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Gallup Daily Tracker Approval: 46A (-2), 46D (-1)
Gallup ^ | 9/30/12 | Gallup

Posted on 09/30/2012 10:38:18 AM PDT by tatown

46A-46D among adults

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup; obama; poll
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This has been trending our way for the past few days and is suggestive of no trend towards Obama. This is for 'adults' so one would think that Oturds numbers would be worse among LV's.

Good news!

1 posted on 09/30/2012 10:38:25 AM PDT by tatown
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To: Perdogg; LS

Ping

Gallup’s numbers are still moving in the right direction.


2 posted on 09/30/2012 10:40:42 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: tatown

“A” “D”?


3 posted on 09/30/2012 10:40:42 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: BenLurkin

Approve/Disapprove


4 posted on 09/30/2012 10:41:19 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: BenLurkin

If Obama’s approval stay bellow 50% he’s toast.

This is the only poll that matters.


5 posted on 09/30/2012 10:44:12 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: BarnacleCenturion

I think Gallup has even said that no candidate with a sub 50% approval has been re-elected.


6 posted on 09/30/2012 10:45:38 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: tatown

Among adults? Not reg voters, or likely voters?

Here’s what you get.

I be provin obama in duh presidency - cuz he done give me a call foam. All I has to do be have welfare, sosh curity, and foo stam - and I can git da free foam.


7 posted on 09/30/2012 10:45:53 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright ("You Might Be a Liberal" (YMBAL) Coming out Sept 1 by C. Edmund Wright)
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To: tatown

Good news. Among adults with a 46% approval spells disaster, and the media knows this.

Look at this tracker, Gallup’s Prez tracker, and Rasmussen’s national tracker. It’s basically a dead heat.

Don’t buy the swing states tracker. They mostly contain MI, PA, and WI - all historically Blue states (Bush won twice, w/out winning any) which greatly skews the aggregate.

VA, FL, OH, CO, NH, NV, and IA are your swing states. Isolate and focus on those states.


8 posted on 09/30/2012 10:52:21 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

LOL yep that’s about right


9 posted on 09/30/2012 10:54:51 AM PDT by conservativebabe
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To: tatown

No, I think it’s something like no candidate below 48% has ever won, and no candidate above 52% has ever lost. There’s a 5% gray area somewhere between the two percentages that either one can come out victorious.

But this might be in terms of “approval ratings” as opposed to a head-to-head matchup. Not really sure.


10 posted on 09/30/2012 10:55:20 AM PDT by greene66
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To: nhwingut

This tracker is the best news we’ve seen in almost a week. You are correct in that with 46% approval among adults, Obama cannot win. That is a fact.

What this tells me as well is that the ONLY way Rasmussen can show a ‘move’ towards Obama is to change his ratio of Dems to Reps.


11 posted on 09/30/2012 10:57:06 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

What's your big problemo about us
clinging to our guns and religion?


12 posted on 09/30/2012 10:59:11 AM PDT by devolve (----- ------- ------------c.1000_and_c.1620-------- ----------------------------)
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To: greene66
But this might be in terms of “approval ratings” as opposed to a head-to-head matchup. Not really sure.

And that does not factor in the Bradley effect. While we hung our hats on the Bradley effect in 2008, this year it is more likely to come to fruition due to the constant race baiting via the media. I am convinced that all undecideds are Romney voters too scared to be called a racist.
13 posted on 09/30/2012 11:01:40 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: tatown

And I don’t see things improving. Libya is going to explode in the coming week. Romney is going to call him out on national TV for the world to see, as an epic disaster. Romney will ignore every question and take the quesitons and push them back on Obama’s record. Obama will be stumbling and bumbling.

And then the jobs numbers are released on Firday. And based on the GDP, manufacturing order, and weekly UE clains, I expect to see another really weak report.

Romney could be up a couple of points by mid next week. With 4 weeks to go and a boat load of cash for ‘contrast’ ads.


14 posted on 09/30/2012 11:06:46 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: nhwingut

More Rasmussen swing state polling: Obama leads by 2 in NV, 3 in WI. Mitt now leads in MO (+3), NC (+6), CO (+2), IA (+3), and NH (+3)


15 posted on 09/30/2012 11:07:21 AM PDT by scbison
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To: scbison

With Ras +3 on Dems that should mean NV and WI are a tie.


16 posted on 09/30/2012 11:10:07 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: tatown; MNJohnnie

Keep in mind that Rasmussen’s party ID is on a rolling 3-week average basis. This has its disadvantages and advantages. Right now, it’s at a disadvantage for conservatives.

Romney’s convention IDs has rolled off and Obama’s DNC bounce IDs are still on Ras.

If there is a surge in Republican ID and enthusiasm, Gallup would be the first one to pick it up.

I don’t think the dust will settle until Election Day.

Either way, polls are to be pooped on, and I say this as a “posts on FR only when it’s poll season” type.


17 posted on 09/30/2012 11:15:36 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: tatown

“I think Gallup has even said that no candidate with a sub 50% approval has been re-elected.”

Great but it’s useless to compare this election with anything in the past. We have never had a clean black run for reelection with a harem of presstitutes cleaning up after him.


18 posted on 09/30/2012 11:17:21 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: scbison

Right.

But if you remove PA (Obama +12) and MI (Obama +12), the aggregate looks a heck of a lot better. Like if you were flunking two courses but then took them out of your GPA.

Especially when both states are historically Dem states. Neither has been won by GOP since 80s.


19 posted on 09/30/2012 11:17:41 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: patriotspride

Ras does D+3 on national polls. He uses different samples for each state, i.e. PA D+7, WI D+5, etc.


20 posted on 09/30/2012 11:20:13 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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