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BREAKING: Egan Jones Downgrades US From AA To AA-
Zerohedge ^ | 10-14-12 | Egan-Jones via Zerohedge

Posted on 09/14/2012 12:32:42 PM PDT by tcrlaf

From Egan Jones:

Synopsis: UNITED STATES (GOVT OF) EJR Sen Rating(Curr/Prj) AA-/ N/A Rating Analysis - 9/14/12 EJR CP Rating: A1+ Debt: $15.2B EJR's 1 yr. Default Probability: 1.2%

Up, up, and away - the FED's QE3 will stoke the stock market and commodity prices, but in our opinion will hurt the US economy and, by extension, credit quality. Issuing additional currency and depressing interest rates via the purchasing of MBS does little to raise the real GDP of the US, but does reduce the value of the dollar (because of the increase in money supply), and in turn increase the cost of commodities (see the recent rise in the prices of energy, gold, and other commodities). The increased cost of commodities will pressure profitability of businesses, and increase the costs of consumers thereby reducing consumer purchasing power. Hence, in our opinion QE3 will be detrimental to credit quality for the US.

Some market observers contend that a country issuing debt in its own currency can never default since it can simply print additional currency. However, per Reinhart & Rogoff's " This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly " , p.111, 70 out of 320 defaults since 1800 have been on domestic (i.e., local currency) public debt. Note, US funding costs are likely to slowly rise as the global economy recovers or the FED scales back its Treas. purchases (75% recently).

From 2006 to present, the US's debt to GDP rose from 66% to 104% and will probably rise to 110% a year from today under current circumstances; the annual budget deficit is 8%. In comparison, Spain has a debt to GDP of 68.5% and an annual budget deficit of 8.5%. We are therefore downgrading the US country rating from "AA" to "AA-".


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: alteredtitle; credit; downgrade; economy; epicfail; notbreakingnews; obama; presidentdowngrade; uscreditdowngrade; uscreditrating
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To: tcrlaf
Obama's lovin' it:

HOW LOW CAN WE GO, YEAH!!! BRING IT DOWN, OBAMA!!!! THIS IS 'CHANGE'!!!! AMERICA IS NO LONGER A SUPERPOWER, YEAH!!!!!! /s

21 posted on 09/14/2012 12:49:10 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tcrlaf

I need a tshirt that says,

“My country went 16 trillion dollars into debt and all I got was this lousy credit rating”


22 posted on 09/14/2012 12:51:49 PM PDT by Psycho_Bunny ("Insulting" Islam is as impossible as casting aspersions on a pile of dog crap.)
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To: GlockThe Vote
OBAMA IS GOING 'SCORCHED EARTH' ON THE AMERICAN ECONOMY AND OUR FOREIGN STANDING

INTENTIONALLY leaving America in a mess that NO PRESIDENT CAN FIX.

23 posted on 09/14/2012 12:51:57 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tcrlaf

24 posted on 09/14/2012 12:54:50 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (Vote for Paul Ryan 2012...... oh, and that other guy running on his ticket that's not Obama.)
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To: tcrlaf
It is all going to design as far as Obama is concerned. His worship of hate, lies and death brings plagues.
25 posted on 09/14/2012 12:59:11 PM PDT by Armaggedon
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To: tcrlaf

No report of this at cnn.com. I wonder if they plan to cover this breaking story? (Sarcasm)


26 posted on 09/14/2012 1:05:44 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: tcrlaf

The faux Intrade bump must be a manipulation — maybe QE3 related.


27 posted on 09/14/2012 1:06:08 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Demoralization is a weapon of the enemy. Don't get it, don't spread it!)
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To: drewh
What a vile disgusting, destructive man Obama is.
28 posted on 09/14/2012 1:18:36 PM PDT by Vision ("Did I not say to you that if you would believe, you would see the glory of God?" John 11:40)
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To: tcrlaf
Americans paid out sixteen trillion and found a zer0 in their accounts.
29 posted on 09/14/2012 1:30:52 PM PDT by no-to-illegals (Please God, Protect and Bless Our Men and Women in Uniform with Victory. Amen.)
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To: tcrlaf

President Downgrade proves himself ever more worthy of the title.


30 posted on 09/14/2012 1:52:47 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost

I don’t doubt that.


31 posted on 09/14/2012 2:03:15 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: tcrlaf

Egan Jones defines the Fed’s quantitative easing as ‘’issuing additional currency and depressing interest rates via the purchasing of MBS...’’ Yet today the interest rate on 10-Year Treasuries rose by 6.5%.

No wonder Ben Bernanke held back from imposing QE3 for so many months. He must have surmised that there would be at least one bond-rating agency that would be honest with its clients in evaluating the U.S.’s credit-worthiness.

The fact is, the U.S. bond market is a giant, hugely overpriced tulip bulb that’s about to be bulldozed into oblivion.


32 posted on 09/14/2012 2:21:01 PM PDT by Bluestocking
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To: tcrlaf

This is huge, isn’t it?

Huge enough to not be covered up by the foreign-policy events.

If the mainstream media ignores it, Romney/Ryan better keep harping on it. Ryan explains economic data better than anyone.


33 posted on 09/14/2012 2:26:27 PM PDT by yorkiemom
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To: tcrlaf

Bump


34 posted on 09/14/2012 3:23:58 PM PDT by lowbridge (Joe Biden: "Look, the Taliban per se is not our enemy.")
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To: dfwgator

-

No -

That homo General has already ordered a gay firing squad to terminate the problemo with extreme prejudice.......

- Obama-Rigging is on the case!

-


35 posted on 09/14/2012 4:28:53 PM PDT by devolve (----- ------- ------------GO_AHEAD---MAKE_MY_SPAGHETTI-------- ----------------------------)
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To: drewh

So this is what he was doing when the phone rang at 3:00 AM.

36 posted on 09/14/2012 4:48:14 PM PDT by Tonytitan
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To: blam

The screwing continues....


37 posted on 09/14/2012 5:44:28 PM PDT by FrogMom (There is no such thing as an honest democrat!)
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To: tcrlaf

38 posted on 09/14/2012 5:53:14 PM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: SoFloFreeper

OMG-bama


39 posted on 09/14/2012 5:55:38 PM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: tcrlaf

The left is saying the downgrade is Bush’s fault.


40 posted on 09/14/2012 6:00:20 PM PDT by chessplayer
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