Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Obama’s Ratings Dive
Dick Morris.com ^ | July 24h,2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 07/24/2012 4:02:29 PM PDT by Hojczyk

His personal favorability, once a strong point for Obama, has vanished and is now being replaced by a personal dislike that is dragging him down.

These data, buried deep in the latest NY Times/CBS poll (of registered voters, not likely voters) are both stark and important. In April, Obama had a 42-45 favorable/unfavorable rating, itself a shock given his vastly higher favorable ratings only a few months before. Now, he has a favorable rating of only 36% and an unfavorable rating of 48%.

The NY Times poll showed Romney getting 47% of the vote compared to 46% for Obama (again, this poll is of registered voters, likely voter polls are more pro-Romney). So that means that one-quarter of Obama’s voters do not give him a favorable rating – a danger sign for the president.

What is most notable about this statistic is that it is not due primarily to the bad economy. While the Times poll showed that the percent of voters who feel he is doing a good job in handling the economy has dropped to 36%, Obama’s ratings in this category have been low for some time. The drop in favorability is new.

Rather the cause of his decreased likeability is his negative campaigning, both in person and on the air. He is now no longer the sunny, optimistic, friendly person he portrayed himself as being in 2008. Instead, a nasty, surly, angry image has taken over.

This change is at the heart of Obama’s dilemma. The more he goes negative, the more he hurts himself in the process and undermines the reservoir to good will that has sustained him through tough economic times.

As recently as one year ago, Obama’s personal favorability was ten points above his vote share in most polls. Now it is ten points below it presaging further a likely further drop in his poll number


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bho44; bhojobapproval; dickmorris; dive; favorability; favorable; obama; obamas; ratings
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-71 next last
To: Atlantan

In 1980 Reagan was behind until the Sunday before the election....they rigged the polls till then and gave up on Sunday so they would not look like fools...


41 posted on 07/24/2012 5:24:00 PM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: isthisnickcool

That’s a good ad, very damn good with Odumbo’s stupid remark imbedded inside as well.

They should have used his idiotic “you did not build that..” at the first 30 seconds for quick and immediate impact.


42 posted on 07/24/2012 5:43:16 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Atlantan

It’s a D+11 sample.

Seriously.

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/07/24/whos-up-for-a-new-nbcwsj-poll-based-on-a-bad-sample/


43 posted on 07/24/2012 5:46:28 PM PDT by Random_User_250
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: isthisnickcool

Scott Brown ad BUMP


44 posted on 07/24/2012 5:49:16 PM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk
Obama's Rating dive
45 posted on 07/24/2012 6:15:17 PM PDT by lbryce (BHO-"Now, I am become Death, the Destroyer of Worlds" by way of Oppenheimer at Trinity, NM)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Random_User_250
Also consider that when Obama won big four years ago, the vote sample was just D+7. NBC apparently would have us believe that Democrats will be even more enthusiastic to vote for Obama this time around.
46 posted on 07/24/2012 6:23:20 PM PDT by Random_User_250
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: Agamemnon
That's a fine analysis.

"The more negative Obama gets the more desperate he appears."

I would add that it also forces him to spend lots more campaign cash as well, in an environment where his war chest ran a deficit for the month of June. . .

47 posted on 07/24/2012 6:36:03 PM PDT by Flotsam_Jetsome (If America were a car, the "Check President" light would be on.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Jack Hammer
The fact that Obama retains a thirty-six percent favorability rating speaks volumes about both the (lack of) intelligence and the (absence of) integrity of the American people.

Well, ok. Expressed conversely, Obama now has a 64% un-favorability rating, which speaks volumes about the intelligence and integrity of the American people.

I think it's a 'cup half full - half empty' sort of thing. All depends on which way you want to look at it.

48 posted on 07/24/2012 8:37:35 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Just because I WANT this to be true does not mean it is false.


49 posted on 07/24/2012 8:39:17 PM PDT by arrogantsob (Obama must Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Marathoner
The difference is that, as much as I didn't care for der Schlickmeister, he did come off as a likeable good ole boy. Commissar Zero doesn't have that ability.

BINGO.

Just listen to the guy. He's petulant, arrogant, petty, juvenile, and weirdly combative. He doesn't sound anything like a president. What comes out of his mouth most days, sounds like something you'd expect from a typical OWSer on a college campus.

How many adults living in the real world can relate to, or find that attractive? Precisely none, because the man's projecting to the lowest common denominator: the gimme class.

At least Clinton maintained a semblance of dignity in the way he spoke to the American people on most occasions. He at least tried to convince us that he was everyone's president, which wasn't true, of course, but not altogether insulting.

Obama, on the other hand, doesn't have the capacity to even feign affinity for the other side. He honestly despises us, and it comes across in everything he says and does. It's a challenge that breeds contempt and animosity towards him, from a very large segment of the public.

Frankly, the many doesn't have what it takes to win. It's was never in him to begin with. To paraphrase; Obama didn't win the last election. Somebody else won that for him.

50 posted on 07/24/2012 9:06:03 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: Minnesota fox
IF going negative is starting to bring his favorability down, how then, would they even consider going “scorched earth???”

For the same reasons they've pursued their disastrous ideological goals in the real world. Belief is stronger than concrete results to these people. They're right - you're wrong - no matter what the actual results say.

51 posted on 07/24/2012 9:10:58 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: TheShaz
I wonder if Romney can do a version of Reagan's "Morning in America" but flip it 180degrees to "Midnight in America" and then start rattling off the how messed up we are, Economically and otherwise and then finish with "We can fix this, let me help you"

Not bad. That's got merit, though I wouldn't make it the central stump message. Too dark. People want to see the sunrise again.

52 posted on 07/24/2012 9:13:59 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies]

To: Windflier; TheShaz
I wonder if Romney can do a version of Reagan's "Morning in America" but flip it 180degrees to "Midnight in America" and then start rattling off the how messed up we are, Economically and otherwise and then finish with "We can fix this, let me help you"

You mean like the commercial Mark Levin put together and has been running since last week?
53 posted on 07/24/2012 9:26:25 PM PDT by aruanan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: isthisnickcool

Later


54 posted on 07/24/2012 9:32:25 PM PDT by I_be_tc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: OKSooner
You got a problem with toe suckers?

Reportedly, his wife did. But she got over it. Quickly.


Sep. 2, 1996


Sep. 9, 1996

Covering the news at a weekly granularity. LOL!

55 posted on 07/24/2012 10:00:47 PM PDT by cynwoody
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: aruanan
You mean like the commercial Mark Levin put together and has been running since last week?

I wouldn't know. I haven't listened to Mark since he became a flaming fan girl for Romney.

56 posted on 07/24/2012 11:38:22 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 53 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

couldn’t happen to a nicer guy...


57 posted on 07/25/2012 2:27:46 AM PDT by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ConservativeDude

“And I think Romney is doing “ok”. Not great, but ok.”

I have a feeling he’s laying relatively low now and will come out like gangbusters after the conventions. I hope. He needs a few more Sununu plain talkers; enough with the pussy-footing spinmeisters.


58 posted on 07/25/2012 2:37:55 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Doogle

But, but, but, if you love me you would, give me all your money to fund crack heads on food stamps, you would work all day to give drunks and addicts a “fair” shot, you would cut the national defence to nothing because the world is at peace, you would hate all business as the evil of the world, you would realise that you did nothing on your own even though your hard earned tax money built the roads at 10 times the normal cost a private sector company could build it, and you would be comfortable with National debt above our ability to pay it, you would embrace ‘arab spring in your neighborhood...on and on..no we think Obamma mamba jamma lenin khomeini sucks..

Obammmma is vile..


59 posted on 07/25/2012 3:48:42 AM PDT by aces
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Minnesota fox
I want someone smarter than me to explain: IF going negative is starting to bring his favorability down, how then, would they even consider going “scorched earth???”

Absolutely! Why doesn't Idi Obama run on his accomplishments?

Oh, wait.....

60 posted on 07/25/2012 4:11:56 AM PDT by N. Theknow (Kennedys=Can't drive, can't ski, can't fly, can't skipper a boat, but they know what's best for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-71 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson