Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (April 23, 2012)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | April 23, 2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[Doofer]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 24% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.

In a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup, presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney earns 47% of the vote, while President Obama attracts support from 44%. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.

[mojitojoe]

I hope you’re right. NO ROMNEY, NO WAY

[mojitojoe]

at least once can see that Mittens is the non-Communist on the ballot for Prez.
____________________
Exactly, but still, NO ROMNEY NO WAY

[SoFloFreeper]

Thanks for posting...this used to be a daily post. Whatever happened to the gang of Rasmussen posters??

[SoFloFreeper]

1. Obama has lost the independent vote and his doubling down on liberal issues will make it even worse.

Big time..."independents" are uninterested in his fake smile this time around.

2. His war on women has backfired and he will not get the women’s vote.

I disagree. Single women will vote en masse for this idiot...he is a sugar daddy for many of them.

3. Back in 2008, there were around 10% republicans who voted for O, probably of guilt and to show their liberal friends they weren’t racist. That will not happen this time around.

Absolutely....at least this is true: more Democrats will vote Republican than vice-versa.

4. I think the youth vote is up for grabs. The youth voted for O in 2008 but with unemployment in this age group so high, they will be cool to him in ‘12. Lets assume he wins this group.

I agree...Rush Limbaugh just noted a study that younger voters are moving faster toward the Republican party...Obama is the William Hung of politics:


He was amusing, made you feel good and was so self assured...but got old REAL REAL quick.

5. O will win the black vote.
Huge. They are in the tank, sadly.

6. No enthusiasm. In 2008, there was A LOT of enthusiasm for Obama and that drove a high turnout for him. Today, there is NO enthusiasm for him. Even if Obama wins the youth and black vote, there will be low turnout for him this time.
Enthusiasm is indeed weak...the national and local news media are soooo excited when this clown does something. Few others care.

7. He will win the union vote but that is a given for dem politicans. Actually, I have run into more and more union people who will not vote for him this time.
Yes, he'll win it...but not by as big a margin as last time.

8. Lastly, Obama has lost the the manufactured “magic”. When he travels and speaks, it is to smaller empty auditoriums. Can you imagine him on the campaign stump in August-October?? In 2008, he was drawing Tens of thousands. This time, he will draw only thousands in dem friendly areas. Remember that Biden got booed in a St. Pat’s parade in Pittsburgh when he got away from the beginning of the parade where the unions were.

Good point. Limbaugh pointed out Obama was in a 9,000 seat auditorium today--when the last time he campaigned there was a 22,000 seat auditorium. He is a yawning bore.

[MrB]

I was in McDonalds with my kids one day, and an older gentleman was mopping the floor, emptying the trash, etc.

He told us some jokes and went on about his business. We took a bit longer than usual to eat and get ready to go, and the man made it around again. He told the same jokes. We laughed politely and got out before he got around again.

Obama... you’re “that guy”.

[MrB]

SINGLE/DIVORCED women will always overwhelmingly vote for the socialist that promises to be the de facto father/husband without the “downsides” of having an actual man around.

Married women/mothers will vote for family autonomy, ie, against the socialist.

[Cletus.D.Yokel]

:: I have run into more and more union people who will not vote for him this time. ::

Oh, they’ll vote for Obamugabe this time. Whether they know it or not, the union will make sure of it.

[Gay State Conservative]

We must unite and work like hell for the nominee as if our lives depended on it.The Republican Party has never nominated a perfect candidate (not even Reagan) and never will.But,in *my* lifetime at least each and every Republican nominee has been a least somewhat (if not substantially) better than his Rat counterpart...and the same will be true this year whether the nominee is Newt,Palin or even Romney.

For those doubters out there,remember this...if you don't vote for the "lesser of two evils" (yes,Romney qualifies for that title) we....YOU...will certainly get the GREATER of two evils (guess who).

[magellan]

1. Obama has lost the independent vote and his doubling down on liberal issues will make it even worse.

Excellent observation. Obama must fire up his base, and to do so he alienates independents.

2. His war on women has backfired and he will not get the women’s vote.

Partially correct. Obama will lose married women, but likely keep single women, but not in 2008 numbers.

3. Back in 2008, there were around 10% republicans who voted for O, probably of guilt and to show their liberal friends they weren’t racist. That will not happen this time around.

100% accurate.

6. No enthusiasm. In 2008, there was A LOT of enthusiasm for Obama and that drove a high turnout for him. Today, there is NO enthusiasm for him. Even if Obama wins the youth and black vote, there will be low turnout for him this time.

This is the single biggest threat to Obama. Blacks and youth have never voted in large numbers. In 2008 they did. The youth vote will stay home this election, and honestly, the black turnout will be much lower. The historic election was 2008, not 2012.

7. He will win the union vote but that is a given for dem politicans. Actually, I have run into more and more union people who will not vote for him this time.

I think he will lose the traditional blue-collar union vote outside of GM and Chrysler UAW members. The economy is a disaster.

8. Lastly, Obama has lost the the manufactured “magic”. When he travels and speaks, it is to smaller empty auditoriums. Can you imagine him on the campaign stump in August-October?? In 2008, he was drawing Tens of thousands. This time, he will draw only thousands in dem friendly areas.

A great point, and something to keep an eye out for. Look for the lie by omission, that is the MSM not showing crowd shots, or only crowd shots in certain cities and not including them at other events.

However, looking at Rasmussen's latest poll, Obama is still holding near 50% in approval.

Obama's highest Total Disapprove was 58%. Today it is 53%. A 5% improvement.

Obama's highest Strong Disapprove was 47%. Today it is 41% A 6% improvement.

Obama's lowest Total Approve was 41%. Today it is 46%. A 5% improvement.

Obama's lowest Strong Approve was 18%. Today it is at 23%. A 5% improvement.

We need a 5% swing back towards historic Obama approval lows. I think we will see that by August.

Gasoline prices are trending back down over the last two weeks, but I think Obama's approval will decline due to the stagnant economy. Call it "Obama Fatigue".

We are already seeing former supporters abandon Obama, and Democrat politicians distancing themselves from Obama, and in the case of Joe Manchin (D-WV), throwing Obama under the bus.

I also believe there will be an increase in the unemployment rate and potentially a double-dip recession in the next few months.

The wild cards are the SCOTUS decision on ObamaCare and Iran. I think if any part of ObamaCare is overturned, it will paint a big "L" on Obama's forehead. He will be seen as a loser. Iran's actions could cause another spike in oil prices.

[fwdude]

Expect this “jus’ dis” department to “disallow” all the remaining voter I.D. and other election integrity laws of every state right before the election.

I’m not kidding.

[bibo_ergo_sum]

“Obama hasn’t even begun to spend money yet.”

Wrong. In March alone Obama spent $15.5 million and he’s still getting his ass kicked. This bozo is incompetent in everything he does. He’s done.

[SamAdams76]

I don't want to get overconfident but you make some excellent points. To distill what you and others have said on this thread, with respect to Obama, the "magic" of 2008 is gone. Obama conned his way into office on his bogus "hope and change" meme but once in, we all saw what an empty vessel he really is. He's actually worse than Carter.

Yes, he'll get his 40-45% base no matter what. All Democrats do. But I honestly be shocked if he gets higher than 45% no matter who the GOP is running.

[xzins]

15.5 million out of multiple billions in personal campaign funds, super-pacs, and the value of total media support.

Of merely one billion that’s only 1.5%. And he’s got far more than that. And he’s not getting his ass kicked. Look at real clear politics.

We need a contrast candidate and Willard is already sprinting to the left, even announcing a fully gay, fully loud and agressive, fully non-conservative chief aid.

And Rove is pushing him to the left on illegal immigration.

Romney is a disaster — a social corporatist 3rd way advocate.

[TV Dinners]

Completely agree.
And they will get away with it as the MSM will NEVER report any wrong doing and the GOP in the House are too spinless to do anything about it.

[milagro]

NO VOTE=OBAMA ANYWAY

[RipSawyer]

“a mandate to “fundamentally transform America” (whatever that means)”
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The same thing it means to “fundamentally transform” anything good, it means to ruin or destroy it otherwise it would not be a fundamental transformation.

[hinckley buzzard]

Since you haven't bothered to identify where all this so-called fraud happened, your observations are pretty much useless bullshit. Thanks for playing though...I guess.

[unkus]

TMA62 deserves the credit. He/she made the excellent points.
:)

[AlexW]

“what, really, can a “poll watcher” do to prevent fraud?”
________________________________________________

Well, independent outside “poll watchers” can not prevent fraud.
The outside Commie poll watchers are there to intimidate
voters.
You could have “official watchers” outside to make sure that every voter that enters has a voter ID, but it would be up to the inside poll WORKERS to compare the ID with voter records to be sure that each and every voter is eligible to vote.
This is why voter ID is so important.