Good news. Among adults with a 46% approval spells disaster, and the media knows this.
Look at this tracker, Gallup’s Prez tracker, and Rasmussen’s national tracker. It’s basically a dead heat.
Don’t buy the swing states tracker. They mostly contain MI, PA, and WI - all historically Blue states (Bush won twice, w/out winning any) which greatly skews the aggregate.
VA, FL, OH, CO, NH, NV, and IA are your swing states. Isolate and focus on those states.
This tracker is the best news we’ve seen in almost a week. You are correct in that with 46% approval among adults, Obama cannot win. That is a fact.
What this tells me as well is that the ONLY way Rasmussen can show a ‘move’ towards Obama is to change his ratio of Dems to Reps.
More Rasmussen swing state polling: Obama leads by 2 in NV, 3 in WI. Mitt now leads in MO (+3), NC (+6), CO (+2), IA (+3), and NH (+3)
That’s a good point. MI, PA and WI are not swing states. Those are blue states. If Obama were to lose any he’ll lose period.
Romney needs to win FL, OH, CO, VA. If he wins those 4 he’ll have 270.
“Look at this tracker, Gallup’s Prez tracker, and Rasmussen’s national tracker. It’s basically a dead heat.”
I though Gallup had O up 6 last time, has it changed?
If it’s closing ... good!