Posted on 10/30/2012 5:30:50 AM PDT by Perdogg
This morning President Obama’s campaign indicated they are going on the air in Pennsylvania and sending Joe Biden to the state trying to protect a state that just one week ago was considered to be safe ground. One possible reason? The enormous GOP edge in absentee ballot returns in the state, creating an enormous and unexpected hole for the President’s campaign to dig out of.
In 2008 the GOP edged the Democrats by just 2% in absentee returns. As of today the GOP’s lead is 18.8% — a 16.9% bump in a state Obama won by 10% in 2008. Republicans have turned in 55.2% of the absentee ballots to date while the Democrats have returned just 36.4%.
The Romney Victory team has been on the ground in Pennsylvania for months with over 60 staff and dozens of offices. We have made over 5 million volunteer voter contacts including over 1 million volunteer door knocks across Pennsylvania. That voter contact is paying off in the absentee ballot returns and clearly the President’s campaign sees it in their numbers. That’s why they are playing defense in the Keystone state as Governor Romney’s momentum allows us to expand the map.
PENNSYLVANIA AB RETURNS
PENNSYLVANIA AB RETURNS
|
Party |
2008 AB Votes Cast |
2012 AB Votes Cast |
Change |
||
|
DEM |
132,170 |
44.70% |
42,013 |
36.42% |
-8.28% |
|
REP |
137,850 |
46.62% |
63,717 |
55.24% |
+8.62% |
|
TOTAL |
295,659 |
+1.92% |
115,346 |
+18.82% |
+16.90% |
Gee, I’m starting to wonder if these +9 Dem models may not be correct? How can that be?
Pray for America
Great news! Romney is going to carry the Keystone State. His campaign has done a tremendous GOTV job!
This will also help Tom Smith get over the finish line vs. Casey.
I like the way things are looking up!
Do they really think plugs Biden is going to help?
Wow, that’s great.
If elections are delayed due to Hurricane Sandy, will this help or hurt Obama?
They really need very massive numbers of PHL and PTB to offset the wide GOP lead in AB and early voting ballots.
I don’t see that happening this year.
Happily for us, they actually do think sending Joe will help them. Go, Joe, Go.
Don’t be silly! The election will take place as scheduled.
Not that it matters to Barry-O, but there's no constitutional reason for delaying elections, is there?
Besides, the way things are going, Barry wants them held last month.
Do they open the absentee ballots before election day?
Let’s see... the last time elections were delayed was...
oh, yeah, never.
surprising numbers and good to hear and maybe this storm might keep some in instead of voting.
no worries the Philly area will just produce more votes which are frauds, need another 100,000 votes , well there you go , these found in a car .
PA will be good for us but I will not hold my breath due to the voter fraud which is rife there.
If they have send Slow Joe to PA in the twilight hours of October, the Obama Campaign is in a deep hole.
One I don’t think they can dig themselves out of. They’re getting buried underneath a GOP avalanche!
Yep, it will be held and it will be a landslide for Romney.
AFAIK, the absentees are like the provisionals,
only counted if the margin is less than the number of absentees/provisionals.
I don’t understand how they know if a ballot is Republican or Democrat without counting the votes and reporting the total. How do they know?
they will not be delayed.
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