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Hannity Guest Dick Morris Confidently Declares Obama's Defeat
Hannity

Posted on 09/24/2012 6:41:05 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist

On Hannity tonight Dick Morris confidently declared, barring any debate debacle, Romney will win by "4 or 5 points" and will win FL, OH, NV, VA and PA.

I never know if he is full of it or knows a lot that we haven't access to.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; dickmorris; election; notbreakingnews; polls; vanity
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To: Kingosaurus

Morris wrote an article explaining why he doesn’t trust the polls. It has nothing to do with “sampling.” He explained how every poll has a sample skewed different ways, but the pollsters always adjust numbers based on a turnout model, predicting which groups will turn out in what proportion. And he says the 2008 model is the one the polls are using, which he thinks is wrong.


21 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:05 PM PDT by JediJones (KARL ROVE: "And remember, this year, no one is seriously talking about ending abortion.")
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To: BlueStateRightist
Vanities are not breaking news.
22 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:09 PM PDT by A.A. Cunningham (Barry Soetoro is a Kenyan communist)
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To: BlueStateRightist

23 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:20 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: mia

After pick of Palin as VP and convention he was bullish for McCain.. But when financial crisis hit and McCain suspended his campaign, he said he was done.


24 posted on 09/24/2012 6:52:49 PM PDT by scbison
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To: RIghtwardHo

I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.


25 posted on 09/24/2012 6:53:50 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

To paraphrase H. Ross Perot, what’s that sucking sound?


26 posted on 09/24/2012 6:53:54 PM PDT by aposiopetic
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To: BlueStateRightist

Oh great, Romney has no chance now.


27 posted on 09/24/2012 6:54:01 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: SeekAndFind

That presents its own worry. I looked at all the Ohio gubernatorial data in September 2010 and the polls were generally accurate at that time - with Kasich leading anywhere from 2 to 7 points (Kasich won by 4).

Scary to contemplate. I understand the samples may be distorted but not all of the polls today can be wrong.


28 posted on 09/24/2012 6:54:24 PM PDT by mwl8787
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To: Kansas58
That's what I've been saying too. Not a Reagan-Mondale blowout, but at least 53%. Something like the Wildcats playing KU in football next week ... feathers everywhere. EMAW
29 posted on 09/24/2012 6:55:31 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives)
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To: Kingosaurus

He’s basing it on this:

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

Which is based on this:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation


30 posted on 09/24/2012 6:56:27 PM PDT by TheRhinelander
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To: scbison
He actually said if election was held today he would win by 4 or 5 points

Morris always leaves himself an out, but he is bound to have one of his predictions come true someday.

I hope this is the one.


31 posted on 09/24/2012 6:57:41 PM PDT by Iron Munro (US Embassies Come and Go But An Obama Apology Lasts Forever)
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To: comebacknewt
Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.

Long term track record is bad about anything except the Clintons.
He does know the Clintons.

32 posted on 09/24/2012 6:58:04 PM PDT by Tula Git
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To: mia

Morris was cheerleading for McCain, but at the end predicted Obama would win. He didn’t get the electoral vote exactly right, though.

Right after the election, he did correctly predict that Obama would be unpopular by 2012, and even by 2010. He also said that the Republicans would regain much of their lost power.

He was widely ridiculed for that, and was called the Worst Pundit in America. But, he was right about 2010. And on balance, Obama is certainly unpopular. We will see what how he does in 2012.


33 posted on 09/24/2012 6:58:10 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: 1035rep

“I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.”
___________________________________________

How dare he be optimistic! Doesn’t Morris know the wet blankets will not allow anything even remotely positive. Fuc*in aye, the Dems must laugh their a$$es off at us. We make their work too easy for them.

Like puddy in their hands. Freakin’ sad!


34 posted on 09/24/2012 6:59:03 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: BlueStateRightist; All

Dick Morris is a slimy shyster. Look for his fraudulent emails regarding “ads” he is supposedly running in the next month. It’s all lies. Don’t fall for it and don’t EVER send a single penny to any entity Morris endorses, nor sign his “petitions” if you don’t want that email address shredded by spam. You have been warned.


35 posted on 09/24/2012 6:59:21 PM PDT by montag813
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To: justlurking

Thanks, that makes me feel better.


36 posted on 09/24/2012 7:01:14 PM PDT by mia
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To: montag813
You're right...Romney's toast. Heck, why even vote. Thanks for your words of encouragement. I needed that!
37 posted on 09/24/2012 7:01:50 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: Tula Git

RE: Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.

His recent track record was the 2010 Congressional elections. He was quite accurate. He predicted a 64 to 66 seat GOP sweep ( result was 63 ).

What other recent track record are you referring to?


38 posted on 09/24/2012 7:02:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: Steelfish

Right if I recall he swore she would never run for Senate, which she did.

He promised she would lose, which she didn’t.

He guaranteed she wouldn’t run for President in 2008, which she did.

He gave his solemn oath she would win...


39 posted on 09/24/2012 7:03:22 PM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: BlueStateRightist

When he doesn’t suck toes, Morris calculates.
No one will want him on a gab show to repeat what the MSM is saying,
and what MSM’s official polls are saying.
Dickie then calculates what perdictions will result in
checks being sent to his bank account in Lichtenstein.


40 posted on 09/24/2012 7:03:28 PM PDT by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong!)
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