Posted on 10/06/2012 6:44:28 AM PDT by AFPhys
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, only about two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were conducted after the presidential debate. Sunday morning’s update will be the first national polling based entirely upon post-debate interviews.
Still, the numbers reflect quite a debate bounce for Romney. Heading into Wednesday’s showdown, it was the president who enjoyed a two-point advantage. Today is the first time Romney has been ahead by even a single point since mid-September. See daily tracking history. As with all bounces, it remains to be seen whether it is a temporary blip or signals a lasting change in the race.
Both men have solidified their partisan base. Romney is supported by 89% of Republicans and Obama by 88% of Democrats. Among those not affiliated with either major party, Romney leads by 16.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
IMHO it’s due more to the debate reaction. Although that didn’t hurt. :)
” Among those not affiliated with either major party, Romney leads by 16.”
Watch those graphs and charts, folks. This is starting to look good.
[Good thing I have a two-week trip to Hawaii coming up to take my mind off of it for a while.]
You are so lucky!
[Good thing I have a two-week trip to Hawaii coming up to take my mind off of it for a while.]
You are so lucky!
For those of you expecting a Biden failure, give it some thought. The man did well in 2008. He can be a worthy opponent in a debate. Ryan isn’t taking him lightly, and neither should we.
Just look around. There are a number of them here...
Very true...however, I don’t think a candidate would lose the Electoral vote if they win the overall popular vote by at least a full percentage point or more. Gore vs. Bush was a fraction of a percent in the difference. The state by state polls are not going to be run as often as the national polling so this is going to be the best indicator this point going forward.
Yes...he came across that way - although the things he said were actually quite ridiculous...such as pounding away at how the Constitution makes it very clear that the VP’s powers and role are entirely executive, not legislative, when the opposite is true... (any executive authority is from acting on behalf of the President as part of his administration...he has none of his own authority)however, the media presented him as coming across as “in command” and “more knowledgeable” about these issues...when in fact it was bunk. He can come across, however, as being very knowledgeable and in command...Ryan will have to point out the inaccuracies and keep in mind he doesn’t want to come across as being a student being schooled by the school master.
He has a record to run on this time and he’s going to have a hell of a time defending it. OTOH you’re right I would never advise Ryan to take things lightly with Biden or underestimate him. But, I think it’s justifiable to have cautiously optimistic feelings about a Biden Beatdown.
Since this was taken today, I would conclude that few are buying the latest BLS job numbers.
No, he real danger to the Republican party is that they have become a bunch of whimps afraid to stand on pricipal because it might offend someone and loose them the 2% margin they won their last election on.
That is what was encouraging about Romney - not that he gave offense because he was pretty civil, but that he took control of his agenda, didn't let someone else control it for him, and didn't worry about the fact that someone might not like the fact that they (Lehrer, Obama) were not able to set his agenda for him.
"Never let the other side frame the issue." - Denny Crane
Yup! When Ohio turns red, you can go to bed. (Channeling the Ghost of Johnny Cochrane.)
I feel cautiously optimistic about the debate, I just hate to see others take the “...it’s Biden, he’ll screw up” approach. It’s not going to be that easy.
But now, after you have known God, or rather are known of God, how is it that you now turn again to the weak and beggarly elements, whereunto you desire again to be in bondage? Galatians 4:9
Is that the real cover? If so, holy cow.
I don't think the VP debate will move the numbers unless Ryan were to lose so badly as to make people worry about his capacity to succeed Romney if necessary. The Democrats are hoping Biden plays Lloyd Benson and Ryan imitates Dan Quayle. That did not lead to a Dukakis victory.
People lying to pollsters and reluctant Republicans (one whose spouse is a strong Republican).
I disagree. Obama will win some states by overwhelming margins and so will Romney. If they win those states by a few thousand more, it makes no difference but if those votes happen to come in a swing state, they make a big difference.
Honestly, I worry that even if Romney wins a few swing states by narrow margins, the Dems will use all of their recall tricks to steal it and the presidency.
Since Rasmussen is a 3-day rolling average, the Rasmussen figures today probably had little input from the BLS numbers. Though nominally, on Sunday all those polled will have had the benefit of the debate, I believe the debate will not be “all cooked in” until Wednesday’s numbers (including the weekend’s “analysis”).
I think that since the analysis (by the voters) of the BLS figures will be less complex, I believe that by Monday or Tues the total effect of the employment numbers will be in.
Suddenly, in the last few days here in Central NY State, signs have been popping up. Quite a few for Romney/Ryan - I believe more than for Obama and his confederates, but I don’t know for sure about that.
The sign I like MOST, though, is one that is sprouting and spreading:
2012: Obama vs. America
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