brought additional bad press onto Romney because of his past comments on FEMA which lead many people to believe that if Romney were President FEMA would be completely defunded and private charities would not be able to replace FEMA’s role and people would just starve and perish. That is the message the American public seems to be getting, and so it is another blow to Romney on top of the momentum he lost during his campaign.

And look at most of the comments as well. Noone should be saying these things of Conservative enthusiasm was what people say it is. Again, I had thought that in 1980 and 1984, by now it was so obvious Reagan was gonna win that even the polls were universally showing Reagan was gonna be the winner and no Democrats were giving his opponents any confidence at this stage of the election. And it doesn’t look like that is happening now.


105 posted on 10/31/2012 7:48:24 PM PDT by emax
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To: Arthurio

And also, what is the probability that the Republicans can win enough Senate seats in MI, WI, IA, the Midwest in general and the Northeast to secure a Senate majority ? I feel at the very least, Republicans will still have the House after this election, what about the Senate ?

if Republicans can win the Senate majority and win control of enough state governments, than that means they can keep some semblance of America alive over the next 4 years regardless of who wins the presidential elections. That is why i wish we had more information and more data on trends in the Senate election and hope to God conservatives are also campaigning their asses off to get a Republican majority in the Senate. Remember that Obama’s team may be so desperate to get him reelected that they overlook the Senate - and won’t be as persistent in winning the Senate by all means possible, legal or otherwise - and so in theory the Senate should be wide open for a Republican and even somewhat genuine Conservative takeover. IF, that is, the statements about increased Conservative enthusiasm are true.


106 posted on 10/31/2012 7:58:55 PM PDT by emax
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To: Arthurio

The poll is crap...BTW I predicted that Fox particularly would do this very thing with their last poll.

They have a big swing with independents for Obama. Fox should give up polling..We had to listen to the lies of OPINION DYNAMICS for years, now they have found another group of liberal pollsters.

Sure they claim one guy is a Republican that does the poll, probably a RINO. NBC/WSJ has a token Republican with their poll as well, but is run by the dem guy

Shawn Hannity agrees with me, though he never mentioned the Fox Poll last night, the silence was deafening, he mentioned Ras and another. Not a word about the bogus Fox poll.

And Bret Baer on Special report, says....New Fox Poll shows that the advantage Romney had after first debate is now gone, the race is now dead even

He had to listen to Jaun tell him that Obama had big gains with independents in poll...Obama picks up 10 points with Indys in handling of economy, and overall picks up 7 points with indys, while Romney only moves up 2

Garbage lies


120 posted on 11/01/2012 7:04:52 AM PDT by Friendofgeorge (ASARAH PALIN 2012 OR BUST)
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To: Arthurio

Extremely interested is about where I expect the final numbers to fall.


123 posted on 11/01/2012 7:55:20 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Arthurio

Fox ranks among the worst polling outfits.

That’s why they rely on Rasmussen so much.

Also, remember Fox is a business, wants a horse race for ratings.


124 posted on 11/01/2012 7:58:32 AM PDT by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem.)
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To: Arthurio

I have read all your posts and I learned a lot. I’ve been a political junkie since I first listened to the conventions on the radio in 1956 when I was 11 years old. It was just me and the radio as my parents could care less. I don’t suffer fools very well so I probably don’t have many friends that don’t think like I do - teachers excepted. Makes me very sad.


129 posted on 11/02/2012 3:42:57 PM PDT by RightWingMama
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