Posted on 05/31/2012 11:19:42 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Not just in Ohio, Rasmussen states, but also in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia. In case you haven’t been keeping score, those are four states that Barack Obama won in 2008, and which Mitt Romney must take away to have a shot at the Presidency in November. According to the latest from Rasmussen, Romney’s on his way. After just one month of focusing all his efforts on Obama, Romney now has leads in all four swing states:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney with 46% of the vote to President Obama’s 45%. …
Romney has inched ahead of Obama in Ohio, taking the lead in the key battleground state after the president has led there for several months. This also marks a continuing shift in the critical Core Four states – Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia – with the Republican now leading in all four for the first time in Rasmussen Reports polling this year.
Only the Ohio numbers are fresh, actually, but they are critical. “Inched” is probably a good description for Ohio; Romney leads only by two, 46/44. The low level of support for Obama as an incumbent with Romney only now winning the GOP nomination is probably the bigger story. Rasmussen has a D/R/I sample in this survey of 34/31/35, which is much better for Democrats than the 36/37/28 that turned out in the 2010 midterms. If anything, this poll might undersample Republicans. Romney leads Obama among independents by a wide margin, 47/35, a disastrous outcome for Obama in Ohio. The gender gap actually tilts slightly in Romney’s favor, with a 51/39 lead among men and a 41/48 deficit among women. Romney wins majorities among the two older age demos, while losing younger voters by 21 points, 32/53. Obama loses or ties in all income demographics except the under-$20K demo, winning that 57/31.
Some of the questions on this survey produce rather amusing results. For instance, 55% of respondents say they’re choosing between the lesser of two evils rather than out of enthusiasm for Romney or Obama, with the majority of Democrats enthused and two-thirds of Republicans and independents resigned to their vote.
Two-thirds say that the process has not produced the best possible candidates, with that judgment more or less consistent across partisan lines. Among more traditional measures, Romney leads on the economy by nine points, and that will undoubtedly worsen if the jobs numbers slide tomorrow and the next couple of months, as it looks like they might. His favorability is low at 48/50, but Obama’s job approval is worse at 46/54. Among independents, it’s an absolutely horrid 35/65, with 45% of independents strongly disapproving of Obama’s performance.
Losing a grip on Ohio in and of itself isn’t a campaign-ender for Obama. The problem will be whether that trend spills over into Pennsylvania and Virginia, as well as Wisconsin. If Obama loses those states as well as Florida and Virginia, the election will be over before the Central Time Zone states close their polls on Election Day.
I don't think he will win eight.
I sincerely hope I’m dead wrong and you, friend are dead right!!! Obama is a disgrace to America, to its people, to the entire world and the POTUS position. Americans that voted for ths incompetent, anti-American should be eternally ashamed of themselves!!!
I know that won’t happen, but can dream.
You never know. Sean Hannity yesterday said he heard a rumor that Mark Levin is on the potential VP list.
likely the supremes will put the first stake in obamacare. romeny has already said his first act would be to repeal it. as well likely frank dodd will be repealed. and all the czars will be fired and their offices shut down. the stuff that is most insidious are not just the executive orders but the thousands and thousands of obama radical appointments that have been placed in the federal bureaucracy. plus the zillions of new regulations apart from obamacare and dodd frank. that’s the stuff that will come out only slowly if at all.
WAH! Obama just needs to get his message out to people!
But the people were all disguised as empty seats at OSU!
Axelrod, Jarrette, Moochelle and Dean,
the folks have to know Obama is keen,
If they don't, it's cause everyone knows,
Obama's economy really blows!
Levin has some health issues, but as a domestic policy adviser. Oh sweet Machiavelli! I love that idea. How will Holder look in that orange jumpsuit at Leavenworth...
“The fact that Obama cannot get above 50 percent in ANY of these polls means for now, he’s done.”
While I appreciate the sentiment, it’s a long time before the election. It’s great Zero is polling so poorly but a lot can change.
More racist states.
Are you referring to the Freeper of that name? If so, you ought to ping them to your comment. Just standard courtesy.
Add Indiana (which Zero has zero chance of carrying this time, and with these 4 states, Romney wins.
Add New Hampshire for a little insurance. True, only 4 electoral votes but based on the 2010 mid-terms, NH is now solidly a red state.
Let me throw in my current state, Colorado, into the Romney bag. At this point, Obama is looking at a 2-4 pt loss in Colorado. Of course, there are always “events” that can change everything. Obama won by 7% in 2008 in CO, but the air has really gone out of the tires, MANY Obama voters have told me they will either vote Romney or not vote at all. I have yet to meet someone going the other way
I hope you’re right about that. The last time the Dems did not have a hard core lefty running in Virginia and Deeds may have been to the right of BM on guns. But that is encouraging and will spell a loss for Obama.
Glad to hear, I tend not to speculate on western states, particular CO since so many left coasters have relocated there and skewed that state from traditional voting trends.
Glad to hear our first hand account, it pretty much is in line with everything else that is going on.
Obviously yes, anything could change, there is always an outside “EVENT” possibility, but even that I have a hard time seeing something like that that’s going to swing folks Obama way. Lets face it terrorist attack won’t swing folks his way, this is the guy who wanted civilian trials and to shut down gitmo, etc etc. I really think this is a guy without an island and the closer it gets to NOV the worse its going to be for him.
Glad to hear, I tend not to speculate on western states, particular CO since so many left coasters have relocated there and skewed that state from traditional voting trends.
Glad to hear our first hand account, it pretty much is in line with everything else that is going on.
Obviously yes, anything could change, there is always an outside “EVENT” possibility, but even that I have a hard time seeing something like that that’s going to swing folks Obama way. Lets face it terrorist attack won’t swing folks his way, this is the guy who wanted civilian trials and to shut down gitmo, etc etc. I really think this is a guy without an island and the closer it gets to NOV the worse its going to be for him.
Agreed!
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