I think Gallup has even said that no candidate with a sub 50% approval has been re-elected.
No, I think it’s something like no candidate below 48% has ever won, and no candidate above 52% has ever lost. There’s a 5% gray area somewhere between the two percentages that either one can come out victorious.
But this might be in terms of “approval ratings” as opposed to a head-to-head matchup. Not really sure.
“I think Gallup has even said that no candidate with a sub 50% approval has been re-elected.”
Great but it’s useless to compare this election with anything in the past. We have never had a clean black run for reelection with a harem of presstitutes cleaning up after him.